India Pakistan conflict along IB and LoC (July 2021 onwards)

[mokoman]

PIA flight enters Indian airspace, flies near Amritsar and Tarn Taran Sahib before landing in Multan

could be due to jamming in area . seems like either / both pakistani and indian side are jamming gps signals in this area .

there was a notification from pakistan civil aviation people about it long time ago .

planes get wrong or very inaccurate location information from satellites .

not much information available on it

 

[mist_consecutive]

No point to meltdown over obvious
Par koi vishesh vidhi kai jiske prayog se hum sara khel apne aur palta sake
Dhanyawad

Yes. Just tolerate whatever Pakistan throws at us, and strike back at Nov-Dec time when snow settles on the Himalayas so that China can't intervene.

The 3rd secenario may happen, can't have strongman leader taking provocations from India favorite punching bag lying down especially when LS elections are close.
Imo they will lockdown Srinagar unofficially and saturate it and surroundings with CAPFs, so doing something on/at the G20 venue is unlikely.

They don't need to do anything at the G20 summit. A big terror attack on soft targets that gather enough attention will be the target.

G20 will end in September. So, whatever terrorist attack occurs before the Srinagar summit (big or small), only the first scenario will happen. After September, common public will forget about this and it'll be business as usual. Maybe, they'll do something before elections.

The Public has a small memory, true, but it can be refreshed, with rhetoric before the election. Also, the public may forget, but it doesn't forgive. We still hate the UPA govt. because of how weak and indecisive it was 9+ years ago.

 

[patriots]

 

[skunk works]

PIA flight enters Indian airspace, flies near Amritsar and Tarn Taran Sahib before landing in Multan

Happens occasionally with Indian aircraft too. There are existing protocols and mostly results in just a slap on the wrist for the pilot.

 

[hit&run]

View attachment 203373

Same shit, another name

Jabbaaz Force is led by a Pakistani army veteran who also participated in the 1998 Kargil war

If Modi is a strategic mind, following any disruption which their visiting minister has already threatened us with; Modi any day will trade a failed G-20 for a full-on decapitating attack on Pakistan and capture the best possible frontiers in POK.

Let the G-20 be the trap.

 

[Cheran]

Basturd Parveen Chowmeinhui kanging for Pakis. To makeup for Falafal Pooto's fail show in India. Not posting that shit here.

 

[hit&run]

Basturd Parveen Chowmeinhui kanging for Pakis. To makeup for Falafal Pooto's fail show in India. Not posting that shit here.

He is an ISI rat. The agencies know it. Probably I am the first one who started exposing him while the forum had many fanboys of him.

 

[EarthCitizen]

 

[Jimih]

If Modi is a strategic mind, following any disruption which their visiting minister has already threatened us with; Modi any day will trade a failed G-20 for a full-on decapitating attack on Pakistan and capture the best possible frontiers in POK.

Let the G-20 be the trap.

This month

 

[flanker99]

This month

Now pair this with IAF exercise ...we arr definitely expecting mischief

 

[Jimih]

Now pair this with IAF exercise ...we arr definitely expecting mischief

Pre-empting moves.

 

[flanker99]

Pre-empting moves.

Another thing to note both our carriers are up and running tho vikrant still without its main radar

 

[Tuco]

I have feeling that some mischief will be done in Ayodhya too.

 

[jai jaganath]

View attachment 203455

So they might have escaped like last time
I think there are some definite routes in that place that is providing them a safe route to escape

 

[another_armchair]

I have feeling that some mischief will be done in Ayodhya too.

It will lead to consolidation of Hindus... unless Pakis are spectacularly stupid.

No wait...

 

[Tuco]

It will lead to consolidation of Hindus... unless Pakis are spectacularly stupid.

No wait...

Well... The expectation would be riots and chaos.

 

[jai jaganath]

Vai 2nd pic look like our boys pls dlt and report the mullah acc looks a porky jihadi run acc

Even the 4th pic
Pls delete it @FalconSlayers ji

 

[FalconSlayers]

Vai 2nd pic look like our boys pls dlt and report the mullah acc looks a porky jihadi run acc

Deleted, tum bhi kardo. galat link paste kardiya tha.

 

[FalconSlayers]

 

[Viper316]

What I wanted to say was, Pakistan will conduct some big terror strike before Srinagar G20 (obvious). If they fail, this is a win-win for us, and things will calm down.

However, if Pakistan succeeds (high probability), we will be forced to respond (either after G20, if it happens, or if it gets canceled, immediately). Now, all these have been game-planned by China + Pakistan in the last two months (High-level meets between ISI & MSS).

So this gives us three situations,

• India still doesn't respond after a massive terror attack and possibly G20 cancellation. The reason is China breathing down our neck in Ladakh & Arunachal Pradesh. This will be a massive face-loss for the BJP as well as India as a country whole. This will have long-term consequences which won't be pleasant.
  
  
• India responds by Balakot/Surgical-strike type operation. Pakistan will 100% escalate to a local conflict. India either ignores subsequent escalation (very hard), or downplays it due to Chinese threat. Again, losing face massively, plus giving a moral victory to Pakistan.
  
  
• India responds by Balakot/Surgical-strike type operation. Pakistan escalates to a local conflict, and we respond in kind. China joins the game to put multi-pronged pressure, which might not be limited to local land-grab like in 2020, but a large-scale combined China-Pak kinetic over northern J&K (Drass-Kargil-Siachen) and Ladakh.

Anyway, all these situations are loose-loose for India.

[Please don't start a meltdown, all these are hypothetical]

To make sure China dont interfere in our conflict with pak, we need to preemptive heavy deployment at our most advantageous strategic positions. Once we decide to escalate, the first step shud be securing and dominating Malacca straits, deploying a CBG and a deal with US to deploy their flagship carrrier in the name of maritime training. Once we start commanding the strategic sea lanes along with presence of USN, china will be extremely cautious as it is hugely dependent upon Indian Ocean Sea lanes. Malacca straits only strategic place where we can not only entrangle PLA but also cut off their trade completly. Similar Preemptive actions like this would push China to a defensive mode and they may not take a huge risk for bankrupt nation