Gist of issue is this. We can hold them somehow on the ground, but for aerial duels, we might need US help. Unfortunately for India, that will come with heavy concessions. If China does indeed plan something outrageous, then don’t be surprised if Modi seeks US boots on ground.... I know that will upset people here but that’s what happens when you keep defence preparedness as your lowest priority over 2 decades!!!
Many are under the false impression that the PLAAF in Tibet is a massive force that will be able to overwhelm us. This is as far from the truth as Mars is from earth!! Here's why...
> Most PLAAF airfields in TAR have only rudimentary support infrastructure, which would make it difficult for the PLAAF to carry out large-scale air operations in a sustained manner in Tibet.
> The PLAAF aircraft would also be handicapped in terms of payload capabilities while operating from high-altitude airfields in Tibet.
> PLAAF does not have adequate flight-refuelling capabilities, allowing only limited number of aircraft to get airborne with full payload
> The IAF has access to a greater number of airfields, with much better support facilities which it could use for air operations with full payloads against targets in the TAR.
> Even though the PLAAF may be more than double the size of the IAF in terms of its overall combat aircraft strength, in a border war with India, it may find itself at a disadvantage vis-à-vis the numbers (and reduced payloads), it can field against the IAF.
> The PLAAF is now spread thin from TAR to the East to cover the South China Sea and areas along its East coast for the defence of Beijing and its financial hubs as the USN has moved 3 Carrier Strike Groups into the South China Sea threatening China's East coast as well as the disputed islands in the SCS.
Financial hubs, Eastern China
>Without adequate number of ‘blast pens’ (protective aircraft shelters) the PLAAF aircraft would be vulnerable to counter-air strikes by the IAF. Check out the images below where no blast pens are seen.
Hotan AFB
Gonggar Airfield
> The PLA could resort to the use of its superior tactical ballistic/cruise missiles and unmanned drones with conventional warheads in these missions to offset the shortcomings of its air force. However, missiles are handicapped because of their capability of having only a single-shot. Therefore, if the IAF improves on its already existing facilities to ensure proper active/passive AD, protection and rehabilitation capabilities at its airfields and radar sites, it could well weather the Chinese offensive. On the other hand, it could use this very shortcoming of the PLAAF to its advantage to achieve a favourable air situation in the battle zone. Once this is achieved, the IAF can not only remove the danger of PLAAF interfering with ground operations, but also provide much needed CAS to the IA to help it ward off Chinese ground forces.