Right, and you think that is done overnight. It isn't a plastic chair that you replace once it breaks.
IAF took a better method by installing a crash recovery chute to save the whole aircraft and is used was a stop gap measure.
Btw, how many do you think crashed? Out of 75 procured, 17 have crashed. While it is high, it is not as high as you think that it requires immediate replacement. It has been in service since 1984 afterall.
Despite the problems on Deepak, do you think HAL would have allowed the IAF to go for a basic trainer when it was being flight tested or undergoing production. If there is an equivalent available, the armed forces aren't allowed import of the same by law unless the DPSU allows imports due to delays. It is by law. Heck it is far easier to bring down Govts in India than force DRDO to allow imports.
What do you think is happening now? Where is the follow on BFT to the Deepak from HAL? Funny why IAF is importing now...
Recovery chute isn't what you put in a tight & high maneuvering (loop, split S, high G turns etc) air craft, recovery chute is best suited to light maneuvering 'Cessna' kind for which it was first developed. In case of horizontal spin aka Flat Spin only thing that can save pilots (in case of filed recovery) is ejection seat. And flat spin is some thing which is like part and parcel of 'Loop' especially when hands at 'stick & throttle' is of a rookie.
And BTW you think development of a jet from scratch without having any facility is an overnight job? Guess what that was whole point behind raising this issue.
Besides, like you acknowledged, it's not like replacing plastic chair that is why planning should have begun well before trouble started to surface, not after situation became critical. Kind of testimony to IAF's import mania.
Today world has already moved on to ejection seat equipped BFTs and amusingly and it took CAG report to discover, Deepaks are now outdated and unsafe apparently because of lack of ejection seat in a maneuvering piston engine powered aircraft.
Secondly HAL had proposed HTT-35 long time ago in 80s. Around same time it had completed development of HTT-34 (an improved turboprop version of HTP-32). Had IAF taken initiative then, forget HTT-34 even HTT-35 would have been available as replacement quite a time ago, perhaps even in service. Needless to say, had this happened HPT-32s have had their engines frozen by now.
Regardless of whatever, IAF could have ventured in foreign market given the fact that Deepak started signs of trouble long ago and also that after HTT-35, HAL had no plans for building replacement. After rejecting HTT-35 proposal IAF was free as it always is.
And please don't talk of statistics when you cry ocean over death of pilots. Death of single pilot is as grieving as death of 400. Ask people who lost their loved ones. Are they happier because their loved one died in Deepak crash not in Mig-21s? Please!
2007 to 2012 is not 7, it is 5. IAF did send out RFPs in 2004 and that was withdrawn upon the govt's insistence and not done byIAF. Then again, the flight tests conducted by IAF was the most comprehensive tests in a tender ever carried out. So, are you blaming the IAF to be overly professional? 6 years to validate and sign on the dotted line is a big deal, especially with our bureaucracy.
Actually the RFP was sent in Aug 2007 and the companies responded only in April 2008. So, taking April 2008 to Jan 2012, when the preferred bidder was chosen the actual time elapsed was just 45 months. That's 3.75 years. Even better, the time IAF took to send out the RFP, test the aircraft and select the two best birds was completed in July 2010. So, from the time the companies answered the RFPs to IAF announced the two aircraft it was just 26 months or 2.17 years. That's barely anything for a deal so large. The rest of the time was merely the time taken to settle the offsets and hand over the files to the MoF for final price breakdown. So, a lot of that had to do more with the companies deciding how they want to satisfy the offset, industrial and ToT clause than anything to do with IAF or MoD.
So, look at that, I brought down the claimed 7 years to 2.17 years. Only recently was the IAF allowed to resume negotiation of the contract. Without any more political delays like our dear MP did, we will see the deal signed soon, as soon as the specs and configuration are finalized.
With the adoption of new doctrine, need for M-MRCA started to float far back in around 1996. And this doctrine started seeing its implementation with signing of Sukhoi deal back. Despite that process for M-MRCA got on roll with eye on Mirage 2000-5 as suitable option only in 2004. {And people blame only ADA for being slow despite all odds against it}. Actually, MMRCA process started to pick adequate pace with Mirage in eye only in late 2004. But just after, it got confusing with inclusion of Mig-29M2 followed by F-16s and F-18s as option in 2005.
