India & China in Space
India & China in Space
Is there a space race taking place between China and India? Discussions have started flowing after China's Shenzhou-VII successful space walk during Sep 2008 & India's launch of Chandrayaan-1 on 22nd October 2008. With the success of Shenzhou-VII mission, China became the third country after the United States (US) and Russia to walk into space independently. This was China's third manned 'space-ship'. Simultaneously, India also joined the elite club of moon missions with the launch of Chandrayaan-1. With this India has become the third country in Asia to achieve this feat.
While international recognitions of both China and India's space programme have increased considerably, doubts persist in many quarters if they are engaged in a space race among them. In fact, it prompts many to review in a comparative manner the current trends in China and India's 'Space-policy'. This article delves into the pattern of both China's and India's Space engagement from multiple perspective: policy, technological and the factor of transparency.
Political & Policy Perspective
Till the 1980s India's investment in space technologies were found to be higher than China. However, by the turn of this century, China's 'Space- mission' has caught up with India considerably and has made a rapid progress.1 The success of Shenzhou-VII mission, demonstrates that China has overtaken India in the field of human exploration of Space. For China, politically the space walk mission was a matter of national pride and imbued with "political symbolism", given that it came in the wake of China's impressive hosting of the 2008 Beijing Olympics. It also signified a concerted Space plan and followed the goals of "scientific development" advocated by President Hu Jintao.2
This approach is reflected in the Chinese White Paper titled China's Space Activities in 2006, which states:
"The aims of China's Space activities are: to explore outer space to meet the demands of economic construction, scientific and technological development, national security and social progress; and to raise the scientific quality of the Chinese people, protect China's national interests and rights, and build up the comprehensive national strength"**.3
In political terms, the Shenzhou-VII mission is a great success for the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) as well, which will be celebrating the 60th anniversary of its ascent to power in 2009. If the party is to preserve its legitimacy at a time of increasing tide of democracy and the fading of communist ideology in China, then a grand project like Shenzhou-VII may certainly be seen as providing a unifying cause.
For India, the success of Chandrayaan-1 is a signal of its reach in outer space and with this, now India has joined an exclusive club of nations including the US, former Soviet Union, European Space Agency, China and Japan, that have sent missions to moon. More importantly, with this mission, India, for the first time, has demonstrated its capabilities of reaching to the Deep Space (normally 'Deep Space missions ' are the missions where the spacecrafts cover of distance more than one lakh km). Under the Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO), India plans to develop various Space technologies from a civilian nationalist perspective. As ISRO puts the objectives of Chandrayaan-1:
""¦to expand knowledge about Earth's only natural satellite — the moon. With well-defined objectives, Chandrayaan-1 mission intends to put an unmanned 'Spacecraft' into an orbit around the moon and to perform remote sensing of our nearest celestial neighbour for about two years using eleven scientific instruments built in India and five other countries.4
In short, Chandrayaan-1 paves the way for India's road for future human space missions to the moon. Objectively, it helps India to achieve three missions: prepare a three-dimensional atlas of both the nearest and the farthest side of the moon; conduct chemical and mineralogical mapping of the entire lunar surface to ascertain the distribution of natural resources on the lunar surface; and search for helium-3, considered among the cleanest fuels known.5 Scientists foresee that ""¦Chandrayaan-1 will hugely boost the confidence of Indians. It would also be a recognition that India has arrived in the Space club and will be a proof that its engineering talent can pull of a complex project of this magnitude."6
While the success of Shenzhou-VII and Chandrayaan-1 remain a 'national pride' for both China and India respectively and highlights the extent of their progress in Space technology, debate continues on the nature of their Space policy. Speculations abound whether these missions signal the beginning of 'future warfare' in this region.
In the case of China, the official position states that the Shenzhou-VII mission is a preliminary exercise towards building a Space Station, may be a smaller version of International Space Station (ISS). The recent success of the Chinese Space missions is expected to fast-track the state's development in 'science and technology'. Chinese officials have tended to promote and highlight these scientific developments from the civilian perspective, while downplaying the military dimensions. State media in China, reported the success of Shenzhou-VII ,as the "most critical step"7 in China's "three-step" Space programme: sending a human into orbit; docking 'Spacecraft' together while forming a small laboratory; and building a large Space Station.8 In fact, Beijing Review reported that the Shenzhou-VII, would lead to the country's next manned Space mission Shenzhou-X ,which is more demanding & aimed at obiter docking technology.9 Apart from the Shenzhou series, the Chinese plan to move forward in research and designing, manufacturing, in creating measurement and control consisting of launch centers for satellites and Spacecrafts, satellite applications and in training a large amount of Space scientists.10 In addition, the key is to enhance the technological capabilities which will lay a foundation for further international co-operation.11
Barring specific scientific aspects, a series of Chinese success ranging from the January 2007, Anti-satellite test (ASAT) to launch moon orbiter Change-I (September 2007) and the recent Space walk mission have compelled many to scrutinize closely its future course in Space. Indeed, given the Chinese military's control over the country's Space programme, the debate over 'China as a Space power' both in civil and military terms continue. This becomes important in the context of Space power, being a pre-condition to leveraging air power in modern warfare. In fact, China's military-centric Space programme has been in the news since January 2000, when it launched its first military communications satellite as a part of the PLA combat-and-control network. Since then, its space efforts have been linked with its military modernisation programme.
