- Joined
- Aug 28, 2019
- Messages
- 9,954
- Likes
- 60,451
Truly lucky are those who are fortunate enough to spill blood for the motherland, nothing to be sad about, life well lived
Truly lucky are those who are fortunate enough to spill blood for the motherland, nothing to be sad about, life well lived
Truly lucky are those who are fortunate enough to spill blood for the motherland, nothing to be sad about, life well lived
China’s Neighbors Are Stronger Than We Think
All across the Indo-Pacific arc, countries are beefing up their defenses.foreignpolicy.com
China’s Neighbors Are Stronger Than We Think
neighbors are strong but there is no leadershipThough China's neighbours and rivals in the Indo Pacific, comprising Vietnam, India, Japan, Australia, Indonesia, Phillipines and Taiwan are strong, collective action is needed, without which, the Chinese can go and park 200 boats in the SCS. Even India alone will be incapable of taking on China in a decade or two, and if India is unable to maintain a sufficient deterrent, little can be expected from other countries in the SCS. A brilliant infographic I saw recently, was the Asia Power Index by the Lowy Institute, which is mostly responsible for convincing Australian lawmakers to get more involved in the QUAD. They considered future, as well as present capabilities of countries, and put it all neatly in one diagram. The US isn't as weak we thing, but the same applies to the Chinese, is what I concluded from the infographic. For those interested:
https://power.lowyinstitute.org/
Thanks for that site.Though China's neighbours and rivals in the Indo Pacific, comprising Vietnam, India, Japan, Australia, Indonesia, Phillipines and Taiwan are strong, collective action is needed, without which, the Chinese can go and park 200 boats in the SCS. Even India alone will be incapable of taking on China in a decade or two, and if India is unable to maintain a sufficient deterrent, little can be expected from other countries in the SCS. A brilliant infographic I saw recently, was the Asia Power Index by the Lowy Institute, which is mostly responsible for convincing Australian lawmakers to get more involved in the QUAD. They considered future, as well as present capabilities of countries, and put it all neatly in one diagram. The US isn't as weak we thing, but the same applies to the Chinese, is what I concluded from the infographic. For those interested:
https://power.lowyinstitute.org/
Not just leadership, collective action. NATO succeeded due to the presence of collective action. The situation today is very similar to that of the 1950's with the Soviets, but no one seems to be willing to take the mantle and take the fight to the Chinese. India seems to be unwilling to take the fight to China, by developing its cyber warfare capabilities, or moving from its continental mindset, when it comes to the Armed Forces, while diplomatically, we should be moving faster to establish a Secretariat and collective action groups like the NATO Centres of Excellence. For all its talk, the US seems to be not doing much to advance the QUAD and are just moving slowly on most matters, bringing things like Climate Change to a group based on geopolitics. Australia is too weak to do anything similar to leadership, and the poor old Japs are left all alone. India needs to take up the mantle with the Japanese and start advancing the QUAD, or start putting more focus on the India-France-Australia trilateral.neighbors are strong but there is no leadership
The soviets weren't "World's largest consumer market", "factory of the world", "source of ez investment bux", "source of cheap items that i can sell at a mark up" etc.Not just leadership, collective action. NATO succeeded due to the presence of collective action. The situation today is very similar to that of the 1950's with the Soviets, but no one seems to be willing to take the mantle and take the fight to the Chinese. India seems to be unwilling to take the fight to China, by developing its cyber warfare capabilities, or moving from its continental mindset, when it comes to the Armed Forces, while diplomatically, we should be moving faster to establish a Secretariat and collective action groups like the NATO Centres of Excellence. For all its talk, the US seems to be not doing much to advance the QUAD and are just moving slowly on most matters, bringing things like Climate Change to a group based on geopolitics. Australia is too weak to do anything similar to leadership, and the poor old Japs are left all alone. India needs to take up the mantle with the Japanese and start advancing the QUAD, or start putting more focus on the India-France-Australia trilateral.
Another thing which would be a good point to talk about is the potential expansion of the QUAD. Which countries does everyone believe would be included in the QUAD? IMO, France, Vietnam and Philippines seem likely to be included. Taiwan is unlikely to be a formal member of QUAD, due to recognition issues, but will likely have close collaboration with the other members of the QUAD. South Korea and New Zealand haven't been included as they seem to be gravitating to China. Same goes for Thailand. Indonesia is a bit of a mixed game though.
Is maulanaji invited to the summit?Looks like Uncle Xi and Uncle Putin are not attending Biden's Climate gala event .. After all the hype, China might not even allow Kerry into China..
From what I understand china has not rejected their invite as of now instead I had read they would likely take part in the summit.Looks like Uncle Xi and Uncle Putin are not attending Biden's Climate gala event .. After all the hype, China might not even allow Kerry into China..
The whole thing is a joke.The soviets weren't "World's largest consumer market", "factory of the world", "source of ez investment bux", "source of cheap items that i can sell at a mark up" etc.
Nobody wants to oppose the Chongs, Quad is a meme.
All dallas busy with climate change ******y.