It was IAF together with government who first found their love in more Mirages then in Mig-29M2s then in American fighters and then in competitive trials. Given the dire need and death of Mig pilots, why is that IAF opted for this ridiculously lengthy or so called professional approach? Why did not they select Mirages when Dassault was offering shifting entire line to India? Why not Mig-29M2s which was on offer? American jets could have also been bought through FMS like their transport and their speedy delivery was almost guaranteed. Even Rafale was also on offer. Why this competitive trail approach despite dire situation and especially when you have signed so many single vendor deals in past and still buying military stuffs thought FMS and single vendor deal?
And by the way, competitive trails approach? Did not we always know what will happen at end, how funny it is that? Let me break it.
Mig-35: Not even actual design, a repacked Mig-29M2, designers had no intention of building actual prototype unless deal is signed. Maintenance and availability of spare are usual associated drawbacks like any other Russian product. And after buying MKIs, Mig-35 never had much chance. Needless to say, always a looser.
F-16: Excellent platform, battle proven, technological marvel, and almost guaranteed speedy delivery. But Made in USA, we always knew they won't ToT in requisite percentage. Always a looser.
F-18: Same as F-16, despite all, always a looser.
Gripen NG: Though new and fresh but underperformer, not exactly upto MMRCA specs in terms of combat load, in addition whole lot of American parts were obvious drawback. Sweden's neutrality and relation with pakis were drawbacks. At the end, considerable as an option but only to increase count needless to say at the of day always a looser.
EF: Overkill specs wise, but technological marvel. Excellent in Air 2 Air but Air 2 Ground not fully developed. AESA not delivered. Costly maintenance. Always in last two with Rafale but clearly short legged.
Rafale: Overkill specs wise, but fully developed. Good legacy to bank upon. Always front runner after Mirage option faded.
Now, did not last two always known? And furthermore what's the point in buying something through this so lengthy process when whole requirement is just to fill voids. Even more considering the fact that these MRCA were always going to stay cutting edge for maximum of 5-7 years after first induction. Do I need tor mention J-20? Did not we always knew China was doing something on 5th gen front?
Now they even have J-31. Some say LCA is obsolete then what about these 4.5 gen MMRCAs whose over all procurement cost will definitely cross 20 billion? Sometime ago when Retd Col. Ajai Shukla asked for throwing these 4.5 gen (calling them Air Show fighter) options of basket in favor of 5th gen fighters (for which he referred to F-35 which unmistakably was only suitable option available then, even as of today), he was called American agent. Now i wonder how will IAF explain feasibility of the 4.5 gen jets and such large spending in wake of threats like J-20 and J-31? At least money spend on LCA can be regarded as TD in case IAF scraps plans for all 4.5 gen procurement in wake of new threats but what about MMRCA spending?
Secondly, Mirage part among whole MMRCA saga is a bloody big annoyance, a bus missed. Back then Mirage-2000-5 was an excellent front line fighter with 6.5 ton weapon load. Further Dassault had offered to shift entire Mirage line to India. Quite acceptable to say, if deal had been signed by 2005, production would have begun by late 2006. Production could have started at quite a pace from word 'go' given ready made already perfected jigs. Perhaps, by now the entire order would have been completed and production would have ceased. But no, IAF now wanted Mig-29M2s. And when Americans jumped in race love found its way to F-16s or F-18s. Furthermore when Dassault pitched for Rafale and its European competitors followed in, all of sudden people discovered how good competitive trail affair is? That all despite the fact that preceding deal was a single vendor affair and succeeding deal will also be no different despite JV tag.
How forgetful here to not mention fact that sizable part of Mig-21s was supposed to be replaced by M-MRCAs according to Air Force Air Warfare doctrine which stated emphasis on equipping IAF with three different weight class of combat aircraft for meeting entire range of operational requirements starting from Massive Attack to Homeland defense and everything in between...........{And people blame ADA and LCA for the death of 400 odd mig pilots}.
