India-China Border conflict

[pankaj nema]

His weekend has already started

When Russia attacks Ukraine , then
China will attack either TAIWAN OR INDIA

 

[THESIS THORON]

When Russia attacks Ukraine , then
China will attack either TAIWAN OR INDIA

cant be said .

if you think like this then it will become a world war 3

we will eatup pakistan

mauke par chauka

 

[Tuco]

His weekend has already started

Finally, not for the last time though.

 

[pankaj nema]

cant be said .

if you think like this then it will become a world war 3

we will eatup pakistan

mauke par chauka

Whatever has to happen will happen

But when US is involved somewhere else ,at that point CHINA will not sit quiet

 

[SwordOfDarkness]

Whatever has to happen will happen

But when US is involved somewhere else ,at that point CHINA will not sit quiet

US has maneuvered away from Europe, and Taiwan is not as defenceless as it may seem. 3 million troops caan be assembled if given time. And beach landings cant be done in a day unlike what russia can do.

 

[not so dravidian]

Whatever has to happen will happen

But when US is involved somewhere else ,at that point CHINA will not sit quiet

If I'm right there r 3 aircraft carries in SCS

 

[pankaj nema]

US has maneuvered away from Europe, and Taiwan is not as defenceless as it may seem. 3 million troops caan be assembled if given time. And beach landings cant be done in a day unlike what russia can do.

These are just Technicalities

The Real thing is Chinese Intent

China would like to see HOW USA
Faces a Two Front Situation

And Taiwan war has No Nuclear Dimensions

When Trump was about to attack Iran ,
Then also Pentagon had warned that as soon as Middle East goes to War , China will attack Taiwan

This time India is also involved in a Face off with China

 

[prasadr14]

When Russia attacks Ukraine , then
China will attack either TAIWAN OR INDIA

They will attack India with what?
And from where?

 

[pankaj nema]

They will attack India with what?
And from where?

Missiles , Artillery and Airforce for Now

And when May comes , and the snow melts , ground invasion becomes possible

They have All Assets in place

They only need an opportunity

 

[SwordOfDarkness]

Missiles , Artillery and Airforce for Now

And when May comes , and the snow melts , ground invasion becomes possible

They have All Assets in place

They only need an opportunity

Nah lol. If India gets hit, we will be opened up to a massive amount of military supplies that people would never sell to us otherwise. There is nothing more NATO wants than for India to deal with the chinese problem without putting any boots on the ground.

Short of soldiers, we will get anything we ask for.

 

[prasadr14]

Missiles , Artillery and Airforce for Now

And when May comes , and the snow melts , ground invasion becomes possible

They have All Assets in place

They only need an opportunity

They are going to use missiles to hit what exactly?
And they have Arti placed in Himalayas that will hit what?
Their airforce is going to cross himalayas and hit Indian territory?

And once the snow melts they will get a million troops marching across Himalayas to attack India!

I don't get it, while they are doing all that, what do you think we will be doing?

 

[pankaj nema]

Biden's Afghan debacle has emboldened China and Russia

Moscow and Beijing are ratcheting up military aggression from Ukraine to Taiwan

asia.nikkei.com

 

[warmachine541]

I don't think Russia would want India and China to start fighting when they are busy with Ukraine.

China will mostly attack Taiwan. No point of attacking India.

 

[hit&run]

When Russia attacks Ukraine , then
China will attack either TAIWAN OR INDIA

My thinking: PLA intrusions into Bhutan or possibly Nepal to punch out more land on key strategic locations.

 

[THESIS THORON]

My thinking: PLA intrusions into Bhutan or possibly Nepal to punch out more land on key strategic locations.

yeah, that is also possible, as no one is looking there

it will be better we we do some preemptive actions.

 

[DownWithCCP]

My thinking: PLA intrusions into Bhutan or possibly Nepal to punch out more land on key strategic locations.

They can do it otherwise also, US doesn't react as sharply(or at all) to Chinese adventures as it does to Russian maneuvering.

 

[fire starter]

 

[The Shrike]

My thinking: PLA intrusions into Bhutan or possibly Nepal to punch out more land on key strategic locations.

Interesting scenario, Bhutan is especially makes for a juicy target, they have already made further claims on their territory and gives them options to threaten India position.

 

[Hari Sud]

From BC

View attachment 137409

Chinese buildup in Himalayas is immaterial if comparable buildup has been made by India at the border. There is no comparison with Russian buildup at the Ukraine border. This border is fully inhabited plains area where a single tank or a group of soldier could make a big difference. The Americans are totally centred around Russia after their recent Afghanistan defeat. They wish to restore their prestige by pretending to be doing something. There would be no buildup or chance of fight if Americans do not get over ambitious to enrol Ukraine into NATO. That is getting too close to the Russian border. This situation is very similar to the Russian/Soviets coming to Cuba in 1962 and American getting nervous with Russian Cuban buildup. The solution is to give up expansion of NATO.

As regards to Chinese buildup in Himalayas with 2/3 of their military stationed next to China sea (4000 miles away) is much more of a paid propaganda. Yes, they learnt a hard lesson in a hand to hand fight in Galwan River valley two years back. They will attempt no such thing again as their prestige is at stake. Now India is fully prepared to give the Chinese a strong reply. They may loose a few square kilometre of area which they have stealthily occupied. Only additional buildup Chinese have indulged recently is to strengthen their formations which are facing equally fully strengthened Indian formations.

The key is not to listen to Chinese paid propaganda. This propaganda has shape of a few defence analysts, retired military men with eye to get paid by Chinese interests or simply angry military men who missed the top job as they thought they were more capable. There is a bunch of them making news all the time.

 

[hit&run]

Interesting scenario, Bhutan is especially makes for a juicy target, they have already made further claims on their territory and gives them options to threaten India position.

Covid-Ping has activated 5 Fingers of Tibet encroachment.

If any defense analyst is not able to observe it for the last couple of years then he needs to watch and follow them more carefully. From political subversion and propaganda drives in Bhutan and Nepal to confrontation with India he is up for a bigger show to prove his worth. The encroachment of Bhutan and Nepal territory is already underway.

There was a good PLA watcher who use to test every theory on the scale of most heavy PLA build-up which used to be Taiwan those days. Now the heaviest build-up is against India.

What was China able to pull out by threatening Taiwan? It was rolling back of its Nuclear program and grandfathering trade deals with USA and EU that came at the cost of depriving the rest of the emerging economies.

Now China has hit the saturation point. It will force the rich western world or world at large to reengage with it or it will be forced to drink the Kool-Aid of a multi-polar world and share the manufacturing pie.

With the law of diminishing returns setting in Covid-Ping fears losing the mandate of heaven thus hiding and looking for deception.

If I am Covid-Ping and want to use a deception till I observe the post-Covid world to renegotiate China's place in the new order I will use a trick I am comfortable with and has legacy reasons to do it.

China will calibrate accordingly but any global big distraction will be used to gain territories where they are heavily stationed and has a civilizational aspiration to do so which he can also easily sell back to his zombie population.

Chinese are good gamblers. With India, their chances of losing are higher. Till they see chink in our armor they will wait in the meantime will keep sanitizing other frontiers with Bhutan and Nepal.

This is my reading/theory. I could be wrong.