Population, not politics, threatens Pakistan

Discussion in 'Pakistan' started by LalTopi, Sep 12, 2014.

  1. LalTopi

    LalTopi Regular Member

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    Explosion in number of inhabitants could have dire consequences


    While the politicians fight each other in Islamabad for control of Pakistan, they make no mention in their fiery speeches of the real crisis likely to stunt prosperity for generations. According to economists and demographers, the explosion that endangers Pakistan is not political but demographic.
    At independence in 1947, there were 33m Pakistanis. Today there are about 200m, making the nation the sixth most populous in the world. By 2050, the population will reach 302m, if the standard projection of the Population Council, a non-government group based in New York, proves correct.
    However, the number of inhabitants in 2050 could be as high as 395m or as low as 266m, depending on whether the fertility rate remains stable or declines rapidly from the current level of 3.8 children per woman. The gap between the highest and lowest forecasts is huge, exceeding the population of most countries.

    The strain on natural resources (especially water), government services, infrastructure and families is already immense and will worsen – even if Islamabad suddenly boosts family-planning programmes to meet popular demand for contraception and so ensures the population grows at the lowest of the predicted rates.
    Karachi, one of the world’s biggest cities, is plagued by severe water shortages and is now so crowded that people live a dozen or more to an apartment. Bus passengers routinely travel on the roof for lack of room inside.
    David Bloom, an economics and demography professor at the Harvard School of Public Health, describes rapid population growth and the need to provide for the young as a “crushing burden” on the economy.
    “If, in 10 or 20 years, Pakistan still has a large number of unemployed or underemployed people, including tens of millions of young people, the country may face crises that dwarf those it has experienced to date,” he writes in a foreword to a Population Council study.

    Sakib Sherani, an economist, says: “Politicians are not thinking long-term. They are not thinking beyond an election cycle.” He notes the workforce has nearly doubled in the past two decades to 60m and the labour market needs to provide 3m jobs a year for new entrants. “That’s just not happening.”
    Decades of neglect by successive governments have left Pakistan lagging behind other heavily populated nations such as Bangladesh and Iran when it comes to managing fertility downwards.
    In Asia, only Afghanistan and Timor-Leste are doing worse. Pakistan instead resembles many African countries undergoing economically disastrous population explosions – except that its population is already bigger than any of theirs.

    For outsiders wary of Islamist extremism and Pakistani rivalry with India, it is tempting to assume that the population is exploding as part of a deliberate policy of religious chauvinism or nationalism. But the evidence shows that both men and women want fewer children, and they put religious concerns near the bottom of their list of reasons for having more. More than 43 per cent of pregnancies are calculated by one study to be “unintended”, and an estimated 1m abortions are performed each year in Pakistan.
    Zeba Sathar, the Population Council’s country director, says this “unmet demand” for family planning and advice on the spacing of children – ideas publicly supported by religious leaders – represents a chance that should be seized by governments to slow the population growth rate and ultimately improve the wellbeing of Pakistanis.

    “There is no strong coalition of people or parties that are promoting this as an important issue. It is really affecting everything, and we could have been further along,” she says. “It is a bit like the terrorism issue. It affects everyone but no one wants to talk about it.”
    If campaigners such as Ms Sathar fail in their mission, the poverty, bad schooling, rising religious militancy and growing population in nuclear-armed Pakistan could become a lethally unstable mixture.
    Unless the tens of millions entering the workforce in the next two decades are well educated and able to earn a living, writes economist Akmal Hussain, then “the present tendency towards extremism, intolerance and violence could acquire an explosive potential”.

    Global Insight | International affairs anaysis and commentary from the Financial Times
     
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  3. Srinivas_K

    Srinivas_K Senior Member Senior Member

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  4. Ray

    Ray The Chairman Defence Professionals Moderator

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    Blind religion, that too the Sunni variety, is the bane of Pakistan.

    Only when they realise that all are but human beings, will sanity prevail over this depraved lot that is responsible for the sorrows of the world with their womb, which gives birth to terrorism everywhere.
     
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  5. Ashutosh Lokhande

    Ashutosh Lokhande Senior Member Senior Member

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    Last edited by a moderator: May 10, 2015
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  6. Blackwater

    Blackwater Veteran Member Veteran Member

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    I would like to add

    Jahil and jihadi population is threat
     
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  7. pankaj nema

    pankaj nema Senior Member Senior Member

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    Prepare for a dangerous Pakistan » Indian Defence Review

    The growing population of Pakistan along with increasing poverty and unemployment means
    TWO things for India

    1 There will be steady supply of Jihadis and suicide bombers willing to infiltrate

    2 The internal socio - economic and political condition in Pakistan will remain volatile which India must use
    to its advantage ie as pay back to the enemy
     
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  8. Glint

    Glint Regular Member

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    Give them some time and they would start killing themselves as usual, Although they are already doing it now.
     
  9. bennedose

    bennedose Senior Member Senior Member

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    The title of the thread should be "Copulation is good for Pakistan, kill more kafirs"
     
  10. Kshatriya87

    Kshatriya87 Senior Member Senior Member

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    When that extra population will be jobless.. they will turn to Jahilism and Jihad.. as usual
     
  11. Blackwater

    Blackwater Veteran Member Veteran Member

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    these pakis are same in UK and west. 4 to 6 kids is normal in pakis families here in west
     
  12. bennedose

    bennedose Senior Member Senior Member

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    "Hum paanch, hamaare pachees" :rofl:
     
  13. Ray

    Ray The Chairman Defence Professionals Moderator

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    Reports indicate that these people are intellectually handicapped and with no access to profitable education and emancipation and so, sex becomes a sole preoccupation for being productively occupied, even if from a negative manner of observing.

    And from the religious standpoint contraceptives are a taboo and blasphemous.

    Can't really blame them, can we?

    Everything is going against them in form of worldly awareness.
     
  14. Blackwater

    Blackwater Veteran Member Veteran Member

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    Sir , I met a morracan family in Holland . His wife was expecting 4 th child in 5 yrs . I asked him r u happy with so many children , he said mullah in mosque told him to produce as many kids as possible to make Islam stonger . I said Allah hu Akbar lollllllll


    So these people mind are in their knees
     
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  15. Ray

    Ray The Chairman Defence Professionals Moderator

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    Knees?

    Or in the reproductive sac?
     
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  16. LalTopi

    LalTopi Regular Member

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    I think you've hit the nail on the head (or knees, balls!). I think that the FT article is being too politically correct because it is a UK publication and it does not want to be criticized for being against Muslims. However we all know that these peoples religion encourages them to have large families to expand their religion. Fine, but India needs to build a strong fence around her border with Pakistan, and make sure that she does not release anymore water than already allowed for through the existing water treaty. Also India needs to speed up the development of her ABM shield as I can imagine that the Pakis will resort further nuclear blackmail with the pressures arising from an excessive population.
     
  17. Blackwater

    Blackwater Veteran Member Veteran Member

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    Allah hu akbar,, hindu kufur ki sazish ha:sad::sad::sarcastic:
     
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