How I not add that this doctrine based transformation traces its beginning with signing of Sukhoi deal which was to equip heavier 30 ton division, LCA was always there to equip lighter 12-14 ton division because its specs are unmatched by any and advanced version Mirage 2000 was perfect solution for equipping middle 18-22-24 ton weight division and a sizable number of it was already present with IAF. Now if someone says MMRCA was delayed because of LCA then he can't be any more ignorant.
Needless to say, given the political stability starting 1998 buying Mirages-2000-H/5s for replacing 200 odd Mig-21s was just a matter of 'will'.
But what happened"¦"¦.Oh wait 'this and that' could not have been accomplished because of such-such socio-political environment"¦"¦"¦..But what the hell, ADA is responsible for death of 400 pilots. After all unlike us, they have their own PMO, FM, MOD – a separate socially, politically and economically perfect India.
Hahahahaha! We have seen their roadblocks. A year to get approvals, after they get it they cannot make it. Nice roadblock. When the first model was made there were structural deficiencies making TD-1 unflyable. Let's blame the roadblocks. When a FBW was needed, Dassault offered an analog FBW. But no!!! ADA wanted to develop one on it's own, a Digitial one. And they take 6 years making one. Who do we blame? Let's blame IAF. Engine was a disaster. Approvals were given in 1989, in 2001 the blades were flying around trying to kill the test team. Let's blame GoI for not twisting laws of Physics here like they twist public opinion.
Hahahahaha ! Someone pretending possessing a Patent over how Road-Block shall be defined, how funny?............... When project is sanctioned in 1983 and you don't get first funding by even 1991 it's called road block. When funding is received late and the process of infrastructure building gets delayed then it's called road block. When infrastructure could not be erected in time and project could not start on time then it's called road block. Due to absence of funding when pooling of resource could not be completed by time project begins then its called road block. When you seek user's opinion and user is far away in Delhi so-called overseeing project then it's called road block. When political situation of country is fragile and nobody actually cares about most ambitious project, then its called road block.
Dassault had offered analog FCC and ADA could not accept it because it had compulsion as a part of TD phase/Phase-1 to prove digital FCS; a compulsion which was mandated upon it by joint of Gov. and IAF, a compulsion which was necessarily to be met to get sanction for actual project development phase called Phase-2.
Secondly there was no guarantee that IAF would have accepted analog FBWs as part of first production batch and not have gone on to demand digital version as must have"¦"¦"¦.
Like a magical ~30%. What about the other ~70%. Let's blame IAF for pushing an aircraft beyond it's life, maintain whatever they managed without any credible spares supplies and at the same time blame rookie pilots because ADA was dillydallying on a promise made back in 1983 when DRDO suggested they will make LCA while IAF was laughing their asses off on that suggestion. Little did the IAF know they will spend the the first decade of the new millennium crying.
Do you really think 30% is a small or inconsiderable figure when related to most important aspect of combat flying?
Please get access to some Flight Safety* magazines published by concerned cell of IAF. You will read a lot about why so many Mig-21s crashed and what part of it was because of pilot error, what part because of maintenance practices and what part because of jet? And important of all, how they managed to bring rate of crash down so dramatically?
*Official magazine meant for staff only, so contact someone if you are interested. And its old like 5-7 year old I am talking about.
IAF was laughing their asses off on that suggestion. Little did the IAF know they will spend the the first decade of the new millennium crying.
Instead of laughing their ass if IAF had selected to get proactive, things would not have escalated to this much. As a prime user, IAF could have easily mandated imported engine, imported MMR, analog FCS and rest of other never attempted technology for first batch of LCA while stressing on concurrent development of indigenous substitutes for next batches. But what happened, ahh forget it, people used to say "who cares, damn thing won't even fly" and what not.
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There is a difference between roadblocks and making substandard equipment. Gates removing funding for the Zimwault is a roadblock. Unavailability of IL-76 platforms for Phalcon AWACS is a roadblock. The F-35 having multiple issues regardless of removing political hurdles and reducing requirements is not a roadblock. It means the F-35's issues make it substandard and has nothing to do with USAF requirements or DoDs red tape. Similarly, the LCA is a substandard aircraft, regardless of the roadblocks. You can say Physics is the roadblock for LCA. It is funny why I don't see the US media blaming the USAF for the F-35 delays. Actually we saw heads roll at Lockheed Martin for the F-35 delays. In India, ADA is enjoying more work instead..
