Azaad
Senior Member
- Joined
- Nov 1, 2022
- Messages
- 7,055
- Likes
- 26,230
On the contrary we should welcome Chinese intervention at least initially. They'd help calm issues . If not , they may well get sucked into a civil war which wouldn't be surprising either as the US learnt in Lebanon in the 1980s & in the 2000s in Iraq & the former USSR learnt in Afghanistan. Either way we've nothing to lose .It looks like we are going to have a problem soon.
PLA has been conducting wargames close to Myanmar's borders and has threatened to step in militarily.
I don't expect much of US Marine-style combat from the PLA soyboys but Xi has been itching to show Chinese military power for far too long.
Myanmar is the perfect scapegoat to try this on - small, weak and infighting, there is little that the Burmese government can do given the cocktail of loans and strategic dependence they have on CCP.
Whether PLA is bogged down by rebel fighting or not is a secondary question but PLA troops in Myanmar are a no-no. China may try to do with Myanmar what Russia did with Syria - took a portion of it virtually under itself and used it to create more military infrastructure against us while throwing some scraps at the Burmese government.
I wonder whether we have calculated a scenario where we might have to step in pre-emptively or in limited capacity...
Quite obviously we should prepare ourselves militarily & keep the powder dry for if China decides to intervene , which I very much doubt , then we may well have another front to cater to when war breaks out on the LAC. Even otherwise there's the 0.5 front to cater to where the NE could well be rocked when major conflicts brewing on different fronts explodes into action.