MIC and APU. Results of the year
As I promised many times, I am writing material on the reforms of the Ukrainian military-industrial complex, the army and the transfer of equipment to the Armed Forces in 2017. All data is collected from open sources, rumors in the media and private conversations, do not concern documents with admission, of particular importance or for internal use.
So, let's go.
Particular attention, like last year, is given to aviation and air defense. For many reasons. Basically, of course, because if the Russian Federation suffers another "compulsion to peace", then aviation and cruise missiles are the only thing that has not been used in the east of Ukraine.
And the RF in the air and on the OTRK is still a tangible advantage, which can not be neutralized by the call of the reserve component, as in the case of land forces. Excellence is not only in numbers, but also in generations between the newest sides (the Su-30 is 4+), the TTX, the range of launches or a possible survey of the airborne radar. Taking into account these moments, a large-scale work is under way - officially, the Su-27 and Mig-29 were handed over and during the celebration of Independence Day, and there were data on the arrival of fighter jets in brigades. Plus machines, restored by the forces of technical and operational parts. Regularly flown on the aircrafts sent for repair and restoration, the same onboard "56" SU-27 PM1, which was shipped in August, or two "fresh" airborne "12" and "21", which were photographed in the killed state during transportation to "MiGremont ".
Approximately in 2017, eight to ten fighters were transferred to the troops. To date, spoters in the photo and video recorded 36 Su-27 and 46 MiG-29 various modifications, including combat training. 85 flying fighters of the fourth generation. These are four regiments of reduced composition. For a second, the Polish Air Force is 48 F-16C / D, plus 32 MiG-29. Suddenly 80 pieces. The same class (F-16 in the "Block 52+" version of course has a more modern radar, plus the possibility of resetting the corrected bombs and additional tanks). True, given that Poland spends three times more on defense - it is worthwhile to realize what kind of titanic work Ukraine is doing for such a modest price. After all, it's not just repair and gradual budget modernization - it's training pilots, this is the restoration of airfields, this is an infrastructure for aviation commandant's offices, this is a banal canteen for the flight crew, the growth of spending due to flight hours and the developed resource gliders, many of which are already 25-30 years old. Money, money and money. And while we already contain the aviation grouping greater than that of each of the countries of Eastern Europe, although a year and a half ago Spotters had confirmed figures about 20% less. A big step forward.
The average flight of the pilot is up to 48-50 hours. It's not much, but there are nuances. We do not need to conduct a deep air operation, to break through air defenses for hundreds of kilometers. The task of the Air Force of Ukraine is to stop the enemy's air offensive over its territory. This task is subject to all the logic of what is happening - the reconstruction of the runway in Chernivtsi (now the practice of joint use by military and civilians is widely used in Ukraine), the transfer of the 204th brigade from Kulbakino to Lutsk, which revived the airfield in Uman, the summer exercises of fighters in Cherkassy. To disperse the side, to prevent the enemy from putting them out of action by the first blow, to force him to enter the operational depth - the long-term goal of all these movements.
All the legends that it is realistic to completely suppress air defense, withdraw aviation from the game and paralyze control of only the PTRC or cruise missiles, rejects the practice - at the same base Shayrat in Syria, up to 60 Tomahawks were produced. How much did it begin to function? In a few days. Because under any fire impact there will always be an underground fuel depot or recessed tank, unmarked caponiers, and to fit the car refuelers or repair the strip is not the highest mathematics. According to Serbia, they released thousands of cruise missiles, but still had to enter the operational depth and carry out thousands of sorties with a bomb load, produce hundreds of special ammunition against the radar, suppress jamming in the numbers from 20-25% of all sorties.
