Chinese Victory or Defeat at the LOC
The dye has been cast, there is no resolution of the border dispute at the LOC in Ladakh. The commanders met needlessly in an attempt to intimidate each other for the 16th time, but to no avail.
Just before the Commander’s met, Chinese staged a big exercise with long range artillery, attack helicopters and about 20,000 troops. This is the same type of exercise they staged in the spring 2020 when their forward troops kept moving forward and captured a few points past the LOC at the Galwan River valley, Pan-gong Lake Area, pasture grounds elsewhere.
Indian Army, although in strength in Ladakh was tricked into believing that it was a routine exercise. In fact Chinese had come to occupy land, not very useful land, but to deliver a message to India after they lost an argument for the Bhutan, India & China tri-junction two years back.
That is where India misread their intent. Soon there were face to face confrontation and fist fights, especially at Galwan River valley with 20 casualties for India side and 35 for China side (confirmed by an Australian journalist).
India raced with extra troops. In a matter of four weeks, the Indian troop strength at the LOC in Ladakh quadrupled. High velocity and high range big guns with T-72 and T-90 tanks were rushed. Now India was in strength in Ladakh, but the Chinese were in no mood to go back, hence India staged a sudden move and occupied Kailash Heights which unnerved the Chinese. They retreated in the Pan-gong Lake area, but not elsewhere. Useless talks continued, but of no avail. Chinese have built their strength to 70,000 troops, but they are poorly acclimatized city boys with no jest to fight.
Two views of Chinese assault.
There is a book by a well known author*. He argues that “If India and China were to fight a war in the near future, India faces the prospect of losing the war within ten days. China could take Arunachal Pradesh and Ladakh with a minimum loss of life, and there is very little that India could do about it.” He thinks that Chinese have prepared well with artificial intelligence, emerging technologies, multi domain operations and other things like war robots etc.
*
https://forceindia.net
Let us not forget that he sells his book with very different ideas of Chinese origin. In fact, he replicates what the Chinese told him word for word.
In his newest argument he is scaring the Indian Army with the Chinese newest high altitude NORINCO's PHL-16 MLRSA rocket. He is again picking up Chinese propaganda. India has counter in Brahmos which can demolish these MLRS before it attacks.
As a result, this respected writer became a spokesman for Chinese military theory to scare Indian troops. Very low-grade propaganda.
A little bit ago, another author, he is again, being a victim of Chinese propaganda argued that Chinese have collected a large rocket force in Ladakh and could demolish Indian posts in a jiffy. That, once again, if India waits for these rockets to strike and does nothing to demolish them on the ground before they launch.
The quality of China's propaganda far exceeds reality. Indian website owners are tempted by the money and other stuff that China offers. They become Chinese spokesmen. This propaganda has to be demolished.