- Joined
- Aug 10, 2009
- Messages
- 3,582
- Likes
- 2,538
My take is that prcchina and india are more or less evenly balaned at the moment of course with china having the slight or even more than tha advatage .... i think china is the kind of strateegy that wants a very clear advantage before they hit an objective ...eg in 1962 they were clearly ahead so they pulled it off ....1968 etc were just trying the bioundary and not very hard attenmpts
my feeling is that they will rob SCs petroleum resources and build military with 15% hike in buget every year till they can see a sizeable gap ahead of india
if we allow a big gap then we have allowed a war real possiblity to take place
otoh if they run into economic difficulties then like the last 5.5 decades since 1962, they cant do much ...except to do some cpec nonsense and try to scare india or somehow inhibit our econ growth
i dont see china as going into a war where they dont have the 5:1 aggressors necessary advantage and if they dont have that then coming out with a bloody nose like in sumdorong chu and with todays electronic media they will lose face big time
they are hoping for india to make a huge blunder like Cong gets into office again with priyanka or something and puts the military to the side with no development
then they can create the huge gap scenario and then we had it cos they could do whatever they liked with hardly any reaction from our side
what is critical, what they must develop is a sizeable gap in capabilities, as long as we dont allow that to happen they cant take us in directly but rather they will kep building up strength via economic gains and taking resources out of SCS
and if trump and usa allows china to grab resources out of SCS and turn it into economic gains then that is one way they can keep upping their military budget by 15% every year and we cant match them then they look for that gap and advantage
my feeling is that they will rob SCs petroleum resources and build military with 15% hike in buget every year till they can see a sizeable gap ahead of india
if we allow a big gap then we have allowed a war real possiblity to take place
otoh if they run into economic difficulties then like the last 5.5 decades since 1962, they cant do much ...except to do some cpec nonsense and try to scare india or somehow inhibit our econ growth
i dont see china as going into a war where they dont have the 5:1 aggressors necessary advantage and if they dont have that then coming out with a bloody nose like in sumdorong chu and with todays electronic media they will lose face big time
they are hoping for india to make a huge blunder like Cong gets into office again with priyanka or something and puts the military to the side with no development
then they can create the huge gap scenario and then we had it cos they could do whatever they liked with hardly any reaction from our side
what is critical, what they must develop is a sizeable gap in capabilities, as long as we dont allow that to happen they cant take us in directly but rather they will kep building up strength via economic gains and taking resources out of SCS
and if trump and usa allows china to grab resources out of SCS and turn it into economic gains then that is one way they can keep upping their military budget by 15% every year and we cant match them then they look for that gap and advantage