Firstly, LCA is not substandard equipment and rest has already been replied to.
Maybe that's how a developed country works and that's how we work. Oh! well. Nobody to blame but the IAF
India is not US, we did not complete building our defense industry before WW2, nor did we propelled it to Himalayan heights by 1942. We are behind much of the developed world and that's why we are referred to as third world country. Things as we see must change and if we want to make it sooner then whole country will have to be part of painful hike and forces are no exception.
Do you actually believe that the only reason ADA delayed LCA is because of IAF. That's fart the media has been feeding to the ignorant masses since years. Too much patriotism and too little realism.
No i don't. But apparently you think IAF is as holy as cow and ADA is Satan's prized demon. May i add, too much image blindness and no realism? But then ignorant masses, who can help?
Let's face it, LCA fiasco is product of premeditated mentality induced lack of cooperation and later self induced negatively factored emotional dilemma on part of user, emotional calculation/miscalculation on part ADA and lack of futuristic thinking on part of Government.
But then, at least ADA's miscalculation gave birth to an aviation industry that has initials (MMR and flyable turbofan is first but without LCA we would have been nowhere from what we were in 80s) in every field, question is, what did IAF and GOIs pessimism gave to the country?
Country should have never let experience gained through HF-24 project go wasted, no matter what, work should have continued. Unfortunately after HF-24, neither Government nor IAF showed any interest in perusing expertize in the domain of at least power plant let alone in any new proposal for follow on fighter projects. Least could IAF have done was to ask DRDO and Gov for starting serious work on in the form of TD on various critical technological fronts like development of Turbofan tech, Airborne fighter class MMR, INS, futuristic airframe materials etc.
But nothing happened, why? Because they were happy, settled and at peace after shopping for Jagaur? Quite in contrast to USAF whose weapons are always born at Nellis (now called Nevada Test and Training Range) no matter where get nurtured thereafter.
Our so called economic conditions are not as bad as you think. We will have greater liabilities, but can still manage higher growth. With better reforms we can sustain growth and once the economic crises subsides, our foundation will be stronger for even more impressive growth. We are in a growth phase regardless of the inflation.
While we need more aircraft, LCA simply won't do anymore. The potential for LCA is 6 squadrons as of today, not 25 or 30 as was the plan in 1988. Instead we have plans for 30-35 squadrons of 30 ton aircraft like MKI and PAKFA. You see where I am going now? We have gone far beyond LCA.
By 2018, when LCA will actually be ready if delays are not considered, then our economy will be more than enough to handle the larger influx of heavy aircraft more rapidly than we can today. We can potentially be the same size as today's China by then.
In the 2020-30 period we can even aim at doubling or even tripling the IAF's size from today's strength. Why do I say so? Heck by that time we will potentially have crossed today's American GDP. And you still want LCAs?
This isn't about loving or hating the LCA. This is about being realistic to the threats we face. Regardless of numbers we will be foolish to send LCA class aircraft against PLAAF J-20s, J-11s and J-10s. Don't forget we aren't playing games. It is more useful to waste the life of a pilot on PAKFA rather than LCA when facing something like the J-20.
It is about time people grow brains. Or you can act like how the Pakis do and sit talking about how the JF-17 will engage MKIs and Phalcons simply because they know magic.
There is this overly stupid, retarded belief that an aircraft like LCA can take out a more capable enemy simply because he is connected to the AWACS.
Comparatively the LCA was built to engage incoming strike aircraft. Meaning these are aircraft which can barely support themselves, are carrying heavy loads of bombs and other equipment. So, the LCA is meant to disrupt the formation and send it back, heck it is not even meant to take out enemy fighters. The purpose is to keep the enemy occupied to the point where it has become too risky try again. By then heavy fighters would come in and kill any lurkers. That's what a point defence aircraft does. It defends a point in the sky, nothing else.
