MTA Program by UAC/HAL

Bahamut

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A 400M is has a turbo prop engine that for lower maintainces and low fuel conduption gives lower performance while MTA has 2 turbo jet engine which for higher maintainces and higher fuel consumption gives higher performance.My bet is that the Govt. will sign another deal for FDAC engine and increase the cost.This plane is importantfor make in India as it gives the the components required for transport plane.
 

garg_bharat

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@Bahamut, Russians do not have bandwidth to take up engine project. If they had, they would have said - ok give us so much extra $$$.

India can either take it or leave it. I doubt even India has a big budget for this plane.

I think the word "freeze" means that India has not dropped the project altogether. India has only stopped paying. So if India pays at a later date, it can be reactivated.

Russians are under massive pressure right now, and they would continue modernization projects with us or without us. Their approach is different from ours.
 

Screambowl

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we indians can't produce critical tech and our demands from others are like as if we are tech masters. We have to be self capable of producing these types of engines and then force on countries who are also capable of producing the powerplant..

aise demands rakhoge toh Tejas wala haal hoga.
 

Gessler

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Looking at the specifications of MTA project 20000kg payload same as Airbus a400m..but a400 has four engines but MTA has only two
A400m payload capacity is around 37 tons, almost twice that of MTA's estimated figure of about 20 tons. The price tag is also likely to be two to three times as much. It's an entirely different class of aircraft.

C-130J on the other hand has comparable payload of approx. 20 tons. If we can produce it locally, we can possibly get it for like 50% higher price than MTA's estimated per-unit cost. Something like the export-focused C-130XJ concept can be even cheaper per unit. But upside is that we won't have to pay anything as project-development costs as the plane is already fully developed and ready.

Whatever money Tata invests in setting up a production line is easily recovered, plus a substantial profit is gained by selling anywhere between 40 to 60 aircraft to IAF alone and income from MRO hub activities.

All I'm saying is that if MTA is to be cancelled, going for C-130J licensed production would be a sound decision as a replacement for the aging An-32s.



@abingdonboy
 

garg_bharat

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Prices (Estimated):
A400M - 139M
C130 - $100 - $120M
MTA - Target $40M (take $50-$60M realistic)

Possible that Tata makes C130J. Price depends on US government.
 

tharun

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A400m payload capacity is around 37 tons, almost twice that of MTA's estimated figure of about 20 tons. The price tag is also likely to be two to three times as much. It's an entirely different class of aircraft.

C-130J on the other hand has comparable payload of approx. 20 tons. If we can produce it locally, we can possibly get it for like 50% higher price than MTA's estimated per-unit cost. Something like the export-focused C-130XJ concept can be even cheaper per unit. But upside is that we won't have to pay anything as project-development costs as the plane is already fully developed and ready.

Whatever money Tata invests in setting up a production line is easily recovered, plus a substantial profit is gained by selling anywhere between 40 to 60 aircraft to IAF alone and income from MRO hub activities.

All I'm saying is that if MTA is to be cancelled, going for C-130J licensed production would be a sound decision as a replacement for the aging An-32s.



@abingdonboy
I think americans will not setup manufacturing line of c-130 in india..
Only possible is Airbus a-400 or c-295
 

Gessler

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I think americans will not setup manufacturing line of c-130 in india..
Why not? Tata Advanced Systems Ltd. (TASL) and other subsidiary companies are already Tier-1 suppliers of the C-130J international supply chain. As I repeatedly pointed out, several critical components like Center Wing-Box (CWB), Tailfin & Horizontal Stabilizers are manufactured here in Hyderabad.

There is no reason in hell why they won't allow a C-130J production line while Lockheed itself is trying to deal with India to setup an F-16V/IN line while Boeing is lobbying for an F/A-18ASH line. A simple transport plane like SuperHerc is much lower in the technology/lethality chart....plus the market is likely to be considerably huge and doing so will allow US cos to get one-up on Russian agencies in the Indian market.

Only possible is Airbus a-400 or c-295
Both are impossible for this requirement. One is a level higher, other is a level below.

As I already showed above, a single A400M costs as much as five MTAs (projected price) while the payload capacity is nearly double. Entirely different category.

The C-295W has already been selected to be a replacement for the existing Hawker-Siddeley HS-748M low-end turboprop transports currently serving IAF. They are a tier lower than An-32, just like how MTA/C-130J will be tier higher than the C-295W.

