Attempt to grab land is directed at many objective but the main aims seems to be discredit Modi. The internal actors behavior is a testimony to that.
In the event of China not able to achieve its main objective, it would be futile to garb a few km at the risk of larger loses.
I agree! It's a geopolitical game to throw the Modi govt out and get the Cong in! There's a lot of secret goings on between the dynasty and the CCP! For example the Free Trade Agreement (FTA) with China which would have been a complete and unmitigated disaster for India's economy but would have made the dynasty and the CCP laugh all the way to the bank at the expense of lesser souls like you and I. And they almost agreed to hand over Siachen to Pak at the behest of the Chinese!! Thank the Almighty and Gen JJ Singh who put his foot down. Otherwise, even the Karakoram Pass would have been with the Chinese today making DBO untenable!
There's no question of a localised Chinese confrontation in any big way anywhere in Ladakh or AP or even a land grab. It will be a disaster for them on all fronts.
> Their PLA troops are mostly inexperienced in mountain warfare.
> Most conscripts are spoilt kids from single child families who are more into the easy life and computer games! (As reported by many analysts and Western defence experts).
> 80% are conscripts for 4 years in the CCP's PLA and thus lack experience and will to endure.
> Need a combat ratio of at least 6:1 for the PLA to attempt to capture FDLs in mountainous terrain.
> Deployability and number of troops severely restricted for an offensive.
> Limited approaches for attack where the defenders fire power will be concentrated.
> Severe logistics problems as lines of communication can be fairly easily disrupted in mountainous terrain by air and arty.
> Enemy supporting an attack with arty/rocket fire on dug down defences and terrain config reduces effectiveness considerably.
> Assembly areas prior to an attack are considerably restricted in mountainous terrain and will be subjected to sustained arty fire as well as from air.
> They can muster upto about 30 divisions in all for an offensive all along the LAC in case of an all out war which is next to impossible due to the mountainous terrain. Time and space will not allow it. And logistics will be a nightmare. A no go situation. And the Chinese know it for sure!
In 1962 they succeeded because of surprise and a combat ratio of 1:10. And with zero acclimatization and .303 rifles as well as canvas PT shoes and just plain OG jerseys in temperatures below minus 10 at altitudes up to 18,000 ft, it sure was tough going for the IA. Added to this, we had a clueless commander of the force appointed by Nehru himself, Gen Kaul who knew squat about mountain warfare being from the ASC!! And to cap it all, Nehru refused employing the IAF which was a disaster of epic proportions.
timesofindia.indiatimes.com