In the IAF squadrons are at a premium. There is a fixed number of squadrons specified by the MoD which the IAF cannot cross. So, it is IAF's decision on how best to use this premium space. If IAF is allowed 40 squadrons and they have decided on 500 LCA, then good bye India. The current plan is 14-15 squadrons of MKIs followed by 7 squadrons of Rafales. That's potentially 22 squadrons of high end aircraft. 2 squadrons of Mirages and 3 squadrons of Mig-29s bring it to 27. Add 7 squadrons of Jaguars we have 34. So, we have 8 squadrons empty, to deal with LCA and the newly inducted PAKFA by 2022. All the Migs save the -29 are gone by then. Even the 29s will be very old since the MLUs wont take long.
Now if MoD suddenly decides to increase the IAF's squadron cap of 42 to 50 by 2030. Do you actually think IAF will want to fill all that up with LCAs or FGFAs/AMCAs . Think. That's 8 squadrons. The plans are for 166 PAKFAs and 48 FGFAs. That's 10 squadrons. Follow that up with 4 squadrons of Rafale and an X number(say 4) of AMCA by 2030. 18 squadrons filled. The extra squadrons will be replacements for Mig-29s/Jags/Mirage-2000s that make up 12 squadrons currently.
Think logically, where is the space for hundreds of LCA? We can manage 20 LCA Mk1s followed by a potential 83 Mk2s. That's about it. IAF did talk about 6 squadrons of LCA in total. Nothing more, potentially something lesser
On economic condition:
Firstly, so far especially since last four years i am hearing about 9 % growth and as per
recent] resent estimates we will grow under 6% for sometime. Long term economic growth predictions, huh! To hell with it.
Secondly, you say "IAF can triple its strength with FGFA class fighters based on assumption that our GDP will grow past of US in sometime". Wow! Sorry for being a rude shaker but to me it's nothing but a pipe dream considering what we are seeing today and also where we will be in terms of total population and consequent rise in need by 2025-30.
Thirdly, there is limit to which you can keep earning riding on cheap labor (as a by product of large population), keep regarding large population as a market and keep making money by selling whatever country still owns, not to mention by ever digging deeper into tax payers pocket. Sooner our population will swell up to such size that much of our earnings and resources will go towards fulfilling basic needs, let alone others.
Forget crossing cross US GDP, think about present rate of population growth (which doesn't fluctuate as dynamically as economic growth). Tell you, one thing is sure prediction; we will be crossing PRC very soon.
On structure of IAF:
So far what we can afford 300 MKIs some 250 FGFAs, 200 M-MRCAs and upgraded versions various types which will be replaced by AMCAs starting 2025. Here not to forget that FGFA is not only coming as add-on but also as replacement for older MKIs. AMCA too will replace some of M-MRCAs at later date. Given the fact that production of FGFA is not to start before 2020 and AMCA's not certainly before 2025, there is greater chance that IAF will have to manage with 650-700 aircrafts till 2022.
I am not going beyond 2025 to predict as how IAF will look (size wise) because a lot depends on how our economic condition will be in that time?
IAF can most certainly buy 500 FGFAs, 500 AMCAs and 500 XYZ planes if our economy starts to run like nobody but 'if' and only 'if'. And till this 'if' sees light of the day it's only cheaper solution which is feasible.
On LCA:
Like to repeat that in case of two front war IAF will need well over 1000 aircrafts for fulfilling various needs like Limited offence, Ground Support, Air defense (point, area and home defense). Towards fulfilling these, apart from other assets, IAF will need huge numbers of fighter-interceptors for blocking every possible corridor suspected of being used by enemy for inland attacks.
Here LCA comes handy because currently it is very cost effective BVR platform and very suitable for point air defense and area defense. LCA presently carries descent weapon suit and Radar and its RCS is very small thanks to sheer amount of composite used.
Furthermore, a LCA working in conjunction with AEW&C (given the fact that later has capability to provide track and lock solutions in data link mode) will be even more effective because it will be able to track enemy and even fire at it without using its own MMR which otherwise would give away its position thanks to RWR.
Features like smaller RCS, decently powerful MMR and matching BVRAAM gives LCA everything interceptors will need to take on intruding formation comprising of fighters like J-11 and J-10s. Add to it its capability to intercept intruders in silent mode while working in conjunction with AEW&C and you have well protected home airspace.
