Mirage upgrade: To be completed within 10 years

ace009

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:laugh: Then you must REALLY hate the Russians, not only do they do that but they renege on contracts and up the price.
Hey - and I thought the Russians are learning from the French!!

Here's the fact guys - LCA development has cost India (till date) about 8000 crore rupees, and by the end of LCA Mk-2 AND Naval-LCA development, will cost a total of ~ Rs 15,000 crores (~ $3.8 billion) - for a total of about 160 aircrafts by 2020. Which means, a brand new 4.5 generation LCA Tejas will be costing IAF $23.75 million each, while 30 yrs old Mirage 2000 upgrade, WITHOUT engine upgradation will cost $47 million a piece - by 2020!

Now, if someone still denies that SOMETHING IS WRONG, I think they should pull their heads out of the sand and take a look at the numbers.
 
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Armand2REP

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$3.8 billion won't come close to covering LCA costs if that includes an indigenous engine, not to mention all the other domestic stuff they want on it. LCA production cost of $23 million is absurd much less adding R&D to it. It is more like a $50 million aircraft when all is said and done. If it was really that cheap, IAF would be ordering them by a thousand.
 

p2prada

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Hey - and I thought the Russians are learning from the French!!

Here's the fact guys - LCA development has cost India (till date) about 8000 crore rupees, and by the end of LCA Mk-2 AND Naval-LCA development, will cost a total of ~ Rs 15,000 crores (~ $3.8 billion) - for a total of about 160 aircrafts by 2020. Which means, a brand new 4.5 generation LCA Tejas will be costing IAF $23.75 million each, while 30 yrs old Mirage 2000 upgrade, WITHOUT engine upgradation will cost $47 million a piece - by 2020!

Now, if someone still denies that SOMETHING IS WRONG, I think they should pull their heads out of the sand and take a look at the numbers.
The $3.8Billion that you calculated is only for development that the govt releases to ADA and HAL. Future orders are not included in the costs.

The 2 squadrons ordered are coming from the IAF's coffers and have a different budget. ADA projects the total cost of LCA with 123 orders will cost $11Billion including development.
 

p2prada

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$3.8 billion won't come close to covering LCA costs if that includes an indigenous engine, not to mention all the other domestic stuff they want on it. LCA production cost of $23 million is absurd much less adding R&D to it. It is more like a $50 million aircraft when all is said and done. If it was really that cheap, IAF would be ordering them by a thousand.
The K-10 alone is set to cost $2Billion in development. ADA projects the LCA cost to be upto $42Million per unit fly away price. IAF cannot order the LCA by a thousand because we are short of 400 pilots today even with a depleting squadron strength. Even getting to 150 will be a big deal.
 

Godless-Kafir

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I have no idea what some of you guys are basing your arguments on.

The F-15C upgrades happening in the US cost $80Million a piece, for near fifth gen technology. We are getting 4th gen tech for $43Million. This is how much 4th gen tech costs in the west, same for LCA. Once LCA Mk2 comes into production you will yourself see the difference once 4.5th gen tech is added to the aircraft.

Your mistake is,

1. Comparing 4th gen(upgrades) Vs 4.5Gen Tejas(brand new aircraft.)

2. RDY VS AESA

3. 10yrs for upgrade Vs 10yrs for New jet.

4. 3-billion$ in 10years will not stand for inflation over runs and may cost more.

5. Does not include engine upgrade, which may prop up later on as an separate issue as service life of Engine is comeing to an end.
 

ace009

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Your mistake is,

1. Comparing 4th gen(upgrades) Vs 4.5Gen Tejas(brand new aircraft.)

2. RDY VS AESA

3. 10yrs for upgrade Vs 10yrs for New jet.

4. 3-billion$ in 10years will not stand for inflation over runs and may cost more.