And here we have the scenario in case of an aggravation is quite working - to force the air force of the enemy to change the speed, train, maneuver, so that he gets into the air defense zone. It does not matter - according to the visual channel, on the external target designation of the radar station or the regular means of the divisions, the targets will be captured. Disperse in dozens of airfields and even sections of the highway, take off, start dumping and drag "guests" into prepared shooting areas and ambushes. That the northern neighbor with the coordination - we saw during the storming of the Palmira IG and the fighting in the area of the artillery academy in Aleppo, when the militants in the slippers seized positions in the mechanized units on the defenses - how quickly and effectively the VCS reacted. Therefore, 48 hours of raid - enough to have the skill, but do not kill the resource of the airframe and money in vain for an hour of flight. Anyway, as in the case of an exacerbation,
Four S-300 PS (launch 5P85S) were transferred to the Independence Day, on orders for medium repair and restoration, another 2-3 SAMs flashed. According to the most optimistic scenario, we now have up to 30 S-300 PS / PT battalions on alert duty, plus the restored S-300V in the 201st air defense missile regiment - an excellent complex in our conditions, despite the absence of one of the new versions rockets. There were works to restore Bukov, contracts for capital repairs flashed in the area of two divisions, but we have a minus of Georgia there, and minus the lost in the Crimea in 55 ZRP (their numbers are now physically close to the maximum). Two new regiments of "Os" were raised, each with two battalions, partly from grass and storage bases, partly from parks of two other regiments (two or three cars were handed over at official events, and routinely without pomp with the media).
The course is taken as correct as possible - the modernization of the "Os", "Arrow-10" and "Tungusok" under the figure (UkrRadarProject plus joint programs with the Poles), and the reloading of engines and routine maintenance for Soviet mid-range complexes. As shown by numerous control launches - the engines are operating properly and smoothly, the R-27 airplanes, 200 of which were "dopiled" in 2016, also "leave" without surprises. The news that Ukraine has earned a closed cycle for recharging the solid propellant is one of the best in 2017. Both the shooting in Bulgaria and the mass shooting in Aleksandrovka show us that in the coming years the question of whether "the Ukrainian air defense system has rotted or there is still powder in the flasks" with a guarantee is closed: more than 2 thousand missiles for recharging and modernization - a good reserve for the future .
Gradual restoration of the regiment of "Torov" from storage, experiments with multichannel C-125 M can be criticized before frenzy, but we now have neither money for R & D, nor money for the purchase of Western SAMs, nor much time. And great luck that there are capacities and reserves for the restoration of the USSR's reserves - that these missiles were not sawn to needles and they were not transferred for another piece of "guarantees", that factories have survived where they can modernize their "heads" or equip the engine again. Well, and that the transfer to the army of the upgraded "Malakhit" radar station continues, Iskra brings to mind the three-coordinate radar 80K6T "Pelikan", magnetrons and spare parts for in-line repairs are ordered - 6-8 radars are sent in a year. The main thing to remember is that our enemy in case of an aggravation is not a Coalition, which produces thousands of guided munitions and 80,000 tons of bombs and missiles in Iraq - Russians will not have hundreds of missiles in one launch, there will be 25% of DRLO aircraft flights and jammers, there will not be 300-400-500 beads simultaneously in several waves. They will either have to work at maximum heights with the risk of hitting their troops on LBS and destroying buildings, or going down to the fire of small antiaircraft artillery and MANPADS, or staying out of the air defense radius and "spamming" the launches of cruise and operational-tactical missiles. They have a circular probable deviation of 80 meters and they do not always end up in sheds in Syria. Any massive application by Russians of aviation, Iskanderov or Kalibrov in conditions of Ukrainian construction will mean immediate tightening of sanctions for a maximum, stopping the transit of gas to the EU, severe political pressure.
Many criticize the Ukrainian authorities for the fact that the ammunition plant for small arms has not yet been built, the problem of the NSVT machine guns is maturing, there are dozens of other issues, from the same sanitary armored vehicles or forwarders to digital communications at the battalion level and below. But here too there are nuances - the same consumables for small arms can be bought in the former Warsaw Pact countries (which, judging by the numerous markings of Bulgaria, Romania and the Czech Republic on zinc and boxes, is being actively made), cars come here in the framework of international aid, Soviet machine guns are delivered through the Baltic countries. And who will sell us corrected missiles with special combat units to about 70 "Tornadoes"? No one. Do we have the means to purchase and have a political decision been taken in the West to sell anti-ship and operational-tactical complexes here? Of course not. Honest answer in both cases will be - no.
