The Chinese appear to be very serious in trying to browbeat India this time. Seems strange especially after the Covid 19 scare. Almost all major economies including China have suffered a contraction due to Covid 19.War will only delay recovery. In spite of the economic situation if China wants to militarily needle India then they must be seriously considering India as a future threat. It is Psychological Warfare.
Of course they must be having some objectives in mind. The question is - what do they want from India?. I would think that capturing land is not their primary objective. From history we can guess that the PLA will withdraw from their current positions if the Chinese feel India has conceded to their demands in other areas. I am making an educated guess based on past Chinese behaviour. Ch
But this unpleasant situation created by Chinese belligerence should make us rethink. I agree defeating China militarily is not feasible in the present condition. We should not even think about the Chinese mainland beyond Tibet. But the PLA does face certain constraints in Tibet be it the climate, topography,extended supply lines etc. Fighting in Tibet is not the same as fighting in the Chinese heartland.
India cannot take the war to Beijing but we should have an war plan for the Tibetan plateau. The PLA logistical chain coming into Tibet is vulnerable to air action. Destroy the supply chains for the PLA in Tibet. This is of course catering for the worst case scenario where mad people in the Chinese Communist Party and the PLA decide to execute an invasion of India.
I believe it is in our capability to at least prevail over China in the Tibetan theatre. Of course the Chinese will send reinforcements and holding on to our gains might be not feasible without outside support (read US support).
The Army cannot achieve its aims without the support of the Air Force. One prerequisite for success is Air Superiority over the PLA Air force. Can we achieve air superiority over them in Tibet with just additional Rafales?.
If the Chinese decide to escalate to the nuclear level in Tibet then all calculations go into the dustbin.
But I feel our country has to have a viable battle plan to overwhelm the PLA at least in the Tibetan region.
This is purely in the worst case scenario. Which I hope doesn't happen.
If a geographically small Japan with a smaller population than the US could have a GDP almost half that of the US (at one time in the past) I see no reason that India cannot aspire to have an economy bigger than China decades from now. Once we gain economic parity with China we need not be defensive.
Border skirmishes aside, this time the Chinese aren't making as many aggressive statements like they were in Dolam/Doklam.
They are passive+aggressive this time unlike in 2018.
Their actions are aggressive, their statements are conciliatory.
India must have done something to make them feel threatened.
Openly announcing annexation of PoK which is rightfully our territory sounds the death knell for CPEC.
From their actions and words, they seem to want an assurance from us that we won't touch the CPEC, PoK and not make any claims over Aksai Chin. If they lose Aksai Chin today, they lose Tibet the day after the day after.
Imagine, the local bully losing without firing a bullet? That would be the biggest disgrace for the Sun Tzu and Fart of War faithfuls. They will simply implode from within.
The CPC is a military party and a diplomatic loss is almost regarded as massive loss of face.
Xi's detractors won't go easy on him.
