We will fire 3 Brahmos, in reply Packis will fire 6 of which half will miss or get shot down. We will then claim victory and that our objectives have been been met and go back to piss and tranquility mode.
It's a optimistic scenario honestly.
The entire post balakot saga was a disaster of epic proportions.
We shot down our own helicopter lost a mig-21 which should never have been in the fight if you ask me especially when we knew the Pakistanis would retaliate.
They captured our pilot and our side already had the wreckage of mi-17 while they had the wreckage of mig-21. I have still not found a proper explanation as to where exactly where our AD units that day.
We had nothing to show bar data from various sources which no matter what anyone says is simply not better than visual confirmation.
Similarly we had reports of not using the crystal maze or some missile that had cameras due to weather issues so no videos for the target either.
While the PR disaster can be even kept aside on a moment. Things on the ground have had little effects only. We have regularly busted huge amounts of RDX in cars and other areas like pulwama. The only major improvement i can see post pulwama is that intelligence agencies have developed a extremely potent network and hats off to them for their services.
We lost close close to a dozen soldiers during a standoff with terrorists hidden in the jungle areas. The month long operation at least to me signified a lot of persistent issues in the armed forces.
We ended up with a ceasefire while they butcher our civilians in Kashmir without any consequences. I would not pay heed to the BLA TTP nonsense because both the organization's have different founding fathers. One came from Iran while the other came from Afghanistan and they are still their main supplier's.
Most importantly can we even equate Pakistani losses to our losses.
Now with uncle Sam's blessings and loans pakistan in a good enough condition to once again strike back at us without expecting any major consequences.
Most importantly I feel that their modernization plan has went well enough that i don't expect India to exactly finish any war with them in a matter of weeks if we do go all out.
I would rather be pessemistic rather than facing a rude awakening like we did post balakot.