- Nov 25, 2021
They (PLAN) don't need to be "sneaky", spreading enemy assets (Indian) will be good enough for them to turn an unfavorable situation to a fairly equivalent situation. And the coastal radars you mentioned are limited by the horizon.Well the IOR is thoroughly surveyed - between IFC IOR and mission based deployments and strings of coastal radar and surveillance stations, its near impossible for a chinese fleet to be sneaky.
Fighting a well armed nation like India without air support (which would be provided by carriers) in our own backyard is suicidal for anyone, PLAN is no exception. & they (PLAN) won't have such capability or capacity b4 mid-late 30s where they can deploy a task force with 2 supercarriers at it's center.
Yes, and most people here will agree that we need more LR MPA (be it manned or unmanned) to keep an eye on them, the current number (12) are not enough, indigenous subsystems merged with a foreign airframe (be it the same frame as P-8I) will take good time, stalling the P-8I deal (the price has been changed => need to get AoN again) has cost us some precious years where our MPA fleet could have kept growing continuously. And those MPA would need fighter escorts if a chinese CSG is in the area.
We'll see what the future holds,China doesnt and cannot operate such aircraft over the IOR at all in conflict.
Will PRC be able to secure a base in Tanzania? Not impossible IMO.
A chinese CSG in IOR can provide them with 3-4 F/A sq, 10-12 aircrafts each (double if it's a tandem CSG, which is unlikely b4 the late 30s period).
And an SAG can protect itself from submarines by using ASW helis too.
AIUI, we're on the same page regarding the things i mentioned above.