Once the 2024 Republican primary kicks off, (which will start after the 2022 primaries) it may be possible to reach out to populist right candidates and pitch a policy of denuclearizing Pakistan via economic sanctions. Deep state cunts, like that one CIA director who wrote an NYT article crying about Trump and Russia, will complain but we may be able to override them. With Biden being demented, and the need for Pakistan in Afghanistan being several years removed, it will be the best bet.
I actually think we should move forward with this idea. This would be the most productive thing to do now that Afghanistan has fallen. We should outline an agenda for what we want to lobby the US to do.
To start with, I have said this many times on this forum before, but essentially, our top priority should be
to "remove the shackles" on India - Pakistan. We need to make Pakistan irrelevant. The best way to do this within the present paradigm is Balkanization. I say this because there are several separatist movements, most notably Balochistan, and even the weaker ones like Sindhudesh and PTM will gain traction after Balochistan successfully gains independence.
Unfortunately, outside help will be reluctant to help separatist sentiments due to destabilization of Pakistan and allowing nukes to fall into the hands of Jihadis like TTP or Lakshar e- whatever.
So I think prior to this, denuclearization has to occur. I and many others have talked about this before.
Essentially - we need a US president in 2024 who is willing to make the official policy of the United States towards Pakistan to be denuclearization. Biden has said that he will run again in 2024, and I doubt he will make that his policy. Too much Ummah influence in the Demonrat party. If not him, some woke-ass piece of shit like AOC or Bernie's corpse will run instead, and that will be even worse. They don't need to worry about offending Indians, as all of the relevant Indian-American politicians in the Democratic sphere (Ro Khanna, Pramilla Jayapal, Indian Muslims and elite liberal journalists and professors etc.) have already submitted and begun paying Jizya to CAIR and Ummah.
The question now is
how do we convince the Unites States policy makers of said presidential candidate that it is in their interest to denuclearize Pakistan? They need to believe that there is some benefit, it's like not we have as much power and influence as the Jewish lobby and supporting resources like the evangelical christian voting bloc who thinks the Jews of Israel are god's chosen people. A populist right candidate is likely to meet resistance from "another 20 year long war" or something. Trump was able to get people in the 2016 campaign to think denuclearizing North Korea and Pakistan was good thing (or at least they didn't complain). But i'm not sure if someone else could repeat the same feat.
If i were to pitch it, I would make the following arguments:
A. You are removing nuclear weapons from a rogue nuclear state who presents the biggest threat to international security
B. They protecting Osama Bin Laden and stabbed us in the back the entire time we were in Afghanistan, resulting in so many more dead troops and wasted money.
C. It's Obamaish (Republican base hates Obama so this will actually work) to want to be friends with Pakistan after all of that.
D. You allow India to become more powerful so that they can challenge China. Given that Russia and China are on the Taliban's side with Pak, this is your only ally in the region.
E. You pave the way for Balkanization - which creates two new countries - Balochistan and Sindhudesh, which block Chinese access to the Indian Ocean.
F. This does not require war - there is a diplomatic process:
First you prepare for the worst case scenario by deploying BMDs to Israel and maybe India,, and establish Three red lines that will trigger war:
1. Shipping nuclear weapons out of the country to iran or something or deliberately giving them to a non-state actor.
2. Launching a nuke at India or Israel or etc, or attacking India conventionally out of desperation.
3. Jihadists taking over a suspecting nuclear warhead housing site.
and one red line that will trigger an acceleration to the next phase of the diplomatic process:
1. Rapid expansion of their nuclear weapons program
Next you begin a four phase diplomatic process, with each phase other than the last one lasting about 6 months.
1. The incentives phase - you offer more economic aid, military cooperation, you offer to hold India accountable for what goes on in Kashmir and Balochistan or etc.
2. The light sanctions phase - this is when you put on Iran or North Korea level sanctions (though not necessarily at the beginning, you start small and slowly escalate)
3. The heavy sanctions phase - this is when you say no one who trades with Pak can trade with the US. This will be so drastic that everyone other than China and maybe Russia and Iran (though honestly even those three might go along) will trade with Pak, and it will crash their economy completely. Foreign aid is exempt here.
4. The indirect warfare phase - You remove the Balochistan liberation army, and the TTP from from the list of banned terrorist organizations and start funding them and Sindhudesh liberation front, Balawaristan national front etc. You also block trade routes and add foreign aid to the list of banned trade. Also during this phase, you need to make military alliances in case they do something that forces an invasion:
- Alliance with India - India gets to annex POK/GB as a result.
- Alliance with Russia - Sindh will gain independence, can we will force them to accept a defense agreement with Russia where Russia will be allowed to build naval bases along the Indian ocean to get warm water ports and air force bases and etc, and can veto foreign policy of Sindhudesh in exchange for Russia training their army and providing military assistance for their defense and funding the post-war reconstruction of the country. This will have to be cleared with the leaders of JQMM/JSMM etc.
- Alliance with Taliban - They get to annex Northern Balochistan and KPK/FATA as a result.
- Azad Balochistan declaration - state that Balochistan (minus the Pashtun north) will be free and an independent nation - in exchange, US gets to build bases in the South along the Indian ocean. Beyond that, we don't care about their government. They can be sharia or military dictatorship or whatever. This will have to be cleared with leaders of BLF and BLA etc.
Addressing counterarguments:
I think the main counter argument would be the same one that stopped the US from going HAM on Pak:
1. You are losing an ally to China.
Response: They have already betrayed you and hopped on China's dick. Look at what they are doing now.
2. This sanctions process will crash their economy and destabilize the country and allow more mess in the middle east and nukes to fall in the hands of Jihadists.
Response: This is going to happen anyway. You can set red lines that say we will attack if you do this intentionally.
CA: But then we are just going to war with Pakistan, which is the worst outcome.
Response: It's not as bad as you think. This is the real enemy from the beginning. This is justice for our troops. Also you can make alliances with India and maybe the Taliban to help out. If you are worried about Taliban getting nukes, you can send American CIA agents with every battalion to make sure they don't conquer any nuclear weapons sites.
3. If our big threat in phase 3 is ignored, it will further destroy the prestige of the American , because it shows we're not really the big boss of the world.
Response: then you show the world who is boss by pulling out of NATO and letting the Russians and Chinks conquer Europe.
4. We may have to go to war with China
Response: This is where Russia comes in. If you can get Russia on your side, China will back down. China will not want to fight US+India+Russia+Taliban just to save their pet failed state even if they are losing critical infrastructure. OTOH, Russia + China + Pak vs US + India means Iran will jump in, and Turkey will offer covert assistance,
so the key is to get Russia's help. For this you can lift sanctions and get out of Syria and etc. It doesn't matter