Therefore, Turkish equipment is purchased to create 300 mm shells at the DAKH "Artem", there have already been tenders for the purchase of raw materials and materials, there are reports of the beginning of the transfer of ammunition to the troops. Priority in fairly limited funding is quite obvious. And the news about the test of the PTR "Thunder" in a year, and the acceleration of work on "Neptune", and the beginning of the serial production of "Alder" - are all links of the same chain. Possibility, covering the echeloned air defense, from depth and rapidly changing positions, strike at stationary facilities and infrastructure - fuel depots, emergency vehicle assembly points, communication centers, checkpoints, parks in the air traffic control system, surveillance radar, and stop landing amphibious assault forces. Anything that will not allow the enemy to enter the operational space and fall asleep with us with impunity with his missiles. Do not expect a miracle - between R & D, development and a series in the troops for several more years, and the cost of upgrading the "Smerch" and one volley will be quite high. This is not a miracle weapon of retaliation, but one of the elements of deterrence. But there is no other way for Ukraine for financial and political reasons for today.
The ground troops are consistently pleased with the growth of opportunities. In addition to the transfer of two tank battalions T-64 BV and T-72 in several versions on the Independence Day, there were scheduled shipments - in the summer the acquisition of tank brigades with reserve tank equipment was completed, apparently, in every operational command for the state for 2017 in the state there is tank brigade. Part "Bulat" in incomplete configuration of combat units sent for revision - dynamic protection "Knife", engine, sights. Actively put radios (arrived in time for another delivery of "Harris", purchased kits from the Turks). The 30th brigade was shipped BMP-2 instead of their "kopecks" in one of the units, the 81st brigade partially relocated from BTR-70 and surrogate MTLB to "kopecks", in March BTR-3 was transferred,
Arms of the Korsar ATGM and 80 missiles to it, continue to actively purchase Stugnu and 500-600 RK-2S per year - for the current stage of the conflict, this stock will last, 60-70 starts a month was made in Syria at the peak of the war during the assault of Aleppo. In the troops went under 400 cars - special in the format of tanks and refuellers, repair shops, sanitary, passenger, freight. The production of 23-mm trunks was mastered, more than 250 30-mm guns were surrendered, Grads were handed over, at least six Hurricanes, ACU in therapeutic quantities, barrel artillery from storage, there are several modernization programs, for example, the same "Bastion" or works "Hurricanes", the automated control system "Obolon", GIS "Arta", "Krapiva" are being introduced. The number of mortars produced from 120 to 60 mm is calculated in three-digit numbers.
And, of course, the main thing for today is not only technology. The same Russians in 2017 conducted about 100 battalion exercises for fifty of their brigades in the ground forces. In the APU - 107, this is in view of the fact that one third of the 20+ combined arms brigades are in the ATU or at points of permanent deployment, recovering after performing tasks on the line of combat collision. There are 23 BTUs for 7 Brigades in the Assault and Assault Brigades, and one for the Coastal Defense Brigade and separate battalions for as many as 34. Even a man from the army will consider something interesting. For example, the second composition of the reserve, called not in combat units, but in "doubles", which are collected on the basis of reserve corps or outside the state, because it is physically impossible to conduct in the same divisions of the Ukrainian armed forces under four dozen battalion maneuvers. In total, with territorial defense, separate groups and teams, the mobilization of reserve officers and a direct call to combat units in 2017, 80 thousand people were involved in the preparation of the reserve component. Impressive figure against the background of recent mobilizations of 30-50 thousand.
