Decklander
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USA has clearly announced that they may not even maintain a small force in Afgan after 2014. Afganistan on its own may not be able to sustain itself for long given the lack of industrial infra and lack of funds to fight the Taliban. So we are looking at a possibility of Afgan going back to the days of Taliban. I have following blueprint for India to deal with such a situation provided they get going on ground now and create a base for it now. My strategy is
1. Start a campaighn in Afganistan that Durandline is no more valid which is actually true and create a national hyteria for a demand for retaking the territories of FATA/NWFP/SWAT back into Afganistan. These areas are also energy rich and will give a direct border to India with Afgan and open doors to CIS India bypassing Pakistan. A direct border with India will also help many US companies to invest in the oil sector and mining sector of Afgan as they will find a ready market in India and also a very stable safe route for export.
2. Such a nationalistic demand will help us unite all factions of Afganistan into national mainstream and create a big pressure on Pakistan.
3. This will make Pak sponsored Taliban redundent as they will have to either chose pakistan or support the nationalistic demands of Afganistan if they want to rule them. This will reduce thr status in Afgan society as Afgans are already against Pakistan. This in turn will reduce pak influence, provide a hope to Pak based Pastoons to get integrated with thr brothers in Afgan and emerge as a strong force in this part of the world. All this must be coated with very generous dose of Afgan nationalism and pride and mentions of great History of Afgans.
4. Create another leader on the lines of Khan Abdul Gaffar Khan in Afganistan who will speak about progress and stability, education and wealth, empowerment and rebilding to restore the old glory of Afgans.
5. ANA strength should be incresed to over 500k and shud get trained in the use of best weapons with a good sprinkling of officers from IA to give them best advice as we did in Bangladesh with Mukti Bahini which had its core of officers comprising Bengali officers of Pak Army and officers from IA & IN.
6. India must impress US & UK to leave majority of equipment behind for ANA and bolster them with more russian equipment at the same time so that Indian officers can operate them for ANA. The IAF base in Tajikistan shud be upgraded to support aerial operations in support of ANA and India shud sign a strategic defense agreement with Afgan on lines of the agreements which India signed with USSR in the past and which Pak has now signed with China.
7. India has a great tech edge in creating low cost info tech devices and we must help start FM/AM radio stations with free distribution of radio sets to afgan families with a libral dose afgan culture and songs to be able to reach out to every afgan family and start the process of moulding thr mentality for a unified Afganistan. We must also boost infra for electricity and agriculture in Afgan by building Dams and deny water to Pakistan from Afgan side.
8. The protests against Pakistan must intensify with demand for areas beyond Durandline well before the withdrawal of US forces from Afgan and the entire border along Afgan-Pak border shud get hot with repeated appeals from Afgan/Pastoon leaders in Pasto to the Afgan refugees staying in Pak to return and help Afgan people to retake thr old territories. These appeals must be very highly punctuated with the great future wihich Afgan have considering the oil rich and mineral rich areas that it holds and show the Afgans of dreams of becoming as rich as the Arab world/ CIS countries.
9. The prospects of having direct borders with worlds two biggest market of the world and that too the most friendly to Afgans and the accompanied riches will make Afgans consider seriously a grand unification and stability in the region to throw out Taliban and become anti Pakistan.
10. India can than help ANA attack Pak and forcibly amalgamate the areas into Afganistan which were parts of Afganistan always.
ITI SIDDHAM. JAI SHREE RAAM.
1. Start a campaighn in Afganistan that Durandline is no more valid which is actually true and create a national hyteria for a demand for retaking the territories of FATA/NWFP/SWAT back into Afganistan. These areas are also energy rich and will give a direct border to India with Afgan and open doors to CIS India bypassing Pakistan. A direct border with India will also help many US companies to invest in the oil sector and mining sector of Afgan as they will find a ready market in India and also a very stable safe route for export.
2. Such a nationalistic demand will help us unite all factions of Afganistan into national mainstream and create a big pressure on Pakistan.
3. This will make Pak sponsored Taliban redundent as they will have to either chose pakistan or support the nationalistic demands of Afganistan if they want to rule them. This will reduce thr status in Afgan society as Afgans are already against Pakistan. This in turn will reduce pak influence, provide a hope to Pak based Pastoons to get integrated with thr brothers in Afgan and emerge as a strong force in this part of the world. All this must be coated with very generous dose of Afgan nationalism and pride and mentions of great History of Afgans.
4. Create another leader on the lines of Khan Abdul Gaffar Khan in Afganistan who will speak about progress and stability, education and wealth, empowerment and rebilding to restore the old glory of Afgans.
5. ANA strength should be incresed to over 500k and shud get trained in the use of best weapons with a good sprinkling of officers from IA to give them best advice as we did in Bangladesh with Mukti Bahini which had its core of officers comprising Bengali officers of Pak Army and officers from IA & IN.
6. India must impress US & UK to leave majority of equipment behind for ANA and bolster them with more russian equipment at the same time so that Indian officers can operate them for ANA. The IAF base in Tajikistan shud be upgraded to support aerial operations in support of ANA and India shud sign a strategic defense agreement with Afgan on lines of the agreements which India signed with USSR in the past and which Pak has now signed with China.
7. India has a great tech edge in creating low cost info tech devices and we must help start FM/AM radio stations with free distribution of radio sets to afgan families with a libral dose afgan culture and songs to be able to reach out to every afgan family and start the process of moulding thr mentality for a unified Afganistan. We must also boost infra for electricity and agriculture in Afgan by building Dams and deny water to Pakistan from Afgan side.
8. The protests against Pakistan must intensify with demand for areas beyond Durandline well before the withdrawal of US forces from Afgan and the entire border along Afgan-Pak border shud get hot with repeated appeals from Afgan/Pastoon leaders in Pasto to the Afgan refugees staying in Pak to return and help Afgan people to retake thr old territories. These appeals must be very highly punctuated with the great future wihich Afgan have considering the oil rich and mineral rich areas that it holds and show the Afgans of dreams of becoming as rich as the Arab world/ CIS countries.
9. The prospects of having direct borders with worlds two biggest market of the world and that too the most friendly to Afgans and the accompanied riches will make Afgans consider seriously a grand unification and stability in the region to throw out Taliban and become anti Pakistan.
10. India can than help ANA attack Pak and forcibly amalgamate the areas into Afganistan which were parts of Afganistan always.
ITI SIDDHAM. JAI SHREE RAAM.