... and Tata is also the one who will carry out local production of these C-295s (total 58 needed).

http://www.ainonline.com/aviation-n...dia-approves-airbus-tata-bid-supply-56-c-295s
 
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tharun

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Why not? Tata Advanced Systems Ltd. (TASL) and other subsidiary companies are already Tier-1 suppliers of the C-130J international supply chain. As I repeatedly pointed out, several critical components like Center Wing-Box (CWB), Tailfin & Horizontal Stabilizers are manufactured here in Hyderabad.

There is no reason in hell why they won't allow a C-130J production line while Lockheed itself is trying to deal with India to setup an F-16V/IN line while Boeing is lobbying for an F/A-18ASH line. A simple transport plane like SuperHerc is much lower in the technology/lethality chart....plus the market is likely to be considerably huge and doing so will allow US cos to get one-up on Russian agencies in the Indian market.



Both are impossible for this requirement. One is a level higher, other is a level below.

As I already showed above, a single A400M costs as much as five MTAs (projected price) while the payload capacity is nearly double. Entirely different category.

The C-295W has already been selected to be a replacement for the existing Hawker-Siddeley HS-748M low-end turboprop transports currently serving IAF. They are a tier lower than An-32, just like how MTA/C-130J will be tier higher than the C-295W.

... and Tata is also the one who will carry out local production of these C-295s (total 58 needed).

http://www.ainonline.com/aviation-n...dia-approves-airbus-tata-bid-supply-56-c-295s
But c-130j made in india would be two times costly than MTA and we should rely on us for spares.
And we had a requirement of 90-100 mta's
 
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garg_bharat

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@tharun, theoretically TASL can assemble C130. Tata is very interested in building planes. So it is only a question of IAF moving a requirement. IAF can frame a reason to drop MTA (something other than FADEC), and ask MOD to purchase C130 instead. Then MOD can put up a RFP to US Govt.
 

abingdonboy

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A400m payload capacity is around 37 tons, almost twice that of MTA's estimated figure of about 20 tons. The price tag is also likely to be two to three times as much. It's an entirely different class of aircraft.

C-130J on the other hand has comparable payload of approx. 20 tons. If we can produce it locally, we can possibly get it for like 50% higher price than MTA's estimated per-unit cost. Something like the export-focused C-130XJ concept can be even cheaper per unit. But upside is that we won't have to pay anything as project-development costs as the plane is already fully developed and ready.

Whatever money Tata invests in setting up a production line is easily recovered, plus a substantial profit is gained by selling anywhere between 40 to 60 aircraft to IAF alone and income from MRO hub activities.

All I'm saying is that if MTA is to be cancelled, going for C-130J licensed production would be a sound decision as a replacement for the aging An-32s.



@abingdonboy
On other forums I have stated the case for the C-130XJ now the MTA is dead, it s by far the most logical choice.

Prices (Estimated):
A400M - 139M
C130 - $100 - $120M
MTA - Target $40M (take $50-$60M realistic)

Possible that Tata makes C130J. Price depends on US government.
MTA was never going to be that cheap and the price you have quoted for the C-130 is too much. The "XJ" variant is a fully stripped down version of the "J" and thus will be much more affordable.

I think americans will not setup manufacturing line of c-130 in india..
Only possible is Airbus a-400 or c-295
If the IAF give a sizeable order LM would be more than willing to- they were/are willing to set up F-18/16 production in India.

But c-130j made in india would be two times costly than MTA and we should rely on us for spares.
And we had a requirement of 90-100 mta's
I don't agree with that price estimate but they wouldbe more costly however, cosidering the C-130XJ has a higher lift capacity than the MTA you wouldn't require a 1:1 replacment, maybe 0.75:1. So 75 C-130XJ instead of 100 MTA would be required. The unpfront costs would be very similar and I suspect the C-130XJ's life cycle costs would be VASTLY superior.


