Please tell us those patterns.
I will say anytime between today and October is possible. It is also possible China will just reinforce their positions this year (reinforcing airfields, making underground bunkers, and strengthening the supply chain).
Many patterns. People generally take military logistics and posturing as indicators but miss systemic and political markers to predict milittary confrontations. I have yet to see a confrontation happening after both sides fully dug in eye ball to eye.
Zhang Xudong was put in charge in December. TAT is generally 6 months to give desirable results for new comer. Either his mandate is to fully disengage which he partially did but
seems like a smoke screen. Or escalate plus minus few weeks depending on geo political or enemy’s internal dynamics.
With Covid at surge and so called Modi popularity few notches down he will never do anything to divert attention and willl let resentment against Modi consolidate.
Now Modi is coming out of Covid and then black fungus scripted cacophony, PLA is free to start a new disruption. With sold out snake Rahul Gandhi anti Modi social media storm will be triggered without saying.
GoI has already kicked out Huawei from 5G trials which is another indication that PLA has got a free hand.
PLA activity reported is unusual for the last few weeks. From here onwards things will escalate. Please note I am only talking about skirmishes.