Ya'll Nibbiars Yesterday some discussions were happening that Chinese have moved ahead and taken Fingers 3 and 2. Sounds pretty improbable and I’ll explain why. As Follows :
1. Finger 4 has multiple spurs coming down, as shown in the image. Moving from Spur to Spur does not mean advance on fingers. That’s assuming in a freak probability they’ve moved a post or two ahead.
View attachment 64789View attachment 64790
2. Indians are sitting on dominating heights, overlooking Chinese positions. These heights by IA were gained by their specialised mountaineering skilled troops and take humongous effort to reach and deploy. The advantage of clear line of sight and fire is with Indians now. Chinese would not try and get into adventurism if moving ahead knowing they have to fight altitude and IA both.
3. In mountains, you move along tracks. It’s not straight as crow flies like on a road. The tracks leading to Finger 3 and 2 pass, over the ridge line of F4 passes through Indian positions. So they would have to vacate Indians to move ahead. That would mean an armed conflict which means a battle which means a probable war. Nothing of the sorts happened.
4. Chinese positions In the area are maintained through their rear base in Nyagzu. From their they have troops and mike tracks to supper their posts. There is no connecting track between these tracks and F3 and F2. Which again means that Chinese wouldn’t have advanced without a proper supply line open to support their advance, and subsequent occupation. Logistics is backbone of Mil ops. And especially in such terrain and weather, no one carries out any ops without Adm being fully backed up. They wouldn’t reach ahead and deploy themselves where they don’t dominate their Adm routes and are rather at mercy of Indians.
5. In the larger scheme of things, heights have been occupied n troops are entrenched. Any atk on any position would lead to major battle n possibly war. And trust me, if China has to start a war, F2-3 wouldn’t be the first attack.
MMJSM.