Indian test were said to be dud by both western sources as well as your own nuclear scientists..does it mean india dont have any latest design?warhead
Those are just speculations.
Anything to do with our nukes are mere speculations. The same is for your industry.
Calculate your own..pakistan plutonium production dates back to 1979 when the new labs(name) was constructed.
first khushab series reactor was made operational in 1997 with the production capacity of 14kg of plutonium per year.this was our first plutonium production reactor constructed by Nescom and PAEC.though as per the older kpc-3 pak nuclear submarine extract.the production capacity of khushab series reactor was 21kg per year.
Not all of the plutonium produced is used in bomb making.
21kg-35kg-50kg and 70kg or total 176kg of plutonium per year,
consider that each warhead is upto 50kt or use 8-10kg of plutonium.
so pakistan capacity at the moment of only plutonium based warhead is like 22warheads of 50kt yield per year.
Speculation and and more speculation. For all you know all your reactors are producing less than 20Kg each. All your reactors are small. Even our reactor Dhruva is said to be a 100MWt reactor and produces less uranium than you have claimed above. Your reactors are of 50MWt range.
NOTE:i am not counting the older new labs prduction capcity which still stands at 4kg per year or roughly 1-2 tactical warheads per year
Also i am not counting the close future new reactors being made including a different series of weapon production reactors
Even I can speculate and claim we have multiple PHWRs creating more plutonium than you can imagine.
Pakistan's construction of these new reactors at the Khushab site will result in a dramatic increase in its plutonium production capability. Combined, the three new reactors will be able to produce enough plutonium for over 12 nuclear weapons per year, depending on the reactors' size and operating efficiencies. 1 This compares with Pakistan's current estimated production of enough weapon-grade uranium and plutonium for about 7-14 weapons per year. 2 These three new reactors will roughly double Pakistan's annual ability to build nuclear weapons to about 19-26 nuclear weapons per year.
More or less. But all for 20kT class weapons.
how do you know they are tiny...do you think all of them are based off the reactor design in 90's.
50MWt with the latest said to be another 50MWt reactor. All the Khushab reactors.
A 50MWt reactor should deliver around 10Kg of weaponized Plutonium.
Comparatively DHRUVA is a 100MWt reactor and produces around 20Kg of plutonium, 26 according to official sources.
All your reactors are based on the Khushab-1.
Khushab-1 | Facilities | NTI
Khushab-1 is a 40-50MW plutonium production reactor, moderated by heavy water and utilizing natural uranium fuel.
Depending on its capacity, Khushab-1 had produced approximately 60 to 130 kilograms of weapons-grade plutonium as of 2010. [4] Assuming that 8kg of plutonium are needed to produce one nuclear weapon, Pakistan could have had sufficient plutonium for between 7 and 16 nuclear weapons from Khushab-1 production alone as of 2010. The facility is not under IAEA safeguards.
This should give you an idea.
Also,
Khushab-3 | Facilities | NTI
Once completed, Khusab-3 will reportedly be a 50MW plutonium production reactor.
so incase of nuclear war..no matter what but india will get a civilian damage of atleast 4-5times more than pak.pak economy might collapse.i agree about this.
You are making a lot of mistakes. I already told you, a 20kT weapons will make only a 350m crater, that's smaller than my entire apartment complex. Sure, there are around 350 families in my complex so the death count would be rather high for the small area of damage, but it won't take out the whole city.
even if india nuke all the 66 cities of pak..that probably will account for the death of upto 40millions.but imagine if pakistan nukes just 50 cities of india?that would count for more than 100millions population of india..i am sure this would be more..but not in the mood of calculation right now
Yes, we have a large population, even in the cities. However you are underestimating BMD, CMD and also the resilience of our buildings to a nuclear attack of such tiny magnitude. There were people in Nagasaki who were close to ground zero and survived because they were held in concrete prison cells. The people who died were living in wood and paper houses which caught fire after.
You can't nuke 50 cities of India. You don't have such capability. And we don't need to nuke even one city of Pakistan, we only need to take out power plants and water systems using conventional weapons and watch Pakistanis kill each other instead.
4 are active with combined capacity close to 170kg.even if a 100kt warhead need 15-18 kg of plutonium per warhead.
we can still make atleast 8-10 100kt warheads per year.
You need much more than 15-18Kg.
though 50kt warheads are ideal for destruction of a city.in a sense nuclear radiation and ofcourse nuclear winter as well.
and your already aware of the after effects of nuclear warheads remain for decades.
Nuclear winter will work only if you nuke a lot of places with a lot of bombs. That means around 20000 or 30000 nukes. Have you even gone through the number of nuclear tests conducted throughout the world? Read about it and you will understand that even a combined Indian+Pakistani arsenal won't take out India.
Anyway, we produce a lot of tritium for thermonuclear bombs.
India can be largest supplier of tritium: Kakodkar - Indian Express
You see, we need a small fission bomb to trigger a larger fusion bomb. While you are busy producing and using up all your plutonium for fission bombs, we may have already moved towards bigger things.
And this, to help you understand what the previous link means.
Tritium from Power Plants gives India an H-bomb capability
For all you know we have enough tritium to make both US and Russia jealous.
Also note that the 50MWt for Khushab is just for thermal power, while most of the Indian reactors list their electrical output. In other words, your reactors are tinier than you think. Meaning the Russians are currently building 2 1000MWe reactors in Tamil Nadu right now while your Khushab reactors 1 through 3 are around 15MWe reactors. See the difference.
For reference let me give you an example of another reactor in comparison. We made a test FBTR reactor which feeds on plutonium. It was a 40MWt reactor with an electrical output of
13MWe. It needed 50Kg of weaponized plutonium and was made in 1985. We are currently building a second PFBR of
500MWe capacity. So you can only imagine how much weaponized plutonium it will need. Btw, the bye-product of this reactor is more plutonium.
let's now start a race with a handicap nation atleast set decent goals
