- Apr 6, 2019
There is more to it. chinese are not that idiots to invest 60Billions which will be at mercy of India.You have to understand Chinese dilemma.
They want secure access to arabian gulf for oil and gas supply which USA or India can't block.
This was the reason for cpec . They bet on pakistan gradually becoming stronger. But now they know pakistan is hopeless. All cpec moeny is gone into blackhole projects. Road through POk and GB is always on mercy of India. Even if we don't capture GB and pok which we definitely will , we can still destroy single road china pak connectivity with single cruise missile in mountainous area.
Same goes for gwadar port . With Indian Navy expanding gwadar is never safe.
Overall Chinese have learned without India cooperation there is no energy security for china.
If we look at CPEC it's a no go from beginning even if India joins. The road passes through high peaks and many choke points in GB at one point it's at mercy of a volatile Glacier and road is closed for 6 months! All this investment to just connect Xinjiang far away from their core province and settlements, Gwadar is mercy of IN.
Basically china want a buffer state soil to fight India. They are building infra in dijbouti to defend Gwadar in future and Pakistan is debt trapped and will be slave of china in a decade!
If India Pak war breaks out now china will enter into agreement to not blow their investment in Gwadar and they will stay away from any involvement...