Your making the incorrect assumption that China will come to the negotiating table as the weaker or even equal power.George Friedman is forgetting basic law of changes in nature that no power remains at zenith all the time.secondly he is doing mistake in understanding china and india.china is right now challenging usa lets wait for another 5-10 years we'll see real change in usa power.usa right now talking of G-2 realizing the erosion of its power.most the mistake outsiders do is in reading india.hence u get such theories from west like india is hust a amalgamation of different countries sewn together by British empire.He is right that beauracracy is holding back indian economy,saying that indian center is weak he is wrong on that.
There may be some truth in what he says but there are to many factors proving him wrong.Right now the Indian center is week because of coalition politics. I think he is correct in that.
It is difficult for any central government to take really tough decisions in such circumstances or create a long term vision for the country and sell it to the masses.
Well, he won't be right or wrong because he is from the same country as of that journalist. We can look around us and see that India has not been as effective at the world stage as it could be. We have been unable to improve the governance at home, take any really tough decisions or take any really big initiatives like the Chinese have done.When India was made a republic in 1950 An American journalist said it would collapse by 1960. In 1970 they said Indira Ghrandi meant the end of India
'n democracy.
today its 2010.
The American economy is recovering from a recession.
Indian economy grows by more than 7%
Tell me how right can they be this time around.
i think there are very few who understand how the prc negotiates, and projects it self, and you have done it absolutely aptly. there is no room for a thing called g2, they will rather bulldoze their way to the top on their own terms if the space is not created for them, and certainly one of the virtues of a single party system. they also have done their home work well by building proxies to fight for them around all main power centers across the world.Your making the incorrect assumption that China will come to the negotiating table as the weaker or even equal power.
China always is supposed to be on top and is supposed to be the stronger position.
It was hoped that as China grew it would be more reasonable, But only its assertiveness has grown with its power.
The US knows its stronger it wont back down. China never negotiates as the weaker power or as the equal.
There arises friction.
G2 will never come to pass, China will never concede to partner with the US. recent actions have only confirmed that.
US-China relations will be the same as US-Soviet reasons.
However the Mutually assured destruction is not buy nuclear weapons, But Dollars and Yuaan
WELL i have learned that comparing a young parliamentary democracy to a communist state in political power is not fair play.Well, he won't be right or wrong because he is from the same country as of that journalist. We can look around us and see that India has not been as effective at the world stage as it could be. We have been unable to improve the governance at home, take any really tough decisions or take any really big initiatives like the Chinese have done.
China comes across as a determined power that knows what it wants and that can't be messed with. India comes across as indecisive that doesn't know what it wants and is indecisive.
You speak as if all of them are perfect and have no problems of their own.^^ I do agree. Do we have the time?
The world is changing too fast around us. To not run is to fall behind.
They do have their problems and they are not perfect by any means.You speak as if all of them are perfect and have no problems of their own.
You have to reasonable in your expectations and situation.
The world is changing my friend, India is one of the many driving factors of that change
.
Parity with China is that what all of this is about,They do have their problems and they are not perfect by any means.
It may also happen that they falter and fail and our slow and steady tortoise may even win the race.
I would rather not base my hopes on their weaknesses or issues but making ourselves stronger. As of now there is no doubt that India is losing the mindshare compared to China. The Chindia thingy is already in the past.