IDN TAKE: Why The F-16 Deal Is Critical For India
Americans believe that India remains the only major F-16 prospect customer. Per reports in the media, two top Senators have urged the Trump administration to push for the sale of F-16 fighter jets to India to build its capability to counter security threats and balance China’s growing military power in the Pacific.
Senators Mark Warner from Virginia and John Cornyn from Texas in a joint letter to US Defense Secretary James Mattis and Secretary of State Rex Tillerson said, the present administration must make the fighter jet acquisition a priority during initial bilateral discussions with India. India has launched an effort to expand its combat aircraft fleet and the competition has reportedly narrowed down to Lockheed’s F-16 and SAAB’s Gripen.
Mark Warner, who is a Democrat and John Cornyn from the Republican Party are the co-chairs of the influential Senate India caucus, the only country specific caucus in the US Senate.
A primary factor in India’s decision will be compliance with Prime Minister Modi’s ‘Make in India’ initiative, which will require establishing some level of local production capacity. Given the strategic significance of India selecting a US aircraft as the mainstay for its future Air Force and the potential for a decision this year, they asked the Trump administration to make the fighter acquisition a priority during bilateral discussions.
The senators urged to weigh in forcefully with the White House on the strategic significance of this deal, both to America’s defense industrial base and to its growing security partnership with India. This comes as a strong case to represent a historic win for America that will deepen the U.S.-India strategic defense relationship and cement cooperation between the two countries for decades to come.
Balance of Power
It is obvious that America wants to increase interoperability with India who would remain a key partner and dominant power in South Asia, at the same time building India’s capability to counter threat from the north, and balance China’s growing military capability in the Pacific along with key regional allies Australia & Japan.
The counter balance the U.S. lawmakers perceived was that India would increasingly serve as an integral partner in the U.S. security architecture in the volatile South Asian region, helping to protect the joint interests and deter common threats, and also emerge as a critical trading partner to counter the Chinese growing economic strength. Therefore, for managing China's growing military and economic capability and the threat it poses to India's territorial integrity as well as its influence in the Asia-Pacific, external balancing may be the only resort available for India.
Economic Warfare
It is interesting to note that Apple after so many years of abstinence has decided to set up a manufacturing base in India, the company has planned to commence initial manufacturing operations in June at Bangalore this year. This will foster cutting edge technology ecosystem and supply chain development in Karnataka, which are critical for India to compete globally. Apple uses a fairly complex supply chain. The parts for the iPhone, iPad, iPod and Mac are manufactured, mostly by third parties, across 28 countries. It has 766 suppliers, of which 346 are based in China, 126 in Japan, and 69 in the US. There is one in India, a unit of Flextronics (an American multinational technological manufacturer which is the second largest global electronics manufacturing services company) in Tamil Nadu state.
India will be only the third country globally to assemble iPhones, an indication of how important the country has become for one of the world's most valued companies.
The key takeaway from this development would be for PM Modi and President Trump to device a strategic process to wean away key manufacturing units from China back over to India. Other major industrial nations would automatically follow suit once the Americans starts abandoning China, but it would need some deft diplomatic & political maneuvers on the part of both the countries to achieve this far reaching objective.
The key strategy for both India and America therefore should be to weaken China's manufacturing base which has since become an engine of diplomatic, political and economic clout globally for China, leading to its belligerence against various regional pockets across Asia and has even taken cudgels against the United States.
It is in our national interest to work with America to progress democratic principles through regional security partnership and burden sharing, To this end, the Indian government must support the co-production of the F-16 aircraft in India and aid a key critical security requirement with a proven American product. This would be the stepping stone to further this important strategic process on the economic front.
Parting Notes
Many strategic thinkers see the rise of India as a natural balancer to China as beneficial to the United States. A tightening of relations with India is something that was already accelerating under Barack Obama, whose administration saw the world's biggest democracy as a counterbalance to China's rising power. Trump may take the relationship further. For years India has been living in the shadow of China as the second-best emerging market for investors.
Sasha Riser-Kositsky, Asia analyst at consulting firm Eurasia Group said "Over roughly the last 10 years, U.S. policy has broadly followed this logic, helping strengthen ties with India and offering unprecedented cooperation in terms of civilian nuclear power and co-development and co-production of defense technologies while asking relatively little in exchange."
The primary aim should be to solidify and strengthen the significant gains made in the bilateral U.S.-India defense relationship over the two previous administrations. The United States, India and China are all important players in Asia. The two countries must unite and make a strategic push to exclude China. Compatibility between the two biggest democracies is in the interests of the two countries as well as peace and prosperity in the region.
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