Two sets of REB Mandat, capable of hammering communications, interfering with decimeter radar stations, blocking the command channels of the homing heads from missiles, were delivered. Approximately 20 sets of various tactical UAVs arrived, Polish Polish warfare ammunition is actively purchased, Chernigov localizes their production, where they try to double the weight of the warhead. In general, the classical deterrence strategy is working-the separation of air defense and the radar field, the creation of a network of spare airfields, reserve radar control stations and complexes for indicating the purpose of air defense, the missiles are being re-equipped, a large-scale call of the reserve component is being prepared in the event of an aggravation, regiments, car battalions, communications, bringing the units up to the regular number). Once again - so far only containment. The advantage of separation, depth, three lines of engineering equipped positions, minefields and air defense works only in active defense. And the enemy behind the two corps of the reserve army of the Russian Federation in the LDNR regular parts of the 20th Army and 1TA, a powerful post-Soviet air defense, a considerable amount of barrel artillery and "samovars," plus an extended eastern border and an isthmus - work so that they calmly expire gold and foreign currency reserves under sanctions and portrayed miners without aviation, and did not try to aggravate exacerbations, many more. And, in my opinion, they quite clearly articulated their policy in terms of the fact that until they are allowed to finish the puppet republics with force of arms - it will either stalemate with an eternal bloody uprising, or another round, where from that side they are no longer Cossacks, Igor Ivanovich and a few BtGr ... three lines of engineering equipped positions, minefields and air defense works only in active defense. And the enemy behind the two corps of the reserve army of the Russian Federation in the LDNR regular parts of the 20th Army and 1TA, a powerful post-Soviet air defense, a considerable amount of barrel artillery and "samovars," plus an extended eastern border and an isthmus - work so that they calmly expire gold and foreign currency reserves under sanctions and portrayed miners without aviation, and did not try to aggravate exacerbations, many more. And, in my opinion, they quite clearly articulated their policy in terms of the fact that until they are allowed to finish the puppet republics with force of arms - it will either stalemate with an eternal bloody uprising, or another round, where from that side they are no longer Cossacks, Igor Ivanovich and a few BtGr ... three lines of engineering equipped positions, minefields and air defense works only in active defense. And the enemy behind the two corps of the reserve army of the Russian Federation in the LDNR regular parts of the 20th Army and 1TA, a powerful post-Soviet air defense, a considerable amount of barrel artillery and "samovars," plus an extended eastern border and an isthmus - work so that they calmly expire gold and foreign currency reserves under sanctions and portrayed miners without aviation, and did not try to aggravate exacerbations, many more. And, in my opinion, they quite clearly articulated their policy in terms of the fact that until they are allowed to finish the puppet republics with force of arms - it will either stalemate with an eternal bloody uprising, or another round, where from that side they are no longer Cossacks, Igor Ivanovich and a few BtGr ... And the enemy behind the two corps of the reserve army of the Russian Federation in the LDNR regular parts of the 20th Army and 1TA, a powerful post-Soviet air defense, a considerable amount of barrel artillery and "samovars," plus an extended eastern border and an isthmus - work so that they calmly expire gold and foreign currency reserves under sanctions and portrayed miners without aviation, and did not try to aggravate exacerbations, many more. And, in my opinion, they quite clearly articulated their policy in terms of the fact that until they are allowed to finish the puppet republics with force of arms - it will either stalemate with an eternal bloody uprising, or another round, where from that side they are no longer Cossacks, Igor Ivanovich and a few BtGr ... And the enemy behind the two corps of the reserve army of the Russian Federation in the LDNR regular parts of the 20th Army and 1TA, a powerful post-Soviet air defense, a considerable amount of barrel artillery and "samovars," plus an extended eastern border and an isthmus - work so that they calmly expire gold and foreign currency reserves under sanctions and portrayed miners without aviation, and did not try to aggravate exacerbations, many more. And, in my opinion, they quite clearly articulated their policy in terms of the fact that until they are allowed to finish the puppet republics with force of arms - it will either stalemate with an eternal bloody uprising, or another round, where from that side they are no longer Cossacks, Igor Ivanovich and a few BtGr ... plus an extended eastern border and an isthmus - works to ensure that they quietly run out of gold reserves under sanctions and portray miners without aviation, rather than trying to aggravate the exacerbations, many more. And, in my opinion, they quite clearly articulated their policy in terms of the fact that until they are allowed to finish the puppet republics with force of arms - it will either stalemate with an eternal bloody uprising, or another round, where from that side they are no longer Cossacks, Igor Ivanovich and a few BtGr ... plus an extended eastern border and an isthmus - works to ensure that they quietly run out of gold reserves under sanctions and portray miners without aviation, rather than trying to aggravate the exacerbations, many more. And, in my opinion, they quite clearly articulated their policy in terms of the fact that until they are allowed to finish the puppet republics with force of arms - it will either stalemate with an eternal bloody uprising, or another round, where from that side they are no longer Cossacks, Igor Ivanovich and a few BtGr ...
Read more
https://petrimazepa.com/vpk_i_vsu_itogi_goda
