True Chinese intent of Picking up a Fight with India in 2020.
The Chinese are calming down and acting less aggressively at LAC. They made withdrawal proposals that were rejected by India at the 7th Commander's meeting, but the Indian counterproposals probably fell on their deaf ears. Still, there may be a settlement in the works which may not favor China, but my question is why start this fight anyway. Now they wish to retreat. Are they deterred by the extreme cold in the LAC or by the iron grip of the Indian army? They learnt the hard way at Galwan clash and again when they brought their light tanks at Spanggur Gap in September which, when confronted by heavies on Indian side really killed their confidence. Once again, the same question: why begin a battle in which there is no chance of victory?
I'm sure their primary game is capturing Arunachal Pradesh. The LAC confrontation has been their dry run to test the courage of the well-armed and trained Indian army. China's leader Xi had altered China's military command by transferring a highly aggressive commander from Doklam to LAC. It is he who initiated the LAC fight. Nothing has been accomplished, except that the Chinese commander has gained experience in dealing with the Indian military. Next you will see him back in Tibet opposite MacMohan Line, directing ingress into Arunachal Pradesh. Their primary focus is the city of Tawang (birthplace of the present Dalai Lama). They had captured Tawang in a 1962 fire fight, but withdrew from it a short while later. Over and over again, they made noises about acquiring Tawang and only then will they settle in Tibet peacefully. India is determined this time not to let the Chinese anywhere, even close to Tawang let alone cross the ridge line of MacMohan line. There in 1962, a poorly equipped brigade at the MacMohan line and another one at the SELA Pass in 1962 were overwhelmed. Worst of all, a bad General directing all the operations was the key reasons of Indian retreat. Chinese outflanked both the brigades and reached Bomdila/Foothills. Today there is an entire mountain division with modern artillery, new guns and tactics in Tawang. Even the Indian Air Force is standing by together with a newly formed aggressive force of 60,000 men Strike Force at Panagarh to slip into Tibet and catch them from behind.
Further east their intent is to grab Walong in Lohit division, which they again had captured in 1962 and then withdrew. The crossroad of Walong is a gateway to the Chinese to ingress into India using old and defunct Lido Road. If the Chinese does succeed both ways to defeat Indian Army again at SELA Pass and Walong then the whole of Assam and tiny states formed out of it in the last 60 years will fall to China and Chinese will fulfill their prophecy map they published in the fifties which included Assam as Chinese.
They also have an alternate plan to suffocate the entire Indian army in the east by suffocating the Silliguri corridor and forcing a surrender. The Doklam road building confrontation three years back was part of that Chinese plan. The Chinese are at a disadvantage there as Indian Army is on the heights and Chinese have to climb out of the Chumbi valley in the face of a massive Indian fire power on hilltops to kill any intruding army.
All three scenarios are possible in the minds of an over-confident Chinese general. That is why he got himself transferred to LAC in Ladakh to learn first hand about Indian Army tactics and firepower.
The Chinese general has learnt it well. Also, he has learnt to gamble China’s prestige and lose it. LAC confrontation was a bad example of that.
Assume that Chinese mindset is same as it was in 1962 and they launch incursions of LAC kind in the Arunachal Pradesh. Also assume that They muster a force of 100,000 of their troops across the MacMohan line and at Doklam...... What is waiting for them? The three mountain divisions of the Indian army and a striking force of 40-50,000 men clashed with them from advantageous positions. Result...... slaughter of Chinese troops of the same kind which overtook them in the Korean War, will happen all over again with no clemency. They would have no place to run as ridge line is blocked by the Strike Corp, which has got behind them and forced them into a corner for a slaughter. The Chinese Air Force will be watching, but it is incapable of intervening because it is afraid that the technologically superior IAF will kill it. Nukes are used to intimidate, not to use them.
Hence, for Chinese to be overconfident and start a fight to capture Indian territory, including Arunachal Pradesh is a bad idea.