5. Does not include engine upgrade, which may prop up later on as an separate issue as service life of Engine is comeing to an end.
Also, if Dassault is promising to deliver 123 Rafales in 6 years (2014-2020) then why can't they do the UPGRADES ot 53 Mirages in 2-3 years? Why is it that India has to pay $43 million per Mirage and still wait 10 years for the upgrades? Why did MoD agree to this? What was IAF doing that things came to this?
 

Kunal Biswas

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Isn't they said they no more manufacture Mir-2000, The upgrade of our Mirs also include new airframes not the old which are almost end of their life span..
 

p2prada

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Your mistake is,

1. Comparing 4th gen(upgrades) Vs 4.5Gen Tejas(brand new aircraft.)
Nope. The Mirage upgrade will push the Mirage beyond the current generation MKIs in EW. The 4.5th gen Tejas does not exist and will not until 2018.

2. RDY VS AESA
AESA is not part of the LCA Mk2 project. IAF has delinked the AESA. ADA hopes to add AESA on LCA well after production starts, possibly in MLUs.

3. 10yrs for upgrade Vs 10yrs for New jet.
10 years for all 51 aircraft upgraded while 10 years to have just 2 Mk2 unproven, untested squadrons inducted. 10 years to have 51 nuclear capable aircraft compared to 10 years for an aircraft meant to replace Mig-21s. Don't forget the Mirage-2000 is currently the only aircraft capable of delivering nukes apart from the Jags.

4. 3-billion$ in 10years will not stand for inflation over runs and may cost more.
Will still be cheaper than buying a new plane. If Indian Rupee appreciates against the Euro as it should by that time, then it will get extremely cheap in the long run.

5. Does not include engine upgrade, which may prop up later on as an separate issue as service life of Engine is comeing to an end.
The engine has a lot of time left and the M-53 is not expensive.

Fact is the Mirage-2000 is a very necessary aircraft for the IAF. With squadron strength depleting, IAF cannot afford to dump any aircraft before it's full service life. Even Jags are set to be reengined for the same reason. We may have the funds for new aircraft, but we don't have the time, training and infrastructure to hand over any new aircraft to the SFC for nuke delivery.
Only MRCA and AMCA can take over the Mirage-2000s nuke role. MKI, not so much because of it's RCS. Apart from that IAF still swears by the M-2000 even with MKI inductions simply because the M-2000 is battle proven in our own wars.
 

ace009

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The $3.8Billion that you calculated is only for development that the govt releases to ADA and HAL. Future orders are not included in the costs.

The 2 squadrons ordered are coming from the IAF's coffers and have a different budget. ADA projects the total cost of LCA with 123 orders will cost $11Billion including development.
At 180 crores each, an LCA Tejas will cost $36 million and for $11.8 billion, developing an indigenous aircraft development and manufacturing industry as well as a light fighter is CHEAP.
 

Godless-Kafir

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Nope. The Mirage upgrade will push the Mirage beyond the current generation MKIs in EW. The 4.5th gen Tejas does not exist and will not until 2018.
If it does not exist why the hell did you bring it up? Moreover which MKI are you comparing with, The one that will be upgraded or the current one?


AESA is not part of the LCA Mk2 project. IAF has delinked the AESA. ADA hopes to add AESA on LCA well after production starts, possibly in MLUs.
Another escapist point, the Mark-2 will have AESA, delinked does not mean a thing.



10 years for all 51 aircraft upgraded while 10 years to have just 2 Mk2 unproven, untested squadrons inducted. 10 years to have 51 nuclear capable aircraft compared to 10 years for an aircraft meant to replace Mig-21s. Don't forget the Mirage-2000 is currently the only aircraft capable of delivering nukes apart from the Jags
.

Why cant MKI or Tejas drop it? Should it fall accurately at the bunker! Both the new MKI and Tejas can drop it. The SFC also asked for the MKI.

Also building a new jet is the same as upgrade!! How do you want me to argue against this? Building Pulsar and changing wiring is the same?


Will still be cheaper than buying a new plane. If Indian Rupee appreciates against the Euro as it should by that time, then it will get extremely cheap in the long run.

