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Plus, now that the US has declared that their response will be proportional to the size of the invasion, it really won't get complicated. Just like 2014, when Russia stops at the Dnieper River and only goes up till Kyiv, the only thing the West will do is bring on more sanctions. They would only get seriously involved if Russia advances towards Western Ukraine, but I don't think that Russia has any interest in that. So, it's definitely not looking good for Ukraine.To be honest, Ukraine is looking really bad. From an attackers POV, Russians have so many avenues that its impossible for Ukraine to defend. Belarus, Moldova, Crimea, Long Russian border, beach landings. Ukraine wont be able to use Defenders advantage much.
And if anyone is hoping for guerilla warfare, just know that smuggling weapons to Ukraine will be much harder than Afghanistan- It is surrounded by enemy countries.
Plus, completely unlike Afghanistan, there is no bloodthirsty uncompromising tribalism in Ukraine, so there won't be any prolonged resistance or major guerrilla war. The whole thing will last a month at most.
The entire thing is so pointless. The whole thing can be avoided if America simply says that it will not vote to accept Ukraine in NATO when the time comes and this whole crisis will be averted, but again there's no money to be made through that route, so that's not happening.