swapcv
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If a war turns hot won't ballistic missiles (can be non nuclear) be used upon military shipyards? In WW2 factories and shipyards were bombed. So likely those with long range BM will use them upon shipyards and weapons factories. Thanks to those BM, once the war begins there won't be mass production like there was in WW2. Everything is always in bombing range.
For the most part, everyone will only have what they start with.
Before even we get to that stage, the Chinese would be reeling under multiple Assymmetric threats in the form of Naval Blockades, Economic sanctions, internal strife and what not. While it does project itself as capable enough to handle them, in War, and due to the Fog of War often the ends never justify the means always. Any escalation on their part dooms them to a counterescalation against themselves and also traps them deeper in a general turmoil on all fronts. Unlike in the old days where the goals or the objectives were clear, today it isn't always possible to make a conventional war work. Plenty of examples to see from Vietnam, Afghanistan I and II.