Immanuel
Senior Member
- Joined
- May 16, 2011
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You seem to think, closing of the Hormuz will play well with any of it's neighbors.You simply cannot pull a Normandy on Iran. It has far better maritime defenses than any other state in the Persian Gulf, Saudi Arabia included, and has access to Russian hardware. Iranian/Russian action in Syria made it amply clear that Iran isn't Iraq. You can't show up with an amphibious task-force. You need a land-based staging area that''s built up over months, which is either Iraq (which will become a political shit-show at the UN), or you can use Pakistan.
Bolton is a Kissinger/Cheney-type cocksucker who can push Trump to do anything, even if it sends US-India relations back to 1971-levels.
I think what will happen in the coming few weeks, though, is that Iran will physically test a nuke, which will force the US to back off.
Armed with tons of F-15s, EF, Block-60s, F-35s, etc. UAE, Saudi, Kuwait and others would thrash Iran like their Goats were on fire. Add to that Israel and potentially NATO. Russia will abandon Iran faster than a rabbit get's fucked.
That oil titty is too precious for Unwashed Ayatollahs to fuck around with.
You also seem to think Israel will just lay down and let Iran cross their red line. Them Hebrews don't fuck around, if anything their actions of the past prove that.