Saurav Jha too had hinted that 3 major strategic initiatives/buys, are on the cards, with Modi-Putin meet. Probably this is too far advanced to even protest now. Kind of like the 36 Rafale, which started as a 24 Rafale rumour and got confirmed as 36 in the France visit. But that does not take anything away from what Bharat Karnad is saying - that Modi govt. has not taken a comprehensive view w.r.t. its weapons imports.
We went to France declared a small import allowing the French to cultivate our armed forces officers. We went to US declared a small import again. Americans were never to be left behind in such cultivation efforts themselves. Now the Russians expect the same and they have the balance of past good karma with them, should they decide to exploit the situation.
See a marriage is a Dharmic karyakalap but that does not stop people from negotiating. What did we get in return from the French or the Americans. In that respect we never went to Britain and yet the Brits were able to force our people to order for HAWK 132 upgradation plan. That too after thoroughly cussing HAL for its ‘quality’. When in fact HAL makes more aircrafts of more types then the whole of fcuking Britain. With the policy we have chalked out we will end up making a Britain out of the French and Americans too.
Our aim should have been too take the Russian relationship to the next level. To the strategic level. Nukes, reactors and cutting edge joint research in areas where we can. That would force open, even the western doors on such stuff. Instead we end up with more of the same kind of weapons that we have been importing since 1962. Have we moved nothing since 1962. 1962 was >50 years back. A relationship that started 50 years back is still caught up in importing stuff.
Chote munh badi baat (don't want to teach and preach), but what I see as the problem is as follows:
PMO decides on a visit and asks the stakeholders what is there ‘wishlist’. Then the PMO proceeds to minimize that list and makes offers/counter-offers, hoping for response from the other side.
The problem with this is that the stakeholders present their laundry list, large parts of which would essentially step on the toes of the other stakeholders.
The way out is to rely on MoD to tell the PMO that what are the absolutely “stuck up points” (with no solution in sight) in arms buildup or R&D. People are usually, for various reasons not going to accept this point except when this stuck-up status points at somebody else, at which point everybody would be more than willing to talk.
Once these stuck-up points are collected, then the PMO should be approaching its allies around the world to see what it can strike as a deal. This again takes time. But only the progress on the ‘absolutely stuck up’ points, will tell us, with whom our current interests
match or who is our current ally. So unless say S-400 itself is a negotiating point to have the Westerners, release some more tech-barriers, there is little in in the S-400 deal for us. Little in the sense, that which cannot be done by investing more money and manpower in our own establishment. What is stuck up that cannot be solved and can only be addressed with S-400 deal?
Notice how the Chinese approach their needs. You will never find the Chinese importing stuff. Gorging in a buffet meal kind of way, the way we do. They will pay white money and black too and then arrange to make it look like their intel ‘stole’ it or they reverse-engineered it. But they will take only what they 'need' without disturbing their own efforts.
Result, is that an Indo-China, military situation of parity has been vitiated completely within just 1 decade. Problem is there are a lot of people who have deliberately been taken to ride to make it appear like the Chinese are an idiot and also a threat. Normally any reasonable man would question it – what sort of threat can an idiot be expected to mount? But this never gets questioned. The very people who will propagate the view that Chinese are idiots will claim they are a threat. Reality till now has been the China has been able to upstage India consistently. While we keep fighting about what to import/not import, next. Chinese may have their flaws but they are not the ones that the internet chatter would have you believe. They have paid massive premium for what stuff that we beg all the world across and taken only what they felt they could not do inside China with Chinese manpower and Chinese money.