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WTF is "breaking" there?BREAKING: Gaganyaan project may fail.
Our required parameters are pretty different, taking humans into LEO and staying there for 5-7 days. For meeting deadline, adjustments will be made and parameters can be eased.
Deadline will be pushed ahead only due to safety concerns.
But can't fail.After doing research on this subject I have concluded that Gaganyaan mission can't take place in 2022.
TLP is already under construction. However, it's not expected to be operational before 2023.No human rated launch pad. If (a big if) they start building next year it will take 3 to 4 years.
In place, validation pending.No progress in HLS system eg. O2 recycler, CO2 scrubbers, human support system etc. It will take many years to make and validate the same.
Space food & medicine in development.
Data relay satellites or docking systems? All are in pipeline.No progress in subsystems development either.
Will be there after other sets of validation.No validation of spacesuit in high altitude flights.
OngoingNo final selection process for astronauts even in 2019. Just 3 years before supposed mission.
Established.No training facilities for astronauts
5 successful launches are needed for human rating.No roadmap for LV testing.
First unamanned Gaganyaan in December 2020, second in July 2021 and manned one (scheduled) for December 2021.
Follow Indian human spaceflight program thread for updates
2025-26A realistic timeline for ISRO's human spaceflight would be post 2030.
That'd be the period for space habitation module or a space station.Maybe 2035-2040 period at earliest.
Yes, ISRO has officially stated about manned space station.
After 2022's timeline failure would put project in cold storage.
The project will be put in cold storage only if UPA regains. Because it's only them who have been plugging it out again & again.
Failed & humiliated?People will see ISRO as a failed organization, Big humiliation on international level.
One of world's largest space agencies will full launch capacity, extra terrestrial probes and probably even heavy launchers by then.
Funding doesn't come from politics. IHSP is as old as 2003 and gradually capabilities have been built up to achieve this. It can be delayed not cancelled after being this near.Political funding will stop and the project will die slow death.
Vehicle is there, spacecraft is there, subsystems are there.
More important, its symbolic in itself to add another feather in cap for an emerging great power.
There is no valid point that could give a reason for its cancellation.
Since when ISRO started running on "people's confidence"?To win people's confidence back ISRO may ink contract with SPACE-X or Roscosmos for a token space mission from abroad.
Conclusion is that ISRO will either miss deadline or a human space mission with eased parameters just to touch orbit will fly in 2022 to meet deadline.Conclusion: India may never send humans in space on their own for foreseeable future.