No, at 43 million the Tejas and the Mig-29 fall in the same range and you can add all those technologies like RDY Radar etc as after market fitment and the cost wont shoot up to much.

The engine has a lot of time left and the M-53 is not expensive.
Offcourse the engine has more time but the aircraft has reached manufacture life cycle estimates which means the efficiency will go down and attrition will increase like the Mig-21, no one will want to lose one Mirage after spending so much. You say its not expensive as if if the engine shuts down in flight would mean pilot can glide it down. Its expensive if we lose even one and thats without engine upgrade its a rip off.

Fact is the Mirage-2000 is a very necessary aircraft for the IAF. With squadron strength depleting, IAF cannot afford to dump any aircraft before it's full service life. Even Jags are set to be reengined for the same reason. We may have the funds for new aircraft, but we don't have the time, training and infrastructure to hand over any new aircraft to the SFC for nuke delivery.
Only MRCA and AMCA can take over the Mirage-2000s nuke role. MKI, not so much because of it's RCS. Apart from that IAF still swears by the M-2000 even with MKI inductions simply because the M-2000 is battle proven in our own wars.
The Mirage is a good aircraft and it is key in nuclear weapons delivery, however other aircrafts can perform that roll as well. The whole point is that 43million for upgrade is not worth even for the Mirage,paying more does not mean you get the best. Even if they did not buy new aircraft's this deal could have been made cheaper. If not the Tejas is as stealthy as Mirage and ordering more will cut the manufacturing cost because of mass production.
 

Immanuel

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LCA mk-2 will have AESA and LCA mk-1 once it recieves full FOC next will be a 4.5 gen aircraft. It already has a very low rcs, a state of the art radar that performs better than the current RDY-2/3 and PESA RBE-2 on the Rafale. LCA mk-1 MMR has a detection range of over 150 km, has a very good RWR, navigation and comm equipment, state of the art airframe with among the highest amount of CRCs in % of materials used, the LSP-4 also had ECS, new avionics software as well as a Counter measure dispensing system. The LCA mk-1 will undergo a lot of weapons trials including weapons like Derby/R-77, kh-31, kh-35, kh-59ME. It will be more than ready to full-fill many types of roles and will be a pure 4.5 gen aircraft once FOC is given next year.

LCa mk-2 will be 4.5 gen+
 

Immanuel

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I am sure nuke bombs have been integrated into the MKI's weapons load. MKI will also fire the nuke capable Brahmos and Nirbhay in the near future. Brahmos test on MKI is being readied for early next year, not too long any more, a few validations tests and full-scale production will begin of A-brahmos, by 2014 we will have around 50 or more A-Brahmos, few will certainly be mated with Nuke warheads. Ideal way to take out an entire Chinese battle group.

LCA mk-2 will also be able to perform nuke strike roles.
 

p2prada

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If it does not exist why the hell did you bring it up? Moreover which MKI are you comparing with, The one that will be upgraded or the current one?
Simply because the LCA Mk2 will have much more advanced technologies than Mirage-2000, similar to what's on Rafale or EF. Give it sometime and you will know the actual cost of buying aircraft now. Even Mirage-2000s would have cost us nearly $80-100Million with 10 years training and support had we gone for new aircraft. Heck the PAF F-16 Block 52s, which is quite similar to Mirage-2000 upgrade in technology costs $80Million with 10 years training and support.

The $43Million is exactly half or less than half of what a new Mirage-2000 costs. This only seems expensive but is still a good deal.

I am comparing it to current MKI.

Another escapist point, the Mark-2 will have AESA, delinked does not mean a thing.
Kaveri was delinked from LCA and so is AESA. AESA will come in MLUs. ADA is probably doing this too keep the cost of LCA low.

