Civil war in Ukraine

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Bahamut

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What Arseniy Yatsenyuk Cost the Ukrainian People
The Ukrainian media has calculated how much Arseniy Yatsenyuk really cost the country - and, boy, was he expensive!

Yurasumy
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$60 billion sound fair to you?
Originally appeared at Live Journal. Translated by Julia Rakhmetova and Rhod Mackenzie
112 , the Ukraine TV-Channel, estimated the losses under ex-Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk at $60 billion.

GDP

From $183 billion and growing by about 4% in 2013, in 2014 the State Statistics Service counted only $132 billion, a drop of 28%. In 2015, the main economic indicators decreased by another 10%. According to current estimates, real indicators dropped by almost twice over these two years and are estimated at about $80 billion.

Currency rate

On the first day of his appointment as Prime Minister (February 27th, 2014), the hryvna’s rate to the dollar was 9.5. By April it was 11, and by the time of his second appointment (November 27th, 2014) it was 15, gradually reaching today’s 26 hryvna/dollar. The joint ‘achievement’ of the government and the National Bank is an almost threefold devaluation.

Inflation

Prices rose over the last two years at the same record-breaking speed as the national currency and production dropped. From almost zero in 2013, in 2014 prices rose by 25%, then another 43% in 2015.

Debts

The aggregate index of the national debt since 2013 (direct and state guaranteed debts - editor's note), have decreased from $73 to $65 billion. It’s hard to call this decrease an achievement because it was not due to the government’s refusal to ‘live on credit’ but the impossibility of taking out new loans (Part of the debt was denominated in hryvna and correspondingly devalued in relation to dollar .– author’s note). At the same time, we still have to pay off the old debts. Today the aggregated national debt index amounts to 80% of GDP.

Tariffs

Electricity rates after the preceding increases are expected to almost double by 2017 from the current 47 kopecks, to 90 kopecks per kilowatt-hour at the most economical mode of consumption. The tariffs for gas and heating are set to grow at least one and a half times. Gas has risen from a minimum of 1.2 hryvna per cubic meter in May 2014 to 7.2 hryvna in two years. Heating rates increased several times. Back in 2014, Ukrainians paid 8-9 hryvna instead of the 2-3 hryvna per square meter of housing which had been the average across the country. And by May 2015, prices jumped to 15-16 hryvna. Water tariffs also significantly increased although not as much. During 2015, the cost of hot water rose on average by 60%. Against this background, the rise in the price of water by 10-20% depending on the region to an average of 6 hryvna per cubic meter was not so impressive. Average total bills for a standard 2-bedroom apartment rose from an average 300 hryvna per month to 1000 and more.

Gas

The Ukraine’s switch to European gas shipped through Slovakia instead of from Gazprom directly, allowed it to significantly lower gas prices for the Ukraine. In the winter of 2014-2015 Gazprom set a price of $329 per thousand cubic meters, today it proposes $185, about the same as charged by Europeans.l However, since last fall no gas was delivered directly from Russia to the Ukraine.

Trade

In 2014, Ukrainian exports decreased by 14% to $53 billion, continuing a tendency begun a year before. In 2013 exports decreased by 9% compared to 2012. But the real crash happened in 2015: Ukraine delivered 30% less goods to foreign markets than in its most successful year of 2014, for a total of $38 billion.

Trade with the EU countries decreased significantly, but in the case of the CIS countries, it was more than 50 % in 2015. As for the European Union the drop was limited to 25 % for a volume of supplies of $13 billion. As before, Ukrainian mainly exports metallurgy (46 % of the total) and agriculture - 40 %.

Salaries

According to the SSC, in 2015 the number of unemployed across the country amounted to less than half a million people, or about 3% of able-bodied citizens. However, using the methodology of the International Labor Organization, the unemployment rate rose sharply to 10%. As a result, there are over 1.6 million unemployed for 16.5 million able-bodied citizens, the loss of the Crimea and the territories in the east of the country accounting for 3 million.

In 2014, the average salary increased from 3,300 to 3,500 hryvna and in 2015 to 4,200 hryvna. Adjusted for inflation and other indicators, any real salary growth ceased in 2013. In 2014, the real salary of the average Ukrainian was almost 10% less than the previous year and in 2015 it fell by another 20%.

What an achievement!
 

gadeshi

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Russian investigation commity (FSK) has presented a report on Ukrainian Orthodox Church pursuits and discriminations in Ukraine to OCSE:
 

AVERAGE INDIAN

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Collapse of Ukraine's Economy in Five Charts

And make no doubt about it – a collapse is exactly what it is, and it afflicts way more of the country than just the war-wracked Donbass. Ukraine now vies with Moldova for the country with the lowest average wages in Europe.

Gabon with snow? Saakashvili is hopelessly optimistic. That would actually be a big improvement!

GDP is at 60% of its 1990 Level


As of this year, the country with the most pro-Western revolutions is also the poorest performing post-Soviet economy bar none. This is a not unimpressive achievement considering outcomes here have tended to disappoint rather than elate. Russia itself, current GDP at about 110% of its 1990 level, has nothing to write home about (though “statist” Belarus, defying neoliberal conventional wisdom, at a very respectable 200% does have something to boast about).

