I doubt that France might seriously get involved in Algeria and perhaps they are well adviced not to do that,
France has a lot of Algerian population and any mischief in Algeria now might cost France hugely.
Algeria is the first to come to mind. With them only 500 miles from our airspace a system like S-400 could cause massive problems. There are several scenarios for a match with China and there is plenty of talk for Iran to get it.
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ISIS does not have S-400 if you remember
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There was a little issue of Daesch which was of greater urgency. Priorities do matter and a little tin-pot dictator doesn't rise above terrorists attacking your shores. A former enemy turned into a reluctant ally in the fight.
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At present what is in a way saving Erdogan is that Turkey is part of NATO, but it is very clear to Turkey that the coup more than a year back had American blessings., Thus it makes sense to prepare one selves.
IF you know Americans want to overthrow you, would you depend on American defence protection or try to get weapons that might help in case the Americans have thoughts
France though signed with Turkey, but France is known to toe the American line.. not really much France can do. Would you go against the Americans if Americans want to go against Turkey?
I think France in that case will prefer to abstain.. very similar to how France did not deliver the Exocet missiles to Argentina during Falkland wars.
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Did Erdogan ever say he wanted to leave NATO? That is news to me if he did. The fact he signed a long term SAM deal with France rather supersedes any notion he was going Russian.
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Turks wont leave NATO, they dont have benefit to leave it, rather it protects them also, but on other hand they wont depend on NATO. During the Syrian conflict it was clear
The turks attacked the russian plane and then they kissed and made up
The turks are anti YPG and maybe pro ISIS. The Americans and NATO are pro YPG with YPG having American advisors and Anti ISIS (at least for that moment) So you see the interests are not really common.
For Russia there is clarity, anyone who is Anti Assad, is their enemy. So thus there is common ground for Russia and Syria,
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To think the Turks would leave NATO and join Russia when Turkey is shooting down Russian planes... do I need to say more?
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The Turks had threatened Cyprus with War if they did not take out the S-300 and then those were given to Greece I think. Greece is totally dependent on NATO and have no threat of being attacked by NATO COUNTRIES., But on other hand, Turkey is seeing the intervention of some NATO ally in their internal matters
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When they sold S-300 to Cyprus it was top of the line at the time and we ended up training against it. If they did it before why not do it again?
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France wont attack Turkey, it would prefer to Abstain, but what about America, would France go against Americans if they went against Turkey? Give it a thought
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The only way France would attack Turkey is if they start a war with Greece. The ramifications of that is the end of Turkey so it will never happen.
Seriously read my response to this. There is logic in my words.