Nope. A problem with balochi is that they themselves are divided. There is a power struggle between BLA and BRP, the two main baloch parties. Plus some balochis are okay with living under paki rule. There is no unity per se.
Indian Govt could have invited all baloch factions to Delhi and arrive at a power sharing formula. Then declare a baloch govt in exile with full diplomatic support. This requires no war machine but political will.
An insurgency doesn't run on consensus. If that were the case, you could have said in 1971 "why would the Islamic ethnic group of Bengalis (who saw lot of Hindu Muslim riots during 1947) team up with the socialist-Hindu nation of India to fight against the Islamic republic of Pakistan". There was a large chunk of Bengali Jamaat-e-Islami members who were pro-Pakistan even during 1971. They were the ones helping Pakistan capture and kill Mukti Bahini leaders, despite being Bengali themselves. We succeeded despite that. In any war, there are always traitors and collaborators. Their internal politics is not our business. Our job is to shape the ecosystem in a manner that is desirable to our national interest.
Even at the peak of Bangladesh movement, not more than 20% of their people were involved in the Mukti Bahini. The rest were like clueless cattle.
Every insurgency requires a critical mass, and that number is way less than 100% consensus. There's also an insurgency brewing in Sindh, and Pashtoon nationalism brewing. Both of these provinces together have the critical mass to break off from Pakistan. Even if the irregulars do the task of intel gathering and harassing the Pakistani reserve force to keep them pinned down, their job is done. India can take care of the rest.
I personally asked this question to Lt Gen Vinayak Patankar, and asked him to explain it to me like a 5 year old in simple binaries whether India will carve out an independent Baloch nation or not, and he said that a national policy is like an onion. It is peeled one layer at a time to allow the buildup to the final event. If you smash the onion all of a sudden, it will blow up in your face. That was the end of it. Samajhdar ko ishaara kaafi.
It is being done in a systematic manner. There are many books written about the Bangladesh success story which you can use as a template and you will see signs of what is going on. It shows how Bangladeshi intellectuals were allowed to hold people to people rallies in India to collect funds and to raise awareness, and at the same time, Indian government was recruiting Mukti Bahini inside Bangladesh. It's a large machinery and everyone has a role to play. It doesn't matter how many tribes there are. You can have one-on-one arrangement with each one of them and assign tasks to them. Even during the Bangladesh struggle, the Bengali intellectuals were coached by Indian diplomatic service on how to speak, how to write articles, how to represent their cause in foreign nations. At the same time, the foot soldiers of Mukti Bahini were trained by ustaads of IA. These Mukti Bahini had nothing in common with the elite, English speaking Bengali intelligentsia, still India was able to give a role to each of them to work towards a cause. Both these groups didn't even know about the existence of each other.
If your only contention is that you will only believe that something is happening if someone tells you that Balochistan will be a free nation on exactly 12 March, 2018, 1:34:45 PM IST, then it's not going to happen. Don't get caught up in Arjun syndrome of analysis paralysis. Something is happening, our only job is,
ek dhakka aur do..
