Dharmapalas
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- Apr 30, 2017
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![United-States Country flag](https://defenceforumindia.com/misc/flags/shiny/32/United-States.png)
We will see how long this will last.
Well..I see this as Capitalist vs Communist nexus.
The reason on why is low is because Taiwan has received a huge amount of weapons from the USA.If China attacked Taiwan the world's economy would go into another great depression. China will only attack Taiwan if the US decides to escalate it by sending huge amounts of weapons. If we just leave that situation alone and mind our own business for once, the chance of China invading Taiwan is zero. I don't understand why people can't understand that.
This is from April dude..A map of the current situation in Bakhmut
Wrong conclusion..View attachment 222682
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Russian forces near Norway at '20% or less' than before Ukraine war, Norway's armed-forces chief says
Russian forces stationed in the Arctic near Norway are "20% or less" of the number they were before the February 2022 invasion of Ukraine, Norway's chief of defence said on Saturday.www.reuters.com
View attachment 222683
If Putin doesn't consider NATO a threat then the war must be about something else.
Not true. For China, Taiwan is sort of like POK for India, retaking it is matter of national pride. Except in our case, POK is with beggar country with failed institutions, and Taiwan is a rich country with high geopolitical importance.If China attacked Taiwan the world's economy would go into another great depression. China will only attack Taiwan if the US decides to escalate it by sending huge amounts of weapons. If we just leave that situation alone and mind our own business for once, the chance of China invading Taiwan is zero. I don't understand why people can't understand that.
Actually, you talked about an interesting point. I will disagree though, when you say "also just as much about will to fight".War is about numbers and sheer power for sure (where NATO has a huge upper hand), but it's also just as much about will to fight and appetite to sacrifice. I don't think NATO has that at all. Sure they will win an all out conventional war (without nukes), but are they willing to lose 100s of thousands, maybe more than a million, of their men? Not at all. Maybe some tiny eastern European nations have some appetite for bodybags, but Noone else.
Edit- and then there is a factor of other countries being involved. Add in China, North Korea, Iran, Belarus, Syria and the picture becomes much glimmer doesn't it? What if China attacks Taiwan when NATO is fully occupied? What if North Korea goes apeshit? What if Russia provides Iran with nuke tech? As we can see, numbers are just one of the benchmarks of war.
Huge amount of weapons won't cause China to go to war.. China will go to war, if morons in Washington convince Taiwan to declare formal independence.. or US passes a law that declares Taiwan as Independent country..If China attacked Taiwan the world's economy would go into another great depression. China will only attack Taiwan if the US decides to escalate it by sending huge amounts of weapons. If we just leave that situation alone and mind our own business for once, the chance of China invading Taiwan is zero. I don't understand why people can't understand that.
The third: credible deterrence. Make the enemy perceive unbearable hypothetical costs for starting any sort of conflict, and bring him to the negotiating table in advanceWarfare throughout history has revolved around breaking the enemy's will to fight. Firepower, military strength, these are all simply tools to achieve that. There are only two ways to win a war - Kill every single enemy (not feasible) or create a sense of despair in the enemy where they will choose to fight no longer. Extermination is difficult, inefficient, and immoral - Which is why the primary objective for war is to break the enemy's will.
EVerything else revolves around it. Firepower, logistics to support it, Shock and Awe, all have one goal - Remove the enemy's will to fight.