Why cant MKI or Tejas drop it? Should it fall accurately at the bunker! Both the new MKI and Tejas can drop it. The SFC also asked for the MKI.
Datalinks and computers. The Mirage-2000 and a few jags are our only Nuclear capable aircraft. The SFC never asked for MKIs they asked for 40 new aircraft. MKIs are only an option for the SFC. Tejas isn't even operational, it is not even rigged to fire R-77s FFS.

In a Nuclear mission the aircraft will go with nothing but the bomb and the fuel to carry it, not even ammo in the gun is carried. This is to keep the RCS low and have the pilot focussed only in delivering the bomb. The MKIs RCS does not help in that purpose. I would very much prefer the SFC to go for whatever is chosen by the IAF in MRCA.

Also building a new jet is the same as upgrade!! How do you want me to argue against this? Building Pulsar and changing wiring is the same?
No. Building a new jet is not an upgrade. Mirage-2000 has 20 years left in it, and IAF will use it. It does not matter what you say. But what about the pilot? He has a lot of experience on the M-2000, that goes away if he is given an entirely new aircraft. He has to re learn and re train.

No, at 43 million the Tejas and the Mig-29 fall in the same range and you can add all those technologies like RDY Radar etc as after market fitment and the cost wont shoot up to much.
The Tejas isn't upto the mark. It is just a point defence fighter meant to replace Mig-21s. That's all there is to it. How many JF-17s has China built for itself? Both aircraft are pretty much the same in all respects. Even the JF-17 will start costing in excess of $40Million once they get new stuff on board. Mig-29 is superior to both aircraft, but it cannot replace the Mirage-2000 and the cost of building new infrastructure will double the induction costs. The Mig-29K came cheap because we bought it in a package deal with Gorky and Akula IIs half a decade back. If we buy it outside of a competition in today's prices then the cost would double.

Offcourse the engine has more time but the aircraft has reached manufacture life cycle estimates which means the efficiency will go down and attrition will increase like the Mig-21, no one will want to lose one Mirage after spending so much. You say its not expensive as if if the engine shuts down in flight would mean pilot can glide it down. Its expensive if we lose even one and thats without engine upgrade its a rip off.
From what I know the Mirage engines have another 10 years in them. The current cost of the M-53 is around $7million. If we go for a re engine then the total cost would be around $350-400Million tops and another $100Million for integration.

The Mirage is a good aircraft and it is key in nuclear weapons delivery, however other aircrafts can perform that roll as well.
Nope. Only MRCA can and even that is gone once SFC gets new aircraft by the end of the decade.

The whole point is that 43million for upgrade is not worth even for the Mirage,paying more does not mean you get the best. Even if they did not buy new aircraft's this deal could have been made cheaper. If not the Tejas is as stealthy as Mirage and ordering more will cut the manufacturing cost because of mass production.
The Tejas can never replace the Mirage-2000, Mig-29, Jaguar or Mig-27. It is first and foremost a Mig-21 replacement. It's newer electronics and design will allow decent capability over mountains in strike, but that is not it's primary role. Only MRCA and AMCA are meant to replace these aircraft. The Mig-21s are to be replaced by the MKI now and the LCA later. FGFA will start replacing the LCA and MKI after 2030. That's how it goes when role is concerned.

Finally with MKI, MRCA, LCA, FGFA and AMCA, there is no room to simply buy new aircraft of the 4th and 4.5th gen types. So, this kills the requirement for new aircraft to replace the Mirage-2000s instead of going for the upgrade. Heck we are working on 5 aircraft or will be working on 5 aircraft while most countries don't go for more than 1 or 2 at a time and only the richest going for a 3rd project.

