limited war would give CCP a chance to divert attention from a failing economy, and might even re-energise their internal systems.
Absolutely agree here.
but from a CCP point of view, why would they initiate a limited war that too with a nuclear neighbour? which is not their modus operandi.
You have not understood what I have been pointing at. Let me bore you a bit. Apologies.
1. Chinese need to secure their flanks in face of what they sense is an opportunity that is fast slipping from their fingers - of using COVID19 Chinese Virus distraction to secure its interests more firmly against littoral states. For this, they need to force India to the negotiating table.
2. An India which is at peace with China is more useful for them than an antagonist one. I may be wrong and China may restore
status quo ante - provided they get major forms of concessions from GoI. That could happen, but that is remote. They want to secure/insure against Indian actions in general area GB and what they perceive, and in no less enabled by our fanboys and OSINTs, is an 'Indian interference in Baluchi struggle'.
3. The best way to get India to negotiations table is encouraged/selected leaks of "large tracts of territories held by China" in order to force the GoI to act. The action left open for GoI, in their calculus, would be negotiations, which makes sense even for me (although now am more convinced than ever before to use force against them).
4. As long as the present status quo remains in affect, China is getting all it wants from this standoff. A GoI which is on the backfoot (let us accept one fact, for all his silliness, RaGa does throw enough nonsense so frequently that quite a few right sane people also end up believing him. In an era where its a fashion to disbelieve the leadership, you can appreciate what a nightmare it is).
5. Even if, due to some perceived political compulsion Mr Modi is forced to order IA to evict them, they are prepared to fight a limited war in order to still head for negotiations.
6. And we have a no first use as has China, for nukes. So, out of calculus. For this situation.
wouldn’t it make sense for them to try these tactics on a smaller neighbour first?
we know for sure that India will not fire the first shot.
Well, India is the only one who can take them on. If we decide to lug it out, we may take some hits initially, but we will push them back and then some. It will be tough, costly in terms of manpower and material/economy, but we can not only hold our own but also push them back.
My only scepticism stems from a significant members of our leadership, both political and military/security forces, believing and convinced that we shall not be able to do so. And that can cost us the initial reverses that I talk of.
I have at least some faith in the present RM, who is ridiculed for being 'Kadi Ninda' but knows when he needs to act tough while speaking softly. PM is a different man. He won't back out of a fight. But he is not a dictator either.
@Hellfire is Respected And Far head than Fanboi's in Strategic thinking on Forum All his points are Bitter Pill
He is Neutral What every Veteran Should be
Eekkks .. He was abusing me?
Hmmm
Another ajai shukla type of a$$hole. why is our forum being overrun by these types? Does no one see what is happening?
Hi there.
Grow up.
Get some idea.
Then engage.
Man, I have not been spoken to like this even by Pakistanis who hated me ..... sigh ...
Wait till IndianHawk reads his posts.