Furthermore, an intruding formation of J-11 and J-10 might have powerful radar, heavier weapon load and more fuel but against LCA (featuring smaller RCS, carrying decently capable MMR and matching BVRAAM and operating close to its base) it may not come as any advantage because it doesn't really matters how powerful your radar is or how heavier load you are carrying when you can't engage LCA at advantageous distance (J-11 and J-10 might have long range radar but missile it carries will almost always have same or inferior range to what LCA will carry) . There is even a greater possibility that LCA might always engage J-11s and J-10s at same distance (at which later would seek a lock on LCA), if not at advantageous range in a classic air intercept mission because LCA's smaller RCS would be retarding factor for J-11's and J-10's powerful radar. And when LCA will operate in conjunction with AEW&C for an intercept mission, advantage will further tilt towards LCA because of longer detection and tracking range of AEW&C.
Even in classic close-in-fight /Dog Fight, LCA equipped with missiles like R-73 (may be even Python-5 someday) coupled with HMSD will hold its own. In today's world there is no longer a need to get behind foe's six, because with HMDS even a six o'clock holder is not safe. That said, MK-2 is coming up with IRST apart from powerful engine and much refined aerodynamics. Top of all, in dog fight first and last thing that matters is Pilot Training and Israelis with classic tail-less delta winged Mirage-3s and Mirage -5s/Neshers answered why?
I feel LCA's RCS point needs to restated and clarified. Let me clear it by reminding very fact that it's smaller RCS, which primarily differentiates a fifth generation fighter from preceding generations. Furthermore RCS plays a big role in any air to air combat. Actually, its enemy's RCS which matters while blue tries to get a positive lock. And a powerful RADAR do gets retarded if a foe is smaller (RCS wise).
Like to add that since day one ADA has given emphasis on reducing LCA's RCS considerably and apart from use of composites, it was for reason why ADA's designers implanted there symmetrically placed RAM intakes around engine bay, which is RAM air from these intakes are used to cool down engine bay area, thereby considerably reducing IR signature of that rather red hot region (a retarding factor for enemy's IRST trying get lock from long range). Sometime ago they even started pursuing way to reduce engine exhaust trail signature.
One important thing, LCA does produces smaller power but in air combat there exists term called 'Combat Thrust', 'Full Military Power' (very recently it was known through Tejas web-site that 'IN20' version of F-404 can produce 90 KN, that's 5 KN extra power for combat thrust if not any better) which is reserve power a turbofan can produce at cost of endurance (center-line drop tank can quite easily manage for reduced endurance) and engine life. So in normal case LCA's MMR and EW might not have enough power to work at brim of their potential but during combat while acting as air defence fighter LCA can muster all the required power for its electronics for a period which in no case would be more than 5-10 minutes considering the fact that LCA is bought in huge numbers and always sent against intruders at number advantage of 1.5 to 1.
Furthermore BROADSWORD reported back in 2011 that PV-1 is being converted to EW prototype. Wonder what that news was referring towards?
By the way whole point behind inducting more LCA (given that Government allows increase in number of squadron considering dire situation country would face during any PRC attack) is to provide descent fighter-interceptors in adequate numbers at cheaper cost for blocking every possible corridor starting from Nalia to Twang which is possibly the longest stretch an air force might be assigned to defend anywhere in the world. A stretch which in every possibility will go hostile during what is vaguely spoken as 'two front war'.
In future when J-20 will arrive, these interceptors can be upgraded with LO materials, reshaped nose, conformal weapon bays (wing root cavity is perfect spot for conformal weapon bay), podded weapon bays etc. to keep them capable according to changing threat scenario. Also by that time our ground based surveillance radars will also have capability to detect LO aircrafts.
Regarding JF-17 and pakis view. Since this issue has been raised, let me clearly say that stated situation (in stand-alone and AWACS linked mode) also applies to JF-17s defending Pakistani airspace against intruding MKIs, although less effectively because of lack of descent BVRAAM (may be even Radar) and lack of composite airframe or comparatively larger RCS .
Last but not least, be it AEW&C scenario or case related to smaller RCS or anything etcetera nothing necessarily relates to what pakis have to say regarding JF-17 intercepting MKIs. But if you think so in your brain then it's your problem. May I throw back, it's about time people grow brain and get rid of retarded thinking.