Russia Ukraine War 2022

Who will win this war?.


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Ylside

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Ukraine is just next door to Moscow

If Russian military is destroyed
Then the West will start Insurgencies in Russian states and provinces
With an aim to break it up
And who will these insurgent be? Not sure if you checked the demographic map of Russia, but with the exception some unimportant satellites such as Chechnya or Dagestan, ethnic Russians form majority in almost all republics of Russia.

If fact, Russia is too big to fail and some stable, cooperating government which sells gas and oil and apart from that minds its own is much preferable to a break up. Because noone wants a failed, fractured mess of competing states armed by 6000 nukes.
 

Soldier355

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In Russia, large-scale exercises and firing at firing ranges began. Before being sent to Donbass, mobilized soldiers practice firing small arms, AGS-17, RPG-7 grenade launchers, heavy machine guns and Dragunov sniper rifles




The first Ukrainian corvette "Hetman Ivan Mazepa" was launched in Turkey. The ship was built according to the project of Turkish Ada-class anti-submarine corvettes. The ship is to become part of the Ukrainian fleet in 2024, but the deadlines may shift, the ship for equipping and installing weapons should be completed in Ukraine, but there is no such possibility now, no one has answered this question yet.

Estimated armament of the ship, 4 Harpoon anti-ship missiles, VL MICA air defense systems, 76-mm OTO Melara Super Rapid and 35-mm Millennium artillery mounts. as well as two machine-gun installations with a caliber of 12.7 mm. Anti-submarine armament will consist of two 324-mm torpedo tubes. The ship has a speed of up to 29 knots with a cruising range of 3,500 nautical miles, an autonomy of 10 days, with a supply of 21 days. Possibly an S-70B Seahawk helicopter.




The M-109A5OE self-propelled howitzer was seen on the video of one of the soldiers of Ukraine, let's take a closer look at it. Howitzers M-109A5OE were previously delivered to Ukraine in the amount of 6 pieces by Latvia, which, in turn, bought them from Austria at a price of 140 thousand euros per piece. The M-109A5OE howitzer is a modernized version of the American M109 self-propelled guns, which was produced from 1962 to 2003 and has also been modernized many times. The American M109 self-propelled guns became the base self-propelled guns of many NATO armies in various modifications. The firing range of a howitzer with a standard projectile is 22 km, an active-reactive projectile is 30 km, self-propelled guns can fire GPS-guided projectiles. The vehicle is protected by rolled aluminum armor and has a crew of 6 people. Howitzer maximum speed - 56 km / h, cruising range - 350 km




Head-to-head tank battle footage in Ukraine. In the video, the Ukrainian T-64BV tank, having reloaded, moves forward to the closest possible distance, where it is struck by the Russian T-80BV tank of the Marine Corps units of the Pacific Fleet. These are the first shots where Russian and Ukrainian tanks are fighting head-on at a minimum distance.




One against four, rare footage of close combat in Ukraine. In the video, one of the Russian soldiers came into close combat against four soldiers of the Ukrainian army.


 

Varzone

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I expect the northern area to collapse in a few days time itself.
There are only small villages in between Borova and Svatove. If Ukros gain on it then logistics will be problem in the area going south. How will RuAF defend there? big problems coming up for Putin just after annexing these lands.

Quite comical.

View attachment 174181
 
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Master Chief

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Russia is out of Dudchany.. Ukranian offensives in Kherson were described as suicide because of the open terrain.. But, Kherson has frequent bad visibility conditions as winter approaches.. and Russian aviation would not be that effective.. This makes it pretty critical for Russia, as Ukraine is gearing up for fighting through the winter with all that quality winter gear being shipped by the west in huge volumes..
 

blackjack

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While nothing in war is pointless, you make a fair point that Russia might regain these territories in the future. While your hypothesis holds true for Donbass, Kherson and Zaporizye.. If Russia loses Kherson city along with the part on the west of Dnipro regaining it by forcing across the Dneiper would be nearly impossible.. and would wreak the Russian dream of taking Odessa..
So, Russia has to be very careful when it comes to Kherson..
Personally I don't think the UA can put so many troops like one million into service. Because of the mass exodus of refugees of 10 million external and 5 million internal refugees and because supplies are being intercepted at borders and some road and rail is being hit and because any mass movement can be intercepted by air power and bridges downed to trap them. I think the best they could do is this 50,000 light infantry they are throwing into the front. Why not just throw more if they have them while the Russians are in retreat? Although locally or perhaps psychologically effective this is not going to change the outcome of the war. I must admit that they have determination still making advances despite loosing so many. Driven by nationalistic fever no doubt and it shows the importance of manpower as contrasted with machine power. No doubt the Russian soldiers are brave to but just not stupid. If they keep their spirits high and not let these " victories " disheartening as they may be demoralize them. Waiting for reserves means burden and risk is shared by greater numbers. It is fairer for all there is safety in numbers their feelings are natural to have.
 

Varzone

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Russia is out of Dudchany.. Ukranian offensives in Kherson were described as suicide because of the open terrain.. But, Kherson has frequent bad visibility conditions as winter approaches.. and Russian aviation would not be that effective.. This makes it pretty critical for Russia, as Ukraine is gearing up for fighting through the winter with all that quality winter gear being shipped by the west in huge volumes..
They are saying it is autumn rain time in Ukraine so it should negatively affect offensives. Not sure how much will it actually matter.
 

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