China's Ghost Cities Fuel Boom-To-Bust Fears

Ray

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China's Ghost Cities Fuel Boom-To-Bust Fears

China's "ghost cities" show that the country's economic boom could be more fragile than it appears.

Kangbashi is a showcase city, laid out spaciously on the grasslands of northern China.

It was dreamt up by the local secretary of the Communist Party as a monument to the country's new-found prosperity.

The place is dominated by impressive public buildings - a marble-clad library, a state-of-the-art theatre and a giant convention centre.

In the centre of town a 70m-high statue of two fighting horses looms over Genghis Khan Square.

The only thing missing is the people.

Kangbashi was built to house one million residents, but so far only 20,000 have moved in.

Acres of apartment complexes - many of them luxurious by Chinese standards - are deserted. Store fronts are boarded up.

When they first began building Kangbashi, there was a frenzy of investment. The local government contributed a £200m road network. Nearly all of the homes that now lie empty were sold off-plan.

The buyers were China's cashed-up new middle class. The country's poorly-regulated stock markets, along with controls on investing overseas, have made second, third and even fourth homes a popular store of wealth.

But from the very outset, Kangbashi defied all economic logic. There's no industry in the city, and no real reason to live there.

Now Kangbashi - along with other "ghost cities" dotted around China - has come to symbolise what many believe is a dangerous property bubble that could be primed to pop.

The scale of China's housing boom is staggering. Over the past five years the country has built nearly 40 million new homes. In some cities the price of housing has tripled in the same period.

Chinese economist Zhang Bin said: "If you look at financial crises, they're always accompanied by property bubbles.

"Lower property prices would definitely be more sustainable and healthy, but a sharp drop would mean a big contraction in the economy and problems like unemployment."

In Kangbashi, many think the bubble has already popped.

Businessman Wang Pen spent his life savings buying a two-bedroom apartment. He says its value has fallen by 20% since the start of the year.

But Mr Wang finds it difficult to believe that the good times will ever stop rolling.

"When I bought this one three years ago I was still poor, so it's a bit small," he said.

"Now I'm thinking of getting another place, something bigger."

If the bubble bursts on a nationwide scale, it could be disastrous, not just for China, but for global economic recovery.

China is now the world's second-biggest economy , and by some estimates nearly half of its GDP is in some way linked to property.

Alistair Thornton, Beijing-based economist with HIS Global Insight, said: "Property is the core of the Chinese economy.

"With the eurozone weak and the US stagnant, a sharp contraction in the world's largest growth engine would have a dramatic effect. It's not a good story."

China's Ghost Cities Fuel Boom-To-Bust Fears - Yahoo!
This is what is the scary part:

If the bubble bursts on a nationwide scale, it could be disastrous, not just for China, but for global economic recovery.
 

cir

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It is Kangbashi again! And again!!

The story has be on and off for years. Can't the western press come up with the name of another city that might remotely be called a "ghost" city?

Kangbashi is a district of Erdos, which though quite rich with 2010 per capita GDP over 20,000 US dollars, is a 3rd or 4th tier city in the Inner Mogolian autonomous region of China.

Modelled on Tongzhou of Beijing, the Pudong New Area of Shanghai and the Baoan District of Shenzhen, Kangbashi is a city still in the making. Its future development can't judged by present-day short-sightedness for which the western thinking is so renown. We are in this for the long term.

Anyway, the city government will move in when all the infrastrcture necessary for its funtioning is in place.

That's at least 100,000 people moving in.
 

Ray

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Yes Kangbashi is there again.

Must be another showcasing that China does which has caught the world's gaze.

What is important is not it being a ghost city, but that if it collapse along with such ghosts, then the world too will be affected.

We wish you all the very best to make Kangbashi and others Phantom - the Ghost Who Walks!
 
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