Re: Russia may supply MI-35 to Pakistan
With political restrictiins I refer to possible embargo by US during conflicts and the fact that new F-16's can not be used against India and have
A tempered friend and foe system: it can not lock on Nato/USAF and Israeli air craft. Some speculate
that it may even have a kill button and bugs to spy on Pakistan.
During the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan relations with ISA were normal. They only stated to deteriorate under Bush Junior with his WoT.
Raymond Davis, Ben Laden raid and the slaughter in Salala put the fial nail in Pak-US coffin. US is no longer seen as an ally by Pakistan. Trust and respect is all time low. These are not the ideal circumstances to spend more money on brand new weapons from USA.
thanks for responding also you express clearly. but its grim and also a lesson on how relations can do such a huge turnaround between one time close acquaintances. your expression of usa and paki relations is to the point and also adverse to one another especially with the "final nail" being implanted. i am not sure if that advocates it self to pakistan and russia relationship and if the "final nail" to that particular relationship can be pulled out just because there is pain in another relationship.
i believe pakistan also ought to be a little cautious in taking advise from america and nato and even anyone these days since a lot of its positions and actions impact its sovereignty and international relations and application and understanding of international laws. refer to drones and even abottabad and even raymond davis.
you seem to already downplay that su-35 will be bought by paki army. what about mi-35. how much and many are pakis thinking of getting.
can Pakistan also afford to get involved in Afghanistan in economic terms and structural impact on it self. remember the PRC does not stand by nations that make puerile decisions (refer to Kargil and even more recently to abbottabad). such instance in PRC and Pakistan relationship must be like a boy friend that gets caught with a affair by a girlfriend (its embarrassing and wrong but not futile compared to if it was husband and wife). PRC and Pakistan are like boyfriend and girlfriend that have good intimacy but its not like husband and wife. PRC has signified many times that Pakistan is not "wife" material.
i also think the current paki leadership with its exploration (some say "brain-storming" foreign policy) of seeking new and other avenues to enhance pakistan relations with others are coming to realize that PRC is not trustworthy and worth the "intimacy" and it might be worth to get closer to India at least economically. watching PRC make trips to India and also watching PRC grow without acknowledgment to Yaha Khan and AQ Khan is wrong.
If Pakistan offers the same terms that it offers PRC in doing business in Pakistan to India - the impact will be instant and dramatic and to the benefit of Pakistan and good will between India and Pakistan relationship. It might be a surprise to Pakistan.
do you think russia will try to deal more with PRC to get reaction from India compared to dealing with Pakistan - hence the best possibility of anything Russian related coming to Pakistan would be by way of PRC - like North Korea these days. hence with Mi-35 there must be something cooking more with PRC behind this deal. also the paki establishment must be trying to push PRC to get Russia to supply some goods to itself.
also do you think the deals in place between russia and india will allow the status quo to continue for at least the medium term. there are some huge big ticket items being done between Russia and India and there might be even more after the russian president visits.
india wants that the russia defense industry upgrade. does Russia want to jeopardize a relationship where someone is bona fide and genuine in advise and consultation ** that takes a very long time to nurture and establish especially in the world these days. India only needs to say three words to Russia if they ever ask India opinion "we trust you".
i think america wants to replace russia in india. but america has a long way to go and also do they have the will and leadership is question. its not a 10 year mission and by dealing with certain individuals.
america policy i believe will be more principled in the future and they will support nations that have similar principles. thats the expectation and anticipation. also i also believe India will benefit from USA discord and objectives with respect to Pakistan and PRC. The only thing that standing in the way of greater India and USA relationship is Russia. but i think that can be dealt with especially with PRC being on the "eastern" side and not north, west and south and even central. greater co-operation between USA and India on the eastern side as a "demonstration".
i also believe Russia will allow this to occur since it will boost its defence sales to PRC and also allow India to acclimatize modern war-weapons and techniques that can be used in knowledge management in the future - refer to the "bona fide". USA will be willing to do this since it will fit in with a more principle approach to its relations especially to East Asia that fits in like engagement ring to a pretty fiance and discord with paki and prc and strengthening japan and also the confidence in their defense industry that they would like to out compete russia in the future in india.
But the items standing in between a closer and more intimate Pakistan and Russia relationship is NOT India. Its Pakistan itself.