Back in 2010, although by far the worst performing heavily industrialized Soviet economy, Ukraine was still performing better relative to its position in 1990 than Moldova, Tajikistan, and Georgia. In the intervening 5 years – with a 7% GDP decline in 2014 which has widened to a projected 9% in 2015 – Ukraine has managed to slip to rock bottom.

How does this look like on a more human level?

Housing Construction is Similar to That of 5 Million Population Russian Provinces


With a quarter of its population, Belarus is constructing as much new accomodation as is Ukraine. 16 million strong Kazakhstan is building more. Russia – more than ten times as much, even though it has less than four times as many people.

The seaside Russian province of Krasnodar Krai, which hosted the Sochi Winter Olympics, with its 5 million inhabitants, is still constructing more than half as much housing as all of Ukraine. No wonder the Crimeans were so eager to leave.

New Vehicle Sales Collapse to 1960s Levels




The USSR might have famously concentrated on guns over butter, yet even so, even in terms of an item as infamously difficult to acquire as cars under socialism, Ukrainian consumers were better off during the 1970-1990 period than today. Now Ukrainians are buying as few new cars as they were doing in the catastrophic 1990s, and fewer even than during the depth of the 2009 recession.

And even so many Maidanists continue to giggle at “sovoks” and “vatniks.” Well, at least they now make up for having even less butter than before with the Azovets“innovative tank.” Armatas are quaking in fear looking at that thing.

Debt to GDP Ratio at Critical Levels


And this figure would have risen further to around 100% this year.

Note that 60% is usually considered to be the critical danger zone for emerging market economies. This is the approximate level at which both Russia and Argentina fell into their respective sovereign debt crises.

To be fair, the IMF has indicated it will be partial to flouting its own rules to keep Ukraine afloat, which is not too surprising since it is ultimately a tool of Western geopolitical influence. And if as projected the Ukrainian economy begins to recover this year, then there is a fair chance that crisis will ultimately be averted.

But it will be a close shave, and so long as the “meet the new boss, same as the old boss” oligarchs who rule Ukraine continue siphoning off money by the billions to their offshore accounts with impunity, nothing can be ruled out.

Resumption of Demographic Collapse


Much like the rest of the post-Soviet Slavic world, Russia had a disastrous 1990s in demographic terms, when mortality rates soared and birth rates plummeted. But like Russia – if to a lesser extent – it has since staged a modest recovery, incidentally with the help of a Russian-style “maternal capital” program. In 2008, it reached a plateau in birth rates, which was not significantly uninterrupted by the 2009 recession.

Since then, however, they have plummeted – exactly nine months after the February 2014 coup. The discreteness with which this happened together with the fact that the revolt in the Donbass took a further couple of months to get going after the coup proper implies that this fertility decline was likely a direct reaction to the Maidan and what it portended for the future.

This collapse is very noticeable even after you completely remove all traces of Crimea, Donetsk, and Lugansk oblasts which might otherwise muddy the waters (naturally, the demographic crisis in all its aspects has been much worse in the region that bore the brunt of Maidanist chiliastic fervor). Here are the Ukrstat figures for births and deaths in the first ten months of 2013, 2014, and 2015:

Births Deaths
2013 350658 441331
2014 354622 445236
2015 329308 450763
Furthermore, this period has seen a huge wave of emigration. Figures can only be guesstimated, but it is safe to say they are well over a million to both Russia and the EU.

The effects of this will continue to be felt long after any semblance of normalcy returns to Ukraine.


http://www.unz.com/akarlin/ukraine-economic-collapse/
 

Akim

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All the electricity consumptions restrictions in Crimea have been removed:
http://vse.nov.ru/news/8174

Five Crimean cities were in the Top 50 cities of Ukraine
http://news.allcrimea.net/news/2014/1/8/pyat-krymskih-gorodov-popali-v-top50-gorodov-ukrainy-4046/
If you search, you 2011 can be found.o_O
Svoboda nazi gang (that believes it is a party) is going to perform a nazi march in "honor" of SS Galichina division in Odessa:
http://uainside.info/2016/04/19/marsh-v-chest-ss-galichina/
This photo on 28 April 2013 in Lviv.
 
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gadeshi

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Akim

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True.
But this post is not about the photo, but about the news "release" from Svoboda.
Photo is just to illustrate.

Отправлено с моего XT1080 через Tapatalk
I am not in Odessa (now in Novograd-Volynsk) however, the website 048 says that it is a fake.
 

gadeshi

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I am not in Odessa (now in Novograd-Volynsk) however, the website 048 says that it is a fake.
No, this is from press-release on Svoboda's websute dubbed by its VK account.

Отправлено с моего XT1080 через Tapatalk
 

sgarg

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Something funny to report. The Ukraine GDP has dropped to 80B (population of around 38M, minus Crimea and NovoRussia).

The GDP of city of Delhi is 250B for a population of 20M.

What a contrast!

Also GDP of Delhi is more than GDP of Pakistan.
 

Akim

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Something funny to report. The Ukraine GDP has dropped to 80B (population of around 38M, minus Crimea and NovoRussia).

The GDP of city of Delhi is 250B for a population of 20M.

What a contrast!

Also GDP of Delhi is more than GDP of Pakistan.
I wonder, why do you say that?
 
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