As has been discussed here, the possible reasons for the meet could be a further division of J&K or restoration of statehood to Jammu(Kashmir is HIGHLY unlikely even in the mid-term). However, would a division or restoration of statehood need such big guys all meeting, along with an All India Party Meet being scheduled? Seems a bit off to me that something like this is in the running.
The restoration of statehood to Jammu could lead to questions in the Valley on why their statehood isn't being restored, but the levels of violence would not reach any level like there was in 2016, with at best a few stonepelting incidents, and a possible slight uptick(maybe a dozen more?) in militant numbers. The Govt. initiatives for economic development along with outreach to Kashmiris post Article 370 was done with the intention of winning over the Kashmiri people(not here to debate whether this is feasible or not
).A secondary objective could have been winning over people in PoK and showing them that economic growth is only possible with India, possibly hastening the assimilation process of PoK Kashmiris in the event of a retaking of PoK.
Further division of J&K could be possible, with the oft-quoted statement that some territories of Kashmir could be annexed into Jammu, but I for one don't see the point in doing something like this. It would only increase the Muslim population of Jammu, making it harder for any future establishment of Jammu as the true frontier of India along the Paki and Chink borders. It would also cause an unnecessary increase in hostilities between the GoI and Kashmiris who support India, along with the fact that it makes no administrative sense.
As many who frequent this thread know, militant numbers have reduced drastically over the last 2 years, with the numbers being as low as 100 at this point, with at least four-fifths of them being locals who are absolutely untrained and armed with poor-quality weapons. Pakistan is unable to transport weapons easily due to a strengthening of border surveillance and prevention of drone and other incursions. Several groups have been eliminated in the last 4 years, the Hindu population is increasing and pro-separatist politicians are either "missing" or under the firm control of the GoI. Administration roles have been largely taken over by Hindus from the rest of the country, with the subsequent sidelining of locals having reduced the possibility of any adverse sympathies among the administration, as was present in the past, even under the rule of the NDA in Kashmir. Clerics and teachers who preached separatism are either arrested under the new rules:
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com...ol-faces-terror-scan/articleshow/78630028.cms
So this begs the question, if separatism is at an all time low, Kashmir is ruled with an iron fist with a velvet glove, there is absolutely no need for administrative changes, what is the plan of the GoI? I for one hope that it is more of an "external" issue handling.
