We should fund Balochis and folks in FATA to keep their army spread out and little tension on the eastern front will make sure their lines are spread thin and their army keeps sucking in state funds...
I would like to point out another thing. It seems as if our entire nation has gone on the defensive now. Why I wonder? Everybody's saying stuff like we've got to seal our borders tight and be on high alert which is completely rational but it just shows that we are praying for a major blow and then waiting to counter-attack. Frankly it sounds like the same old defensive offensive posture to me.
My idea is to be relentless in the pursuit of destabilising Pakistan. Simple reason because we can afford to do so. I've seen all these people moan about sensex falling, economy being harmed and what not. How the fuck does that matter?
First India has a very strong domestic demand base. Our GDP growth is more reliant on rising purchasing power of our billion plus population rather than exports to those negative growth bankrupt Western economies.
Second, for people who don't understand economics but pretend to be PhD holders with all their nonsense predictions everytime RBI announces its monetary policy; here is a very simple and basic macro-economic formula-
Y=C + I + G + (Ex - Im) where where "Y" means GDP “C” is spending by consumers, “I” is investment by businesses (domestic or foreign), “G” is government spending and “(Ex - Im)” is net exportsor exports minus imports.
In India's case our economic growth is purely due to variables C, I & G. When there's a war G increases which translates into more spending on land, labour and capital (financial & infrastructure)- the 3 factors of production. Variable 'I' might be affected due to reduced FDI inflows but that can be easily made up by macro-economic tweaks to raise C or domestic consumption basically through interest rate regime. So basically when
G rises, Y i.e. GDP rises proportionately. Basically,
War is Profitable (for economies with strong domestic resource base and internal demand)
For those with short memories, it was the 1997 South East Asian finacial crisis, the 1998 American nuclear sanctions and the 1999 Kargil War which proved the strength, stability and depth of the Indian economy. During that period India was outpaced by probably China only as it is till date. USA lifted those sanctions not because of some post 9/11 romace but because it was losing out on all the economic action.
Need more proof? Well America succeeded in delaying the recession till 2008 when they invaded Iraq in 2003. Independent analysts had started detecting early warnings in 2005 but the decay had set in much earlier somewhere in the late 90s. Invading Afghanistan was not profitable simply beacuse it was already in ruins with a small population base and not much natural resources to speak of. This was not in line with the American philosophy of invade, destroy, build and bill the new client state; of course through loans with strings. Iraq with its oil reserves presented a much jucier target as it could easily pay off massive American reconstruction projects.
Thirdly about the Sensex falling 500 points. How does it even matter? I've seen worse falls 2000 points or more but within a few weeks our economy bounces back due to strong fundamentals. It's just a readjustment of the market which should be welcomed else the figures would become too inflationary and there would be over-heating problems.
FIIs and FPIs are of 2 types- the speculators and the investors. The speculators or hot money is what we should get rid off. They're here only for the good times to make a quick buck. What we need is more of the long term investors who invest in infrastructure & capacity building. So when I saw the 500 point fall I just told myself 'good fucking riddance' and the fact that it climbed back to the previous levels so soon shows that now there's lesser of those undesireables.
All things said I wouldn't prefer an all out war as I don't have a bloodlust and don't want civilians to unnecessarily die on either side of the border; for what can easily be achieved through diplomatic & economic isolation, deniable covert-ops such as surgical strikes and a clandestine proxy war.
. People around me and Nurses look at me like i am nuts...
