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Conflict is 100% because we have called their bluff.Boss there is no bluffing. Believe me chances of conflict are 100%.
Only variable is US general election in Nov. That is affecting Chinese thinking.
Let me assure you, Chinese are not ready for war, let alone war with India where they are the aggressors.
Forget the advantage of India having in defensive posturing as well as having Himalayas separating us.....it's Tibet that would concern China tremendously.
All it takes is a match & China might end up losing Tibet forever.
Imagine Kashmir but having 100% locals against you - that is Tibet for China.