@Gessler &
@warrior monk, S3 (Aridhaman), S4 will be of same size. I am assuming close to 8,000 tn.
The Aridhaman and forthcoming S4 will be absolutely the same size & displacement as Arihant, and they will incorporate only 4 silos with 4 K-4 Mk-1/2 SLBMs. They are all boats of the same class.
What you're saying is like Sahyadri & Satpura will be bigger & carrying more missiles than Shivalik. It doesn't work like that. They will all be of the same size.
Never heard of this. The number of Arihant-class vessels to be made was always only 3. Provided the fact that R&D on the improved, bigger reactors is already underway, it doesn't make any sense to keep fiddling around with a pseudo-SSBN like Arihant.
After the the S4 boat is delivered, the SBC together with L&T assistance will have to start a massive overhaul project of the dock & facilities to accommodate the significantly larger S5-class of true-blue SSBNs.
It is acceptable that after these S-5 vessels (either 3 or 5 of them) are delivered, the existing 3 Arihant-class boats will be relieved of the SSBN (strategic deterrence/second-strike) role and will then undergo a mid-life upgrade of sorts, before being pressed into service again under the guise of SSGNs, carrying the Nirbhay SLCM for tactical/strategic land-attack and a version of the BrahMos-NG or BrahMos-II for anti-shipping self-defence.
Their displacement will be 12,000 tn (some sources say 10,000 tn too), but no where near 20,000 tn! Here, take a look.
The most informed source on the matter (Prasun K. Sengupta) says they will be around the 20,000 tons category. The Naval Physical & Oceanographic Laboratory (NPOL) has revealed an illustration of the S-5 while advertising for it's SSS I-12 submarine defence sonar suite, which is being developed for the same.
To date, the above illustration remains the only viable precursor to what the S-5 class could look like. Even by looking at design, you can tell that there is a strong resemblance to the Delta-IV class. The Delta-IV SSBN has a reported submerged displacement of somewhere near 18,200 to 19,000 tons.
It's possible the inclusion of different nuclear/pressure technology, materials etc. may have offset the weight-loss gained by removing 4 silos from the original Delta-IV/improved design.
I'm sure his sources (they're good) have confirmed whatever he has revealed over the years. If it wasn't for Prasun, no-one in the defence reporting fraternity would even have a hair's-breadth clue that a submarine project called S-5 was even being contemplated. It was the time when everyone was thinking we'll be building 6 or so boats of the Arihant-class!
That infographic you posted is in no way an official representation, most likely seems like a figment of imagination.
I trust his (Prasun's) sources. If you don't want to, that's your choice and I'm going to force you to trust him.
The infographic also get's the K-5 missile's range wrong. It has been officially revealed in a DRDO presentation by VK Saraswat that K-5 SLBM will have a 6,000+ km range. Prasun quotes this range as 6,500km.
The plan to cap missile silos at 12 may have come from the fact that this K-5 has almost twice the payload capacity of the R-29 series missiles that originally equipped the Delta, and also remains significantly larger than what even the RSM-56 Bulava or the Trident-II D5 can carry over those ranges. Basing this statement on the US/Russian SLBM's payload-to-range figures revealed as per START doctrine.