Following are the squadrons that are either causing the shortfall currently, or will contribute to the shortfall (if not replaced) upto 2027. After 2027, MiG-29, Mirage 2000 and Jaguars will begin retiring and will be replaced shortly with AMCA or Su-57 MKI or both.
- Currently, IAF has 6 MiG-21 Bison squadrons:-
- 3 Sqdrn "Cobras": Ambala
- 4 Sqdrn "Oorials": Uttarlai
- 21 Sqdrn "Ankush": Sirsa
- 23 Sqdrn "Panthers": Suratgarh
- 32 Sqdrn "Thuderbirds": Jodhpur
- 51 Sqdrn "Sword Arms": Srinagar
- Earlier MiG-21 squadrons that retired without replacement are:-
- 15 Sqdrn "Flying Lances": Bhuj
- 17 Sqdrn "Golden Arrows": Bhatinda
- 26 Sqdrn "Warriors": Tezpur
- 35 Sqdrn "Rapiers": Lucknow
- 37 Sqdrn "Black Panthers": Bhuj
- 108 Sqdrn "Hawkeyes": Bikaner
- Currently, IAF has 2 MiG-27 UPG squadrons:-
- 10 Sqdrn "Winged Daggers": Jodhpur
- 29 Sqdrn "Scorpions": Jodhpur
- Earlier MiG-27 squadrons that retired:-
- 18 Sqdrn "Flying Bullets": Kalaikunda (Maritime Strike Role, these were replaced by a Su-30 MKI sqdrn in role and the 18 sqdrn will now be equipped with Tejas Mk1 after the 45 Sqdrn Flying Daggers)
- 22 Sqdrn "Swifts": Hasimara (To be equipped with Rafale)
Out of all the squadrons above, those that face China are:-
- 26 Sqdrn from Tezpur (which I believe can be re-equipped with the third Rafale squadron that is ordered after Kaveri begins flying)
- 22 Sqdrn from Hasimara that is to be equipped with Rafale.
All the remaining squadrons are for OAS
(Offensive Air Support which includes Battlefield Air Interdiction-BAI and Battlefield Air Support-BAS. BAS is commonly called CAS) along the Pakistani front. I am convinced that Tejas is more than enough for taking on the Jf-17 Thuder
(that Pakistan has inducted and more are planned for induction). This is more so because Tejas is only replacing squadrons that were tasked with bombing enemy ground targets and not tasked for undertaking air superiority missions alone. Replacing all these aircraft with Tejas actually enhances the capability of these squadrons as they can now conduct air superiority missions over Pakistan without pairing up with Su-30 MKI, since their only contender is another light fighter: Jf-17.
For anyone trying to understand my point of view, I would request you to please read this article:-
Aircraft Induction: IAF’s Predicament
^The article has been written by a Group Captain. I know that people think of me as an armchair general (that is what I am), and hence when I question the IAF, people are bound to question me first. Which is why I feel it better if you read the words of a professional who shares my views.
Before you start with "it does not matter which plane replaces which" BS again, read this:-
Aircraft Induction: IAF’s Predicament
I am tired of writing long replies to you when you do not even have the basic sense to try and reply appropriately. All you do is pick one or two choicest lines from my posts and write some BS. You have not tried to answer a single one of the points I have pointed towards. And I am fed up.
I see what you mean. But I believe we can plan for combat without matching the number of fighters of Pakistan and China that attack us.
Briefly, I mean that we need to plan combat with a lower number of squadrons, at least along the Pakistani border, for the next decade.
Let me make a detailed timeline-cum-analysis of what China and Pakistan will be able to throw at us in the next decade and I'll post it here. Give me some time.