@tharun, theoretically TASL can assemble C130. Tata is very interested in building planes. So it is only a question of IAF moving a requirement. IAF can frame a reason to drop MTA (something other than FADEC), and ask MOD to purchase C130 instead. Then MOD can put up a RFP to US Govt.
Now the Russians have "frozen" India out, the IAF has such a requirement to replace their An-32s especially given the mess the Russian-Ukranian crisis has left the AN-32 fleet in ie 30-40% are grounded (canniblised) and the RE upgrade deal has been canceeled by the Ukranians with only 40 upgraded.
 

garg_bharat

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Even if C130 is assembled in India, it will still be an inter-gov. deal. India will have to pay export price, which is heavily padded. It is same for all Indian purchases from USA.

Price will remain double of MTA. No doubts there. The target price of MTA is only 40M. Russian planes are much cheaper as compared to American planes.

See:

The price of Russian regional Sukhoi Superjet 100 (SSJ100) aircraft has increased in 2012 to $35,4 million from $31,7 million.
 

abingdonboy

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Price will remain double of MTA. No doubts there. The target price of MTA is only 40M. Russian planes are much cheaper as compared to American planes.
And since when have the Russians ever stuck to their target price where deals with India are concered. Every single one in recent times have come to India at a heavy premium- heck the Vikramditya cost >250% of what it was intially meant to cost.

Russian products are cheaper to acquire but their unit costs are HORRENDOUS and that is why since India switched to full life cycle cost (LCC) analysis the Russians have lost EVERY open deal to the Americans/Europeans- Heavy attack helo (AH-64E won against the Mi-28N), Heavy Lift Helo (CH-47F won against the Mi-26T2), AAR (A330 MRTT won against the IL-78).

You pay peanuts, you get monkies.
 

Bahamut

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MTA is not dead it is just that are participation have been frozen a similar but less threatening had happened during PAK FA and we reached a conclusion where India got more ToT ,same can happen in MTA ,the main advantage of MTA over C 130 XJ is the speed and better performance of turbojet as compared to turbo prop.@gessler can you provide the weight vs range performance of C 130 XJ.
 

Gessler

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MTA is not dead it is just that are participation have been frozen a similar but less threatening had happened during PAK FA and we reached a conclusion where India got more ToT ,same can happen in MTA ,the main advantage of MTA over C 130 XJ is the speed and better performance of turbojet as compared to turbo prop.@gessler can you provide the weight vs range performance of C 130 XJ.
MTA has turbofans, not turbojets.

@abingdonboy Knows best about the C-130XJ so I'll let him answer about that.

However one must remember that in end, if we have to decide between MTA & 130J/XJ...every factor will be taken into account, including payload, speed, range, acquisition cost, life-cycle cost, spares support, etc.

Even if MTA appears superior on paper on some points, it may actually fall short of 130J in economical aspects. Just like how eventhough Mi-28 and Mi-26 were superior to their US counterparts on paper, they were not able to secure the contracts because the life-cycle costs & spares support, reliability aspects played against them. We will see.

You can rest assured that IAF/MoD will try their level best to sort out the disagreements in MTA contract, but no guarantee that these attempts will be successful. Keep in mind that license production of 130J does not come into the active picture until & unless IAF/MoD are positive that they cannot go ahead with MTA, for whatever reason.
 

Bahamut

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And since when have the Russians ever stuck to their target price where deals with India are concered. Every single one in recent times have come to India at a heavy premium- heck the Vikramditya cost >250% of what it was intially meant to cost.

Russian products are cheaper to acquire but their unit costs are HORRENDOUS and that is why since India switched to full life cycle cost (LCC) analysis the Russians have lost EVERY open deal to the Americans/Europeans- Heavy attack helo (AH-64E won against the Mi-28N), Heavy Lift Helo (CH-47F won against the Mi-26T2), AAR (A330 MRTT won against the IL-78).

You pay peanuts, you get monkies.
Say that about Mil 8 and 17 V 5 or Su 30 MKI or Mig 29 .A 330 MRTT is cancled due to cost escalation,CH 47F won because of it requires less maintenance plus IAF do not need a super heavy lifter like Mi 26T2 ,AH 64 E won because of it ability to control UAV and better sensor fusion.As for Vikramditya ,2 billion $ is low price for a aircraft carrier ,then Naval chief challenged the CAG to find a AC cheaper and the CAG failed .Even the AC which we will make will be around 5 billion $ when it is completed .
 

abingdonboy

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MTA is not dead it is just that are participation have been frozen a similar but less threatening had happened during PAK FA and we reached a conclusion where India got more ToT ,same can happen in MTA ,the main advantage of MTA over C 130 XJ is the speed and better performance of turbojet as compared to turbo prop.@gessler can you provide the weight vs range performance of C 130 XJ.
The speed advantage is present with the MTA but so what? The aircraft the MTA was to replace (An-32) is turboprop, has the IAF explictly stated they want a turbofan aircraft to replace the An-32s? They were just going along with it as this was what the Russians had proposed. The An-32s are exclusively used within India for relatively short trips and the "speed factor" is thus negligable- this would only really be relevent in long range flights (which the IAF would not need the An-32 replecment to do).

Addtionally, given that the C-130XJ/MTA would be the backbone of the IAF's transport wing one would want them to have the highest possible availabilty, correct? With the American product this is ensured- literally (by contract the C-130 and C-17 of the IAF have to have >85% availabilty at any one time)- we all know how poor Russian after sales support and availabilty rates are.

The C-130's "rough feild" capabilties are legendary, turbofans always struggle with this aspect and Russian aircraft are particuarly vulnerable to FOD it seems so I can confidently say the C-130XJ is a more suitable replacement to the An-32 than the MTA.

India needs to stop falling for Russia's "cheap factor", in the long run India pays for it in spades and I think the establishment has woken up to this reality.
 

garg_bharat

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Say that about Mil 8 and 17 V 5 or Su 30 MKI or Mig 29 .A 330 MRTT is cancled due to cost escalation,CH 47F won because of it requires less maintenance plus IAF do not need a super heavy lifter like Mi 26T2 ,AH 64 E won because of it ability to control UAV and better sensor fusion.As for Vikramditya ,2 billion $ is low price for a aircraft carrier ,then Naval chief challenged the CAG to find a AC cheaper and the CAG failed .Even the AC which we will make will be around 5 billion $ when it is completed .
Thanks as you answered correctly before me. The fact is that MOD is facing escalation on all defence projects, both local and foreign, Russian or not.

@abingdonboy, your assertion is completely false.

The escalation is due to a variety of factors.

The life-cycle costs you mentioned is only a flogging horse. I have already said before that Transports are used much below potential in IAF. So lifecycle costs of American planes will always be higher due to high initial costs. Maintenance is a significant issue for fighters but not for transports.
 

Bahamut

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@Gessler Sorry it was turbofan for Il 214 and turboprop for C130 XJ, but for Il 214 we get full ToT and complete control over plane plus the prospect of profit by gain.It will bring important engine technology if full ToT for new FADEC engine is signed .IAF decided mid way in the project that FADEC engine is needed and a new engine means invest 5 $billion dollar and there goes money for Rafale ,budget management is not present .
 

abingdonboy

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Say that about Mil 8 and 17 V 5 or Su 30 MKI or Mig 29
All have far lower availabilty rates than their Western counterparts.

A 330 MRTT is cancled due to cost escalation
Not true, it has been stalled because of some bogus vigilance check because of some weird allegation against Airbus in India from the 80s, the deal is still on but as usual the Indian babus are taking their time.

CH 47F won because of it requires less maintenance plus IAF do not need a super heavy lifter like Mi 26T2 ,AH 64 E won because of it ability to control UAV and better sensor fusion.
Not true at all. All Russian products lost out on LCC analysis, the above is completly ignoring the selection/procurement process. The military outlines requirements, bidders submit their products and the military tests them, all products that meet the requirements progess and the product with the lowest bid price (here LCC) wins ie becomes "L1". This is how the Apache, Chinook and A300 MRTT won, not because of any other reason. This is a matter of historical record.

UAV control was not even considered by the IAF, it is simply a "nice to have" feature.

As for Vikramditya ,2 billion $ is low price for a aircraft carrier ,then Naval chief challenged the CAG to find a AC cheaper and the CAG failed .Even the AC which we will make will be around 5 billion $ when it is completed .
This doesn't change the fact that it was inducted WELL after it was meant to and came in vastly over budget. As did the Talwars, T-90s and any other Russian product India has procured in the past decade.

Do you think a >250% price escalation is acceptable?
 

tharun

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Stop fighting...There are two more options
Antonov An-178 payload same as MTA..if we can negotiate antonov will make planes in india..
Embraer KC-390..Brazil in brink we can make a deal....
 

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