"factory of the world", "source of ez investment bux", and "source of cheap items that i can sell at a mark up" are almost gone. Factories are shifting to Vietnam, India and Indonesia for precisely that reason. "World's largest consumer market" will soon be old, before they are rich, as someone rightly described. China is solely rich right now, with a highly centralized market economy.The soviets weren't "World's largest consumer market", "factory of the world", "source of ez investment bux", "source of cheap items that i can sell at a mark up" etc.
Nobody wants to oppose the Chongs, Quad is a meme.
All dallas busy with climate change ******y.
Boss it's not the fact that they were poorer, it is that Soviet market was more or less closed for Western business."factory of the world", "source of ez investment bux", and "source of cheap items that i can sell at a mark up" are almost gone. Factories are shifting to Vietnam, India and Indonesia for precisely that reason. "World's largest consumer market" will soon be old, before they are rich, as someone rightly described. China is solely rich right now, with a highly centralized market economy.
I am not denying that the Soviets were MUCH poorer than China today, but China faces systemic problems, their demography and the debt crisis(as is seen in reduced loans by Chinese banks, affecting our dear neighbour as well).
Suggest this and this.
What?? None of your statements seem to match the realties on ground."factory of the world", "source of ez investment bux", and "source of cheap items that i can sell at a mark up" are almost gone. Factories are shifting to Vietnam, India and Indonesia for precisely that reason. "World's largest consumer market" will soon be old, before they are rich, as someone rightly described. China is solely rich right now, with a highly centralized market economy.
I am not denying that the Soviets were MUCH poorer than China today, but China faces systemic problems, their demography and the debt crisis(as is seen in reduced loans by Chinese banks, affecting our dear neighbour as well).
Suggest this and this.
yes,practically it is not a defeat but technically it is a defeat.no one in their right minds thinks that the afghan taliban can beat any decent army in a proper war.look what happened to them at our borders in the 90s.they went extinct.AFG did not "defeat" anyone, period! its just a wasteland where stupid jihadists grow with help of "farmers" like iran, pak and saudi- no nation can get any benefit from that place (no oil, no fertile land- NADA)
British empire, USSR and USA "WITHDREW" FROM WAR in AFG, not surrendered (like 1971)!- consider that "withdrawal" as in PORN movies just before climax...AFG is fu**ked badly multiple times thanks to PAK and company.
india is the main obstacle against china as i had predicted,it is not america as i predicccted as even if trump was elected ,the core of america is rotting,as in there is no national will or majority common identity,it is currenlty composed of fragmented chunks of 7-8 factions of different religio-ethnic and plitical divisions with parties forming along those lines(do you think blacks and mexicans have any hardon for democracy or attacking china like the white neocons and muh america republicans,do you think the alt right has any appetite to stay in endless wars and attack china,etc).Keeping China out of Taiwan will take a tough stand from Biden
The Biden administration’s ambiguous attitude to China has been a matter of widespread disconcertion.thehill.com
Keeping China out of Taiwan will take a tough stand from Biden
with headlines like this it seems Biden is weakening against china. Not much
confidence for allies with Biden as a leader.
in a nutshell i am saying that there is more than the no of guns and boats you have in a war,it also matters what culture,mentality each side has and it can be observed in many cases that fanaticism of any kind,tribalism,etc for nation,tribe,religion,etc can really help a side and make it last and take much more punishment than on paper would seem possible as it can motivate the fighters to fight harder and the non military civilians not to poke their state to surrender and withdraw.india is the main obstacle against china as i had predicted,it is not america as i predicccted as even if trump was elected ,the core of america is rotting,as in there is no national will or majority common identity,it is currenlty composed of fragmented chunks of 7-8 factions of different religio-ethnic and plitical divisions with parties forming along those lines(do you think blacks and mexicans have any hardon for democracy or attacking china like the white neocons and muh america republicans,do you think the alt right has any appetite to stay in endless wars and attack china,etc).
what people dont realize the on paper strength of america does not transalate to sufficient effective strength on the ground due to this fragmentation due to diversity and all other social maladies coming home to roost,many of them which they cant stop as they have been shilling their merits to others for decades.so they are stuck.
india is actually potentially more dangerous than usa for china as we have skin in the game and we are propelled by one of the most potent human forces in history tribalism which can achieve much more than what is shown on paper.if india cant cut it,then no one can.
america is just the guy who does not believe in him self,even sometimes hates his own identity hiding behind his big guns and toys hoping that will deter away china.essentially bluffing.unfortunately like decades past,these days it is not working and china is calling their bluff as even in americas forte of large no of modern warships,china is catching up and in economy size too it is reaching critical mass.even the warship conditions of america are deteriorating and in a decade china might be americas equal.
so on paper strength itself should not be considered,many other factors should be considered and effective strength must be calculated and put into your model for prediction if you want accurate predictions.
Thread starter | Similar threads | Forum | Replies | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|
India-China 2020 Border Dispute - Military and Strategic Discussion | Indian Army | 19501 | ||
V | Non-Military implications of India-China Standoff 2020 | China | 61 | |
Memes & Jokes India China Standoff 2020 | Members Corner | 334 | ||
India to overtake China in 2020: Swaminathan Aiyar | Economy & Infrastructure | 33 |