From 16th Feb, the situation seems towarding better. 1. Other provnices increase 200 cases yesterday, and 10 provinces report zero case. 2. New cases are also start to decrease in Hubei province and Wuhan. 3. But the real number of cases and numbers of death in Wuhan are definitely higher than government reports. Since the whole health care system is almost over capacity. The are 35000 bed been built for coronavirus but still lots of people have no bed and only stay at home. Plus if people dead at home, the death won't be counted by coronavirus. Me and my doctor friends guess the real death number is 30% more than current report. We counldn't blame too much to the goverment, since it dosen't want to hide things just no ability to count. If you check the death rate out of Wuhan, there are only 0.2%, but inside Wuhan death is rate as high as 4%, it's just because no enough bed, treatment and doctors & nurses here. From some inside goverment file, another 15000 bed are preparing, and worst case there are 100,000 bed finally might needed. But today my doctor friend said might no need that much. I support Wuhan's lockdown, it's war time. 40000 - 50000 patients now suck up all the mobile resources of doctors and nurses national widely including PLA med corp. We wouldn't affoard any big city loss like Wuhan, especially Beijing or Shanghai. Imaging if there are 1 million people effected with 3% death rate, there will be 30000 died, it will be a total disaster.