In your opinion, if pakistan continues to put up a false facade of pan muslim brotherhood, and continues to fund Jamaati types in Bangladesh, all the while continuing its anti Hindu propaganda, is there a possibility that Bangladeshis might turn anti India in the future? Or is there enough anti fundamentalist sentiment in Bangladesh to counteract it and maintain good relations with India? Are Bangladeshis becoming more secular, or less? What is the opinion of India by the common man in Bangladesh, and it is getting better or worse?
1. The Pakistani hatred towards India has a racial aspect to it and is not just based on hatred of Hindus. Pakistanis (Punjabis/Pashtuns) dislike Indic Mohajirs and view them as darker and inferior despite them being Muslim, we all know their genocidal hatred for "fellow Muslims", Bengalis so what chance do Indians stand?
Bengalis (Bangladeshis) are quite different to militaristic Pakistanis, less violent. No tribes in our culture, no blood feuds and even our religious scholars of different schools of thought are disgusted at the violent and abusive language that Pakistani religious scholars (Barelwi, Deobandi, Wahabi etc) hurl at each other.
Pakistanis like fighting and violence and thus they constantly brag about their status as a nuclear power and fantasize about fighting India, I stress "fantasize", because when push comes to shove, they chicken out e.g. 1971.
All sorts of pseudo-Islamic rhetoric was used to de-Islamize Bengalis and present them as Hindus and to portray the rapist Pakistan army as "Islamic", this brave, tough, "Islamic" army that rather than fighting to the last man, to the death, on "their" soil, meekly surrendered quite quickly in December 1971.
There is a reason why Punjabi Muslims have never had their own state besides the one bequeathed to them by the British.
Bengalis are a more peaceful, less aggressive people, even in our interpretation of Islam, besides some Jamaati fools nobody would want to fight India for the sake of it or hate Hindus for the sake of it, in fact a Hindu-hater in Bangladesh would be considered as an aggressive, abusive people.
Even Bengali Muslims and Urdu-wala (Bihari) Muslims in west Bengal are quite different.
2. Sorry for rambling on but I'm partly venting because I see so much ignorance online and have to stay quiet so I am releasing some pent up frustration and unexpressed thoughts, anyway to answer your questions more systematically.
"In your opinion, if pakistan continues to put up a false facade of pan muslim brotherhood, and continues to fund Jamaati types in Bangladesh, all the while continuing its anti Hindu propaganda, is there a possibility that Bangladeshis might turn anti India in the future? "
Yes.
The BNP-Jamaat are basically agents of Pakistan. The military like any military anywhere in the world are right-wing and nationalist which in the Bangladeshi context means being proud of the national religion, Islam, which often leads to an affinity, fondness for Islam.
So the opposition and many in the army are quite pro-Pakistan.
There are Hindus in the BNP and Bangladeshis in general abhor communalism and it's seen as retrogressive (maybe there are some issues but we are very different from Pakistan), so internally I do not foresee a major problem for Hindu citizens of Bangladesh, but I could imagine the BNP-Jamaat nexus trying to reactive their anti-India policies of the 2000s including supporting north-east separatists as ordered by their masters in Rawalpindi.
"Or is there enough anti fundamentalist sentiment in Bangladesh to counteract it and maintain good relations with India?"
Not every religious conservative in Bangladesh is an India-hater. Most of them are inclined to "Live and let live" i.e. if mainly Muslim Bangladesh and mainly Hindu India do their own thing they are happy. The biggest religious group in Bangladesh are the Deobandis. They are closer to the sentiments of the average Bangladesh regarding 1971 which includes the national distaste for Jamaatis. A dislike for them (on the part of the Deobandis) intensified since the Jamaati betrayal of Hefazat i Islam in a demonstration in Dhaka which led to a lot of deaths, in 2012.
One of the biggest scholars (a Deobandi) in Bangladesh, Boruna saab is known for protecting Hindus in 1971.
The Indian-wing of the Deobandis include pro-Congressites and "pro-Indian patriots".
The secular literati and elite include many undercover agnostics and atheists and are indifferent to any talk of "religious brotherhood", most of them support the Awami League. Though numerically small they are disproportionately powerful just like any elite in any society.
Are Bangladeshis becoming more secular, or less?
As a society I think Islam is getting stronger, this is what I hear. This belies all the Jamaati propaganda of the Awami League being "enemies of Islam".
What is the opinion of India by the common man in Bangladesh, and it is getting better or worse?
Bangladeshis in general do not talk much about India. Unlike Pakistan they do not define themselves as being opposed to India/Hindus and believe they have a messianic neo-Mughal destiny of defeating evil Hindu India in an epic final (Muslim v Hindu) showdown. Bangladeshis are just more normal people. Think of how Sri Lankans (Buddhists) view India (Hindus) and you'll probably get the picture.
We would think of India in the way that many countries have neighbouring states with which they may have some disagreements with, but we do not fundamentally seek the destruction of or vanquishing of India.
- Baltic states v Russia.
- Afghanistan v Pakistan
- Japan v China
all of these states have more hatred with each other than Bangladeshis do for India.
One of the problems is the arrogance of Pakistanis and their feeling that they "own" Bangladesh means that Bangladeshis are merely expected to be basically like Pakistanis and have the same psychopathic hatred of India as they do and the same belief that they are in a historical war which will culminate in the neo-Mughal destruction/defeat of India.
Pakistanis cannot compute that Bangladeshis are not Pakistanis and do not think like this, they feel that any "deviation" from the "norm" (as they percieve it) of anti-India/Hindu hatred is "treachery".
Virtually every Muslim country in the world has good relations with India and many/most have better relations with India than they do with Pakistan, the only key exceptions being Turkey and Saudi Arabia. However Erdogan's Turkey and Wahabi Saudi Arabia are hardly responsible moderate states.
Is the opinion of India getting better or worse?
As I said there isn't much focus on India despite Pakistan's obsessive desire to superimpose their hatred of India on to us. Is it getting better or worse? I can't say either way. However if I have to go for one I'd probably have to say "better", because issues like border killings are being resolved thus less ammunition for Jamaatis to fuel anti-India hatred.
What will happen? / Conclusion
Bangladesh will continue like Sri Lanka, an Indic south Asian state with no great hatred for India but somewhat separated due to religion (Islam/Buddhism) and an ethnic identity (Bengali/Sinhalese), but just as India could work with Sri Lanka on certain issues the same could happen with Bangladesh.
If the BNP-Jamaat nexus come in to power, their masters in Pakistan will be demanding that Bangladesh be made once again in to a giant ISI base, but the problem however even for the BNP is that aside from the Pakistanis there are influential sectors of the elite in Bangladesh who will lobby for some sort of relationship with India.
Even Hasina hasn't shut down the Pakistani embassy or stopped Pakistani businessmen making money in Dhaka.
Like wise, even Khaleda will probably have to curb some of her anti-India hatred due to practicality.
The key thing that will prevent anti-India hatred in Bangladesh is if enough of the Dhaka elite e.g. industrialists are made to appreciate India and Bangla-India relations and benefit from it e.g. lucrative economic interaction, economic trade that transcend party politics and so financially beneficial that will render it impossible for Khaleda to totally distance Bangladesh from India.
I believe Bangladeshis are reasonable people and if the Indian military make it clear to the Bangladeshi military command their legitimate concerns (Jamaati-Pak attempts to take over the army and promote hatred and destabilization of India) and that the Bangladeshi military should have a strategic doctrine of not unnecessarily provoking India the Bangladeshi military would agree to that. Look at the relatively passive reaction to the Myanmar expulsion of the Rohingyas and the insistence on a political-diplomatic solution.
Another option India has in terms of the Bangladesh sphere is to speak to Saudi Arabia and the GCC about her legitimate security concerns on her eastern borders and Pakistani destabilizing and to use GCC leverage against Pakistan and especially Khaleda not to try and cause problems for India.
However I do not ever foresee an India-Bangladesh war, the army wouldn't allow it. The army are not too keen on Khaleda and especially Tariq ZIa whom they beat up and are responsible people and do not want to engage in adventurism for the sake of Pakistan.