France with only Rafale. Germany with only Typhoon. UK with Typhoon and F-35. US with F-22 and F-35, possibly some new UCAV which makes 3. Russia with FGFA and a MiG 5th gen fighter. But India with MKI, LCA, MRCA, FGFA and AMCA along with some smaller UCAV project. Even China has one less with their JF-17, J-10, J-11, J-20 and possibly another 5th gen project and even they aren't particularly bothered about JF-17.
 

pankaj nema

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We need numbers for a 2 front war and that too of decent aircrafts

Till 2020 IAF will be short of numbers

By 2020 India will have Only 3 squadrons of MMRCA and 1 Squadron of Pakfa /FGFA and 2 squadrons of LCA mk2

So Su 30mki , Mig29 and Mirage 2000 will provide IAF with the numbers that are needed for A 2 front war

China and pakistan are adding J 10 A/B in large numbers
 

lord

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Gentlemen i think we are awarding so many defense contracts to france as a reward for supporting us in kargil and after pokhran tests..

But scorpene delay and mirage upgrade are too much.. france expects way too much from us.Sarcozy is just taking the benefit of our good relations with previous french govts..

i was outraged even at the cost of mirage upgrade, now i hear that they will take 10 years to complete..

i think we should send a message to the french by giving contract to individual israeli firms which offer same deal in lower price..
 

Neil

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Good Service record lead to Mirage-2000 upgrade package

No airframe modification nor replacement of power plant ,with less than 20 years of frontline service left ,2.1 Billion $ upgrade package offered by the French manufacture seemed like a loot of the decade ,but last month MOD and IAF cleared the deal ,which many defence experts thought was a way expensive deal and some even questioned why Israeli offer of Mirage upgrade was not even considered which was going at half the cost ? .

Well a source close to idrw.org from Indian air force ,puts some thought into the whole upgrade dilemma which Indian air force had to go through ,it all begun at the start of the decade when Indian air force and French air force were having air exercise over Gwalior ,where IAF pitched their Mirage-2000H against French Mirage-2000-V .

Air exercise led to discovery of short fall of the BVR (Beyond visual range) limitation on the current fleet of Mirage 2000's operated by the Indian air force against highly upgraded French Mirage 2000-V fleet .

Process and recommendation for advancing and upgrading Mirage-2000H fleet was taken. French price was too high and still is, Israel Aircraft Industries which had made illegal copies of Mirage-V jets known has "Kfir " ,had proposed a Israeli avionics upgrade package ,which IAF found not much to their interest .

Source told idrw.org, that good serviceability of the aircraft and high mission availability of the Mirage-2000 in IAF fleet has lead to go with the French upgrade package, Mirage 2000 in last two decade in IAF fleet was the best weapons delivery aircraft and had an enviable safety record, and even Su-30MKI doesn't have such a distinguished record.

Mirage-2000H was the best aircraft in the IAF Fleet, when Kargil War happened , even do IAF had a small fleet of Su-30K at that time , but it was not used in high Mountain warfare in Kargil ,since Su-30K were more of a air superiority fighter aircraft ,based on Su-27 airframe which lacked Ground attack capability ,until Su-30MKI joined IAF in 2001 .

Dassault Aviation which is the OEM of the Mirage-2000 was not able to reduce the cost, since the production line for the Mirage-2000 had already been closed, and all the upgrade packages for converting Mirage-2000 to Dash V standard, had all ready been carried out by French air force by the time negotiation for IAF fleet came out.

Other factors which might have worked in favour for the French aircraft manufacture. Dassault Aviation was superior after sales support and good supply chain of spares for the fleet in IAF, which when compared to Russian jets was far better. IAF also wanted to keep one of its most trusted fighter aircraft in good shape to meet future challenges ,which IAF might have to face in future conflicts .



Good Service record lead to Mirage-2000 upgrade package | idrw.org
 

JBH22

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Process and recommendation for advancing and upgrading Mirage-2000H fleet was taken. French price was too high and still is, Israel Aircraft Industries which had made illegal copies of Mirage-V jets known has "Kfir " ,had proposed a Israeli avionics upgrade package ,which IAF found not much to their interest .
Why the Israeli upgrade rejected?
After all we use their avionics etc...
 

charlie

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nobody was in favour of this deal actually but because of just one and only one person this deal went through that was because of that arrogant P V Naik who wants things to be done his way
 

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