In contrast, India's Space policy is essentially civilian in nature. ISRO is in business of Space for 'socio-economic' development. For last few years, ISRO is also exploring the commercial utility of its Space assets. Space technologies inherently being 'dual-use technologies', do offer certain amount of military utility too. However, such utility remains restricted only up to communication and reconnaissance purposes. Under such circumstances, comparison for military utility in regard to India and China's Space programme, is not possible. Particularly, by conducting an 'Anti-satellite test', China has already proved its intention of weaponising Space.
Technological Advancements
The success of Chandrayaan-1 will also help India to cement its position in the commercial satellite launch sector, particularly because with this launch, India has once again proved the worth of its PSLV (Polar satellite launch vehicle). This mission helps ISRO to gather experience in building a hi-tech spacecraft, improved rocketry and more advanced remote navigation technology. The scientific community in India believes that these would facilitate them to compete with better-paying private sector to attract more scientists to India's Space mission.12
On the other hand the launch of Shenzhou-VII, has helped the Chinese to aim for a 'Space Station' in 2020 and a "simple" Space laboratory by 2011. Among its future directives, planning is to launch the Shenzhou-VIII & Shenzhou-IX missions, which will be initially unmanned to test docking technology and then will be implemented as manned missions. The totality of these initiatives revolves around the theme of industrializing 'Space technology' and developing future 'Space research'. All these plans, indicate a Chinese desire to establish its supremacy in 'Space technology' and strategic goal of preparing for possible future 'Space warfare'. It is envisioned also that the planned 'Space Station' is expected to serve as a 'repair base' for Chinese military satellites.
China's Space effort started with the establishment of the 'Missile and Rocket Research Institute' in 1956, and the 'manned space' effort began in the early-1990s. After almost a decade and half, the Chinese endeavour is to become 'self-reliant' and drive 'Space research' activities independently. Its long-term objectives are to establish a strategic balance with the countries like United States and Russia, and to break their monopoly on utilisation of space. The success of Shenzhou project in this context , implies China's progress in 'Space exploration'.
From India's perspective, Chandrayaan-1 is the first part of its planetary road map. ISRO's future mission is to develop — chemical analysis capabilities for future lunar landers, sample return from the Moon, international co-operation on a robotic Mars mission, and the Astrosat observatory system which would be capable of observations from the 'ultraviolet' to high energy X-ray portion of the electromagnetic spectrum.13 India has already made a beginning towards achieving the aim of putting humans into Space by successfully launching the 'Space Recovery Capsule Experiment (SRE)'. In fact, India's most reliable workhorse PSLV has put ten satellites, including a recoverable 'Spacecraft' into the orbit just a few months back.
The SRE mission was of far greater importance to India, because, it was for the first time that India tested the reusable launch vehicle technology. The capsule was placed in orbit at an altitude of 625 km and was successfully recovered after 11 days. The last phase of the mission was critical and the indigenously developed re-entry technology proved its worth. This mission has provided precious knowledge about navigation, guidance and control for the re-entry phase (from the outer space to earth's atmosphere). The capsule had an indigenously developed 'thermal protection system', essentially in form of silica tiles, which proved its worth by withstanding extremely high temperatures during re-entry. However, the major ambition of ISRO, is not to continue with such type of a recovery Space capsule as a "drop-down" vehicle, but to put the Spacecraft in outer space with the help of the rocket and then recover it on the runway like an aircraft. On Deep Space front the immediate plan is to work on the Chandrayaan-2 project by 2010-2011, which will be a joint project between India and Russia.14 This plan includes a Lander and a recover to "walk" around the moon's surface and collect samples and data for analysis.
Transparency: A Strategic perspectives
It is important to decipher the strategic implications of China and India's Space programme. Indian scientists argue that Chandrayaan-1 would promote the civilian and technological aspects of its Space initiatives, whereas aerospace experts in China, contend that the success of Shenzhou-VII, is the first of these phases to fast-track the development in science and technology. However, the lack of transparency in China's Space programme in compared to India, prompts many to review its hidden intensions. Whatever perspective the Chinese may wish to portray, its concerted 'Space efforts' in recent times has come under more intense scrutiny, especially after the January 2007s ASAT test, which left a lasting global impact.
This is important, given the context that civilian technological advances could easily be put to military use. In this regard, China's 2006 Defence White Paper suggests that ""¦scientific and technological projects, such as manned Space flights and the Lunar Probe Project, are being carried out"¦combining military and civilian needs and to bring about overall improvements in defense-related science and technology."15
To execute its Space plans, the 11th five-year national plan released on May 10, 2007 sets the platform for achieving various objectives. For instance, the country aims to make a bigger stride in the aerospace industry and particularly, new generation carrier rockets research programmes, are some of its highlights.16 The drive is to develop "dual-use technologies" rather relying on military-centric technologies, thus simultaneously achieving economic development and military modernisation. In this context, its mega-Space plan is reflected in its ever-growing defence spending, which, even according to official statistics, has risen by around 15 percent every year since 1990.
Given the lack of transparency in China's actual defence budget, it's difficult to approximate the exact figure of its investment in Space. But the current five-year plan did indicate for a special allocation in the fields of high-technology, 'IT solutions' and 'Space research'. It suggests on government's approach regarding "non-governmental investment in the Space sector." Following this, the Commission of Science Technology and Industry for National Defence, in China had proposed steps like manned Space flight and lunar exploration along with other major initiatives like a moon orbit to acquire three-dimensional pictures, hard-X ray modulation telescope, research on a solar telescope, etc. Economists estimate that China has already created business opportunities worth 120 billion yuan (US $18 billion) from its Space technology applications. It seems that for economic conditions to remain robust, Space expenditure, whether for military or civil purposes, remains an important factor in China's Space policy. In short, the Chinese endeavor is to defend the strategy of "self-reliance" to drive its military Space activities, which is an important factor in China's military modernization program under current trends.
On the other hand, India dealing with more on the civilian aspect, has increased the 2008 science budget by 16 percent. The Indian government's 2008-09 budget, includes a new fund to attract more meritorious students to science careers, the establishment of three new Indian Institutes of Technology (IIT), and a rise in funds for manned Space missions. The total amount of science budget is just over US$6 billion (around 242 billion Indian Rupees), compared with the 2007 figure of US$5 billion. ISRO, in its part received the largest chunk of this year's funds, getting around US$1billion (40,740 million Indian Rupees) — a 23 percent increase from the last year — US$312.5 million (1,250 million Indian Rupees), of which will be used for manned Space missions.
Currently, the aim of the ISRO is to boost the capacity of communication transponders to 500 in five years, driven by demand from users such as Bharat Sanchar Nigam Ltd. (BSNL), and Bharti Airtel Ltd., and satellite television operators such as STAR TV, owned by media baron Rupert Murdoch and Sun Network. Additional 16 communication satellites will be launched by the ISRO from its homegrown heavier rocket Geo-synchronous Launch Vehicle (GSLV), to increase the capacity from the current 200 transponders on 11 satellites orbiting 36,000 km above the earth. In this context, the year 2006 saw ISRO, spending an amount of Rs 15,000 crore in the 10th Plan in addition to the non-planned expenditure of Rs 1,500 crore, in developing the GSLV rocket, building heavier satellites with a longer lifespan and preparing for the unmanned mission to the moon, to be launched soon. Among the future objectives, the plan is to launch a series of eight Indian Remote Sensing satellites (IRSs), including those that will help to understand monsoon behaviour, and map urban areas, disaster zones and drought prone districts.17
On a comparative scale, both China and India have a definite and constructive Space plan. India's civilian Space programme makes it today, a credible space power internationally. At the same time, through Shenzhou-VII Space walk mission, China has effectively challenged the supremacy of both the United States and Russia in this 'sector' of Space. However, both India and China lag much behind these 'Space superpowers' in various other Space fields. Both, at the same time have demonstrated that in Asia barring Japan, they have no other competitors in this field. Both the sates, with their intelligent investments in 'Space field' and a clear-cut roadmap ahead of them, have demonstrated to the world, their techno-economical strengths. Few call it, 'Asian Space race' but in reality, this is what a 'soft-power status' is all about.
By Wg Cdr Ajey Lele Dr Jaganath P Panda
http://www.indiandefencereview.com/2010/06/india-china-in-space.html#more-2365