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Let's go by the western assumptions. It helps India.Nice article, however one small correction, to say Pakiatni Arsenal has surpassed India's is incorrect to the say the least. Indian numbers have always been top secret and no one has a true idea how many we have, by all fair and true estimates of both warhead & Ballistic Missile production rates we can have well over 200 warheads by now.
I wrote this 2 years ago
http://defenceforumindia.com/estimation-indian-nuclear-arsenal-379