You have made some excellent points that I wanted to highlight, infact we are largely in agreement.
Any formidable airforce, be it the USAF or the PLAAF, has a light to medium weight single engine fighter jet in its fleet in massive numbers which forms the backbone of its fleet.
For the USAF, its the F-16 of which they operate 900+ examples, the PLAAF operates 500+ J-10.
The Tejas Mk1 and Mk1A are good multirole fighter aircraft which have proven their A2A and A2G capabilities during exercises like Gaganshakti, but I fail to understand why is the aircraft only being looked as a replacement for the Mig-21 fleet and not as a fleet backbone.
This is the perfect example of short sightedness and its funny that forum members support this short sightedness.
We need a
medium fighter to be our backbone of airforce. But we need to understand why a
light fighter (Tejas Mk1A) won't be ideal. We need to strike a balance between these factors -
- Operational cost
- Payload capacity
- Endurance (with the payload)
- Combat Range
- Power o/p (proportional to radar, EW, and other equipment power)
- Upgradability (small jets have less space & flexibility for upgrade)
LCA Mk2 fills the gaps of Mk1A, and being made in the same philosophy of low-cost, medium-weight multirole fighter like F-16, Gripen, and J-10, it is ideal for being the backbone of IAF, and IAF agrees with the same.
Also, the notion that LCA Mk1/1A is a replacement of Mig-21, has been dropped long ago. Tejas exceeds and outperforms Mig-21 in many aspects, and IAF realizes that. The proof is while Mig-21 was a point-defense air interceptor, being deployed at frontline combat airbases, Tejas is being deployed at 2nd-layer bases (Deesa AFB, Jodhpur AFB), and also a plethora of A2G smart munitions like Hammer is being integrated into Tejas.
You thinking the MMRCA acts as a buffer for development of Tejas variants and AMCA shpws how little you know of the MMRCA timelines, even if the MMRCA is signed tomorrow it won't be atleast till 2025-26 that the first aircraft is rolled out of the production line, also the production rate is not going to exceed more than 14 jets per year since IAF can only induct a limited number of jets into its fleet every year.
If IAF is really worried about its dwindling squadron strength, then it won't stop the Tejas Mk1/1A order at only 123 units.
I was talking in the
past tense. If we had the MMRCA order completed even by 2017-18 we would have started receiving them and by 2025-26 we would have got ~40+ jets which would have slowly revived IAF.
Bold This argument completely escapes me. What about the timeline ? You think ordering MMRCA will be slow while making Tejas in-house will be somehow very quick while in real life it has been shown to be opposite ? Yeah let's say we order another 100 LCA Mk1A, it will start only after all existing Mk1A order will be completed (when is that ? 2030 ?). By that time why not start making Mk2 itself ?
The UPA deal for 126 Rafales was valued at $14 billion back in the day, and this is just for the barebones aircraft excluding any kind of technology transfer, maintenance packages, support packages, logistics packages, weapons systems, simulators, India Specific Enhancements, etc.
When you factor in all these variables, the cost ballons to excess of $25 billion and still you will be doing licensed assembly with little to no technology transfer (France will never give you the "know-how" and "know-why" for the Spectra EW suite, RBE2-AA radar, Meteor, no matter how much you pay them).
The entirety of the Indonesian AirForce is of 224 aircraft, IAF alone has more Su30 MKI in service, so I call BS on this comparison parameter.
Egypt gets funding from the other Arab states which explains their expensive acquisitions, India does not have that luxury.
With MMRCA, IAF has to commit 3-4 years worth of its CAPEX money to only MMRCA leaving 0 aside for Super Sukhoi upgrade, S-400 acquisition, MRSAM acquisition, Tejas Mk1A acquisition, C-295 acquisition, Refuellers, AEW&C, ISTAR, etc. amongst many of IAF ongoing military programs.
Can the IAF afford to do that, the answer is a big NO.
As I already stated in my previous reply, I am not bullish on Rafale. Any MMRCA would have done (sans Russian).
Also, the Indonesian defense budget is also like
1/8th of ours, so my argument stands. If a country can buy Rafale selling palm oil then so can we.
And what ? Egypt gets funding from Arab ? For doing what exactly, Pyramids ? Israel can afford 50 F-35s while having 1/3rd our defence budget, Australia can afford 50+ F-35s while having 1/2.5 times our defence budget, but yeah all these countries are
funded, and not because they are serious about defense, which GoI/IAF is clearly not.
I would rather have an Indian baniya attitude rather than being broke.
What you actually mean is you would rather get defeated and humiliated rather than spend money where it is required.