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I had posted this a while back:According to some message circulated by CCP 50 cent followers, Russia will be the last pawn for China to conquer. Basically they were pointing to some territories China lost to Russia long ago. For Chinese the entire world view is that they are master race and all others are barbarians. They have been wronged in the last 100 years now they can do whatever they want and the entire world should just sit back and bend over.
While this thread has been talking about everything related to military and geopolitics, what this thread misses is that Chinese demographics. You only fight a war when you have abundant young men in your country. The moment your country becomes a aging society where old people outnumber the young then any war will be a disaster. CCP and Xi knows that they can't reverse the current trend of Chinese having fewer children. The demographic collapse is imminent. If they plan to fight any war after 2025 they will have to take into account the worst case scenario of how many men they will lose.
Just ask Russia. WW2 was a death knell for Russia in terms of demographics. Even today 75 years after WW2 women outnumber men in Russia. Without favorable demographics going to war is suicidal in the long run. Whatever war Chinese have to fight for what ever reason, they have to do it before 2030. Their population pyramid is already inverted and it is only going to get worse from 2030 onwards.
China is projected to have 400 million less people by the end of the century. Their growth will be incredibly hard to sustain. Imagine the US losing 28% of its population from 1925–2000. That is what China is facing.
China will never start an actual war unless they have a brilliant plan that would knock out both Taiwan and USA out of the conflict. Keep in mind that all the problems in CCP: low birth rates, energy crisis and corruption would be uncontrollable in an all out war with US and would fuck china so hard that it would return to the state like it was in 50s.