1.as we always said " 装备一代,改进一代,研制一代” means: when the new generation combat plane was commssioned, the improvement of this model should be started right then, and at the same time the R&D of Next Gen model should started as well...
China 4th Gen fighter plan(XXJ project) actually started as early as
late 1990s ,but we called it Pre-research and Pre-development phase.. many tech demonstration and sub-system development started in this period.
the J10 project finished development phase in 2004 ,and then after a competitive bidding between two R&D teams, the winner got the big prize as main contractor, the loser was also got some subcontracts. the date should be
around 2004-2005. then the full speed development based on the Pre-research began...the first prototype flied on 11th Jan 2011...
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2.there are two steps of J20 project, J20A with AL31fn and future varient with WS15. the J20A is very close to the delivery of the Low Rate Initial Production batch which means the J20A is very close to the important milestone -
Design Certification award . based on the tradition , it would happened in around one year(
in 2017 or early 2018) . in China R&D system, when the certification is awarded, the plane should finish all kinds of tests and fulfill the
ALL the request on the Development Contract. so called IOC is not a standard used in China. when the combat unit got their fighters, normally they are requested to form the full scale combat effectiveness in a certain period of time...
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3. we might not able to see thrust vectoring nozzle on current J20A ,the russian has modified a TVC varient of AL31FN serial for a decade and bring it to Airshow china every time...but we thought this propose was not interested ...
the coming of WS15 in 2018 might be the final answer of this question. the R&D of TVC tech has been going on for nearly two decades....WS15 engine project also started in 2005, 11 years has gone...
the mock up of the AL31Fn with TVC...PS, attention ,this TVC